TTMS Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [581e39a7]
🛡️ TTMSTREND GALAUSDT 30M 28.05
@acosta0946
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-17 12:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.71
- Sortino Ratio: 3.04
- Calmar: -0.57
- Longest DD Days: 89.00
- Volatility: 12.86
- Skew: 0.24
- Kurtosis: 1.48
- Expected Daily: 0.09
- Expected Monthly: 1.98
- Expected Yearly: 26.49
- Kelly Criterion: 14.73
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.31
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.74
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-13 16:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 11
- Number Winning Trades 219
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 185
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.57
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.37
- Payoff Ratio: 1.15
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.37
- Tail Ratio: 1.29
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.41
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.08
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.08
- Serenity Index: 1.95
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics highlight both the strengths and potential areas for enhancement of the strategy:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 14158.53 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.707 |
Sortino Ratio | 3.014 |
Profit Factor | 1.344 |
Maximum Drawdown | 53.36% |
Annualized Volatility | 12.86% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 12.28% |
Percent Profitable | 54.23% |
The strategy shows a commendable Sharpe Ratio of 0.707, indicating a good risk-adjusted return, which is above the threshold of 0.5 for the crypto market context. The Sortino Ratio at 3.014 further underscores effective downside risk management. However, the maximum drawdown of 53.36% is a concern, suggesting potential vulnerability during downturns. The Profit Factor of 1.344 shows the strategy is profitable, yet there is room for improvement.
Strategy Viability
Considering the data, this trading strategy appears promising, especially under certain market conditions where it manages to outperform with a decent risk-adjusted performance. Nevertheless, the elevated maximum drawdown is a concern that could undermine the strategy's adoption in environments with high volatility. It’s crucial to assess if current market conditions, which the strategy capitalizes on, will continue.
Risk Management
The strategy entails useful risk management aspects, indicated by the Sharpe and Sortino ratios, yet high drawdowns present a critical area for improvement. Suggestions for mitigating risk include:
- Reducing leverage to decrease drawdown exposure.
- Introduction of tighter stop-loss limits to confine potential losses.
- Employing dynamic position sizing to better align with market volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
For further enhancement of the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize existing strategy parameters to refine performance while aiming to lower drawdowns.
- Incorporate additional indicators or machine learning techniques to improve entry and exit signals.
- Conduct comprehensive robustness checks, including forward-testing, to support confidence in various market conditions.
- Utilize stress testing to better understand potential outcomes during extreme market scenarios.
- Evaluate the use of lower leverage as a tool to manage drawdowns more effectively.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy presents encouraging performance with favorable risk-adjusted metrics. Although the major challenge remains its relatively high maximum drawdown, the recommendations provided aim to mitigate these downside risks effectively.
Recommendation: Refrain from immediate deployment until further robustness testing and risk management enhancements are applied. Optimizing risk-reward balance will significantly benefit the strategy's future viability.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | 37.50% | 51.81% | 13.24% | 21.48% | 19.17% | -8.33% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 3.22% | 11.96% | 8.56% | -17.46% | 50.15% | 33.00% | 4.41% | 22.17% | 9.98% | 45.79% | 14.85% | 11.71% |
2022 | 27.94% | 9.58% | -2.07% | 31.76% | 7.28% | 7.26% | 22.73% | 7.33% | -2.44% | 37.65% | 25.49% | 60.90% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.40% |
Live Trades Stats
GALA
Base Currency
87
Number of Trades
-29.62%
Cumulative Returns
36.78%
Win Rate
2024-05-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-5.73%
30 Days
18.45%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 63,722.59 USD | 21,240.86 | 32,954.22 USD | 10,984.74 | 30,768.37 USD | 10,256.12 |
Gross Profit | 104,319.75 | 34,773.25 | 49,091.24 | 16,363.75 | 55,228.51 | 18,409.50 |
Gross Loss | 40,597.17 | 13,532.39 | 16,137.02 | 5,379.01 | 24,460.14 | 8,153.38 |
Max Run-up | 71,654.97 | 99.58 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 7,064.33 | 31.10 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −271.34 | −90.45 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.991 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 6.441 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.57 | 3.042 | 2.258 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 5,185,700 | 4,320,086 | 5,185,700 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 4,150.34 | 1,885.14 | 2,265.20 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 317 | 116 | 201 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 187 | 64 | 123 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 130 | 52 | 78 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.99 | 55.17 | 61.19 | |||
Avg Trade | 201.02 | 1.01 | 284.09 | 0.76 | 153.08 | 1.15 |
Avg Winning Trade | 557.86 | 3.56 | 767.05 | 3.58 | 449.01 | 3.55 |
Avg Losing Trade | 312.29 | 2.66 | 310.33 | 2.70 | 313.59 | 2.62 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.786 | 2.472 | 1.432 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 4,411.69 | 7.70 | 3,485.58 | 7.70 | 4,411.69 | 6.28 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,630.26 | 4.06 | 3,434.08 | 3.88 | 3,630.26 | 4.06 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 24 | 19 | 28 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 24 | 18 | 27 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 20 | 29 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 43,720.37 USD | 14,573.46 | 29,534.66 USD | 9,844.89 | 14,185.72 USD | 4,728.57 |
Gross Profit | 167,454.78 | 55,818.26 | 70,877.28 | 23,625.76 | 96,577.50 | 32,192.50 |
Gross Loss | 123,734.40 | 41,244.80 | 41,342.63 | 13,780.88 | 82,391.78 | 27,463.93 |
Max Run-up | 71,654.97 | 99.58 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 37,934.30 | 53.36 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −275.91 | −91.97 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.712 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.042 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.353 | 1.714 | 1.172 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 8,423,804 | 8,423,804 | 8,190,381 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 8,167.53 | 3,115.52 | 5,052.01 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 404 | 147 | 257 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 219 | 76 | 143 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 185 | 71 | 114 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.21 | 51.70 | 55.64 | |||
Avg Trade | 108.22 | 0.69 | 200.92 | 0.52 | 55.20 | 0.79 |
Avg Winning Trade | 764.63 | 3.61 | 932.60 | 3.62 | 675.37 | 3.61 |
Avg Losing Trade | 668.83 | 2.77 | 582.29 | 2.80 | 722.73 | 2.76 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.143 | 1.602 | 0.934 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 4,411.69 | 7.70 | 3,485.58 | 7.70 | 4,411.69 | 6.28 |
Largest Losing Trade | 3,649.79 | 4.08 | 3,434.08 | 3.93 | 3,649.79 | 4.08 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 24 | 19 | 27 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 23 | 17 | 26 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 21 | 28 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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