StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5cce10d6]
🛡️ STIFFTREND BTCUSDT 30M 28.05 @igorek
TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-01 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.49
- Sortino Ratio: 1.84
- Calmar: -4.49
- Longest DD Days: 29.00
- Volatility: 114.46
- Skew: 1.00
- Kurtosis: -0.32
- Expected Daily: 1.80
- Expected Monthly: 45.38
- Expected Yearly: 8,814.44
- Kelly Criterion: 10.23
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.59
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.10
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-20 11:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 105
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 184
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.49
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.39
- Payoff Ratio: 2.46
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.39
- Tail Ratio: 2.81
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.65
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 326.80
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 8324.88% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 137.09% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.496 |
Profit Factor | 1.42 |
Maximum Drawdown | -31.48% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 114.59% |
The strategy delivers a robust cumulative return of 8324.88% with an impressive annualized return (CAGR) of 137.09%. Although slightly below the threshold of 0.5, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.496 suggests nearly good risk-adjusted returns. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of -31.48% is kept below the 40% threshold, indicating a reasonable level of downside risk management, especially in the volatile crypto market.
Strategy Viability
In the context of real-world trading, this strategy demonstrates promising potential, especially given the high cumulative and annualized returns. The strategy proves resilient under the sampled market conditions, and its performance metrics indicate it can navigate through significant market volatility efficiently. With the current crypto market conditions showing adaptability, the strategy appears viable for continued use.
Risk Management
The report shows effective measures in place to minimize risk while maintaining strong returns. The maximum drawdown staying significantly below 40% is a positive indicator. However, the reported annualized volatility of 114.59% suggests opportunities to enhance the strategy's ability to handle volatility:
- Consider using less leverage to manage and control drawdowns more efficiently.
- Incorporate advanced volatility assessment techniques to adjust positions according to market conditions.
- Maintaining dynamic stop-loss parameters could serve to cap potential losses further.
Improvement Suggestions
To fortify the strategy’s robustness and improve its performance, the following techniques should be considered:
- Explore optimization of strategy parameters to strengthen the balance between returns and drawdown.
- Diversify the types of trades or consider additional market factors or indicators to refine trade timing and execution.
- Conduct robust out-of-sample testing and forward testing to authenticate the strategy’s credibility across various market conditions.
- Integrate comprehensive Value-at-Risk (VaR) methodologies and stress testing in the risk management framework to account for extreme market events.
Final Opinion
In summary, this strategy makes a convincing case for its potential with solid returns and acceptable risk-adjusted metrics. While performing well under current conditions, it shows room for improvement, particularly in further enhancing risk management and optimizing parameters for further testing.
Recommendation: Continue with further refinements of the strategy by implementing suggested improvements. Increased robustness can be achieved by optimizing the current approach and embracing advanced risk management strategies to manage high market volatility effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.81% | -3.24% | -2.02% | 17.78% | 3.15% | -9.50% | 34.45% | 56.02% | 32.97% |
2021 | 0.00% | 20.02% | 15.93% | 3.82% | 3.83% | -2.29% | 12.76% | 0.07% | 10.47% | 41.81% | 19.70% | 2.16% |
2022 | 17.81% | 32.94% | 5.31% | -14.49% | 23.21% | -9.96% | 5.80% | -1.52% | 15.64% | -3.74% | 9.23% | -7.28% |
2023 | 27.39% | 4.89% | 8.18% | -2.92% | -11.51% | 11.84% | -5.72% | 3.90% | 4.33% | 42.00% | 14.59% | 6.86% |
2024 | -12.10% | 49.20% | -7.35% | 16.17% | 2.66% | -8.64% | 5.71% | -1.74% | -12.64% | 11.44% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
61
Number of Trades
26.18%
Cumulative Returns
24.59%
Win Rate
2024-05-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
17.38%
30 Days
23.89%
60 Days
4.55%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 137298.68 | 1.91 | ||||
Net Profit | 7078372.3 | 7078.37 | 6217474.65 | 6217.47 | 860897.65 | 860.9 |
Gross Profit | 16803047.58 | 16803.05 | 13609767.35 | 13609.77 | 3193280.24 | 3193.28 |
Gross Loss | 9724675.29 | 9724.68 | 7392292.7 | 7392.29 | 2332382.59 | 2332.38 |
Commission Paid | 643482.5 | 473046.26 | 170436.24 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 958572.46 | 958.57 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 7933871.41 | 98.89 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1282049.67 | 23.2 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 287.0 | 283.0 | 287.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 229.0 | 182.0 | 47.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 90.0 | 65.0 | 25.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 139.0 | 117.0 | 22.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 39.3 | 35.71 | 53.19 | |||
Avg P&l | 30909.92 | 0.99 | 34161.95 | 0.97 | 18316.97 | 1.04 |
Avg Winning Trade | 186700.53 | 5.42 | 209381.04 | 6.14 | 127731.21 | 3.55 |
Avg Losing Trade | 69961.69 | 1.88 | 63181.99 | 1.9 | 106017.39 | 1.81 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.669 | 3.314 | 1.205 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1037243.74 | 1037243.74 | 637472.62 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 9.26 | 9.26 | 5.21 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 494536.11 | 494536.11 | 359362.94 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.06 | 3.06 | 2.82 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 86.0 | 86.0 | 86.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 102.0 | 111.0 | 81.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 75.0 | 72.0 | 92.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.566 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.414 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.728 | 1.841 | 1.369 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -187866.25 | -2.23 | ||||
Net Profit | 8317247.55 | 8317.25 | 8991649.11 | 8991.65 | -674401.56 | -674.4 |
Gross Profit | 28066400.35 | 28066.4 | 23459153.69 | 23459.15 | 4607246.66 | 4607.25 |
Gross Loss | 19749152.8 | 19749.15 | 14467504.58 | 14467.5 | 5281648.22 | 5281.65 |
Commission Paid | 1227993.52 | 910525.54 | 317467.98 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1526408.12 | 1526.41 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 9753154.54 | 99.09 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2400863.11 | 31.48 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 287.0 | 283.0 | 287.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 289.0 | 227.0 | 62.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 105.0 | 76.0 | 29.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 184.0 | 151.0 | 33.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 36.33 | 33.48 | 46.77 | |||
Avg P&l | 28779.4 | 0.77 | 39610.79 | 0.82 | -10877.44 | 0.6 |
Avg Winning Trade | 267299.05 | 5.43 | 308673.07 | 6.18 | 158870.57 | 3.45 |
Avg Losing Trade | 107332.35 | 1.88 | 95811.29 | 1.88 | 160049.95 | 1.91 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.49 | 3.222 | 0.993 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1279426.81 | 1279426.81 | 637472.62 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 9.26 | 9.26 | 5.21 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 494536.11 | 494536.11 | 474297.87 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.06 | 3.06 | 2.82 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 89.0 | 90.0 | 86.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 112.0 | 127.0 | 74.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 76.0 | 72.0 | 96.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.494 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.835 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.421 | 1.622 | 0.872 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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