Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [dfe1c7c3]
🛡️ SILENTSURGE BRETTUSDT 15M 17.12.2024
@iammontewhite
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2024-05-01 19:45:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.94
- Sortino Ratio: 7.90
- Calmar: -76.77
- Longest DD Days: 12.00
- Volatility: 165.28
- Skew: 1.90
- Kurtosis: 4.60
- Expected Daily: 2.56
- Expected Monthly: 70.19
- Expected Yearly: 58,936.66
- Kelly Criterion: 9.64
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.17
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.74
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 01:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 3
- Number Winning Trades 38
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 91
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -76.77
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.49
- Payoff Ratio: 3.61
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.49
- Tail Ratio: 4.15
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.89
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 586.34
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that are worthy of attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1261.84% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 2105.6% |
Sharpe Ratio | 1.006 |
Profit Factor | 1.519 |
Maximum Drawdown | 24.88% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 165.97% |
The strategy exhibits impressive returns with a cumulative gain of 1261.84% and an annualized return of 2105.6%. The Sharpe ratio of 1.006 exceeds the threshold of 0.5, indicating good risk-adjusted returns. A maximum drawdown of 24.88% is favorable, especially in the volatile crypto market context, maintaining a balance between risk and reward. The profit factor of 1.519 suggests that the strategy earns approximately $1.52 for every $1 lost.
Strategy Viability
Based on the provided data, this strategy seems viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions. It outperforms basic benchmarks in terms of return and shows strong risk-adjusted performance. While the market conditions when the strategy succeeds must be identified, its significant upside potential offers exciting opportunities if similar conditions persist.
Risk Management
The strategy employs sound risk management techniques, evidenced by a controlled maximum drawdown and an impressive Gain/Pain Ratio (1.49). However, the high volatility (165.97%) indicates potential for improvement in managing daily fluctuations. Suggested improvements in risk management will include:
- Implementing a dynamic leverage strategy to reduce exposure during periods of high volatility and drawdowns.
- Utilizing more refined stop-loss mechanisms to curtail potential losses further.
- Diversifying the portfolio to balance out unsystematic risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters, particularly during periods of high drawdowns, to improve the balance between risk and return.
- Incorporate additional leading indicators to refine trade entries and exits, increasing trade accuracy.
- Conduct out-of-sample testing to verify the strategy’s adaptability across different market environments.
- Enhance the risk management framework by integrating more sophisticated techniques and stress testing.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance with significant returns and commendable risk-adjusted metrics. While the high volatility presents challenges, the strategy's moderate drawdown and recovery capability remain commendable. Nevertheless, it is essential to optimize and validate the strategy further to ensure its robustness across diverse market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with continued refinement and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to increase robustness and adapt risk management techniques to handle crypto market volatility more effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 87.71% | 43.36% | 19.34% | 56.05% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BRETT
Base Currency
29
Number of Trades
18.88%
Cumulative Returns
27.59%
Win Rate
2024-12-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-12.08%
30 Days
-4.44%
60 Days
5.69%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 83731.71 | 6.84 | ||||
Net Profit | 1123973.6 | 1123.97 | 971930.01 | 971.93 | 152043.58 | 152.04 |
Gross Profit | 2443914.21 | 2443.91 | 1668794.12 | 1668.79 | 775120.1 | 775.12 |
Gross Loss | 1319940.62 | 1319.94 | 696864.1 | 696.86 | 623076.51 | 623.08 |
Commission Paid | 44559.13 | 26246.99 | 18312.14 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 419631.9 | 419.63 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1315481.93 | 94.45 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 225916.6 | 24.88 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 10722514.0 | 10076795.0 | 10722514.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 101.0 | 57.0 | 44.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 31.0 | 18.0 | 13.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 70.0 | 39.0 | 31.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 30.69 | 31.58 | 29.55 | |||
Avg P&l | 11128.45 | 3.01 | 17051.4 | 4.32 | 3455.54 | 1.31 |
Avg Winning Trade | 78835.94 | 17.6 | 92710.78 | 20.75 | 59624.62 | 13.24 |
Avg Losing Trade | 18856.29 | 3.46 | 17868.31 | 3.27 | 20099.24 | 3.7 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 4.181 | 5.189 | 2.967 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 177047.63 | 177047.63 | 120754.68 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 54.46 | 54.46 | 17.84 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 54857.75 | 54857.75 | 52614.86 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.05 | 6.05 | 5.81 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 123.0 | 136.0 | 105.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 221.0 | 235.0 | 201.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 80.0 | 91.0 | 65.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.304 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 22.496 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.852 | 2.395 | 1.244 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 12946.47 | 0.95 | ||||
Net Profit | 1261837.67 | 1261.84 | 603780.22 | 603.78 | 658057.44 | 658.06 |
Gross Profit | 3691825.59 | 3691.83 | 1874802.78 | 1874.8 | 1817022.82 | 1817.02 |
Gross Loss | 2429987.93 | 2429.99 | 1271022.55 | 1271.02 | 1158965.38 | 1158.97 |
Commission Paid | 76910.93 | 41419.59 | 35491.34 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 21472.39 | 21.47 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2023449.13 | 96.32 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 349439.75 | 24.88 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 41531909.0 | 33800482.0 | 41531909.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 129.0 | 70.0 | 59.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 38.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 91.0 | 51.0 | 40.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 29.46 | 27.14 | 32.2 | |||
Avg P&l | 9781.69 | 2.5 | 8625.43 | 3.2 | 11153.52 | 1.67 |
Avg Winning Trade | 97153.31 | 16.78 | 98673.83 | 20.49 | 95632.78 | 13.07 |
Avg Losing Trade | 26703.16 | 3.47 | 24922.01 | 3.25 | 28974.13 | 3.75 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.638 | 3.959 | 3.301 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 273616.75 | 206008.66 | 273616.75 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 54.46 | 54.46 | 19.35 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 95857.59 | 94700.04 | 95857.59 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.05 | 6.05 | 5.96 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 136.0 | 129.0 | 145.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 206.0 | 231.0 | 181.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 107.0 | 91.0 | 128.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.938 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 7.902 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.519 | 1.475 | 1.568 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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