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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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helloitsiain stifftrend btcusdt 70m 30.4

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TREND FOLOWING 70 minutes @helloitsiain
● Live

StiffTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [360a2db5]

🛡️ STIFFTREND BTCUSDT 70M 30.4

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +2.89% Updated 12 hours ago
Total Return Primary
464.85%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
52.18%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
48.32%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.108
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-226.39%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
872
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 3, 2020
2,073
Days
872
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 3, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 00:20:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.34
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.76
  • Calmar: -0.19
  • Longest DD Days: 209.00
  • Volatility: 1.85
  • Skew: 0.03
  • Kurtosis: -0.14
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.11
  • Expected Yearly: 1.33
  • Kelly Criterion: 5.03
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.17
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.22
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-03 12:40:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 455
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 417
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.19
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.11
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.01
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.11
  • Tail Ratio: 1.05
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.98
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.86
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 0.47

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+21.79%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+37.50%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+54.51%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+40.93%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+9.62%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+5.35%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+9.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+16.68%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+10.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+3.33%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
52.2%
Total Trades
872
Cumulative
464.85%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
259.81%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+5.43%
+7.83%
Simple P&L
-3.00%
-3.35%
Simple P&L
+0.45%
+2.69%
Simple P&L
+12.49%
+13.92%
Simple P&L
-7.36%
-5.84%
Simple P&L
+4.19%
+5.31%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
-0.66%
Simple P&L
-5.81%
-6.09%
Simple P&L
+28.64%
+31.93%
Simple P&L
2021
+8.18%
+8.60%
Simple P&L
+27.24%
+23.60%
Simple P&L
-12.38%
-12.91%
Simple P&L
+24.39%
+19.83%
Simple P&L
+7.91%
+14.72%
Simple P&L
+56.81%
+29.95%
Simple P&L
+24.74%
+16.57%
Simple P&L
-5.18%
-5.85%
Simple P&L
+19.83%
+6.48%
Simple P&L
+48.75%
+24.72%
Simple P&L
+18.93%
+10.79%
Simple P&L
+7.03%
+0.09%
Simple P&L
2022
+52.70%
+9.24%
Simple P&L
-3.88%
+6.37%
Simple P&L
+31.40%
+15.53%
Simple P&L
+5.23%
+4.46%
Simple P&L
+3.53%
+4.74%
Simple P&L
+77.13%
+14.88%
Simple P&L
+15.65%
+8.01%
Simple P&L
+4.71%
+1.54%
Simple P&L
+19.76%
+4.89%
Simple P&L
+26.98%
+6.22%
Simple P&L
+17.59%
+2.25%
Simple P&L
+8.46%
+3.93%
Simple P&L
2023
+83.73%
+16.78%
Simple P&L
+57.02%
+10.21%
Simple P&L
+35.10%
+6.45%
Simple P&L
-26.62%
-4.02%
Simple P&L
-26.48%
-7.71%
Simple P&L
+47.94%
+10.20%
Simple P&L
-37.53%
-9.16%
Simple P&L
-13.86%
-1.24%
Simple P&L
-22.02%
-1.25%
Simple P&L
+140.66%
+17.33%
Simple P&L
-77.20%
-5.72%
Simple P&L
-25.89%
-4.04%
Simple P&L
2024
+28.18%
+5.19%
Simple P&L
+29.45%
+2.96%
Simple P&L
+29.84%
+5.74%
Simple P&L
-58.28%
-11.84%
Simple P&L
+7.62%
+8.00%
Simple P&L
+6.05%
-1.94%
Simple P&L
+59.41%
+7.95%
Simple P&L
-88.01%
-10.17%
Simple P&L
-92.53%
-18.26%
Simple P&L
+29.01%
+7.72%
Simple P&L
+6.28%
+4.16%
Simple P&L
-9.26%
-6.00%
Simple P&L
2025
-8.05%
+1.09%
Simple P&L
-61.54%
-9.26%
Simple P&L
-48.83%
-9.87%
Simple P&L
-21.06%
-2.53%
Simple P&L
-22.60%
-6.86%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

872

Number of Trades

464.85%

Cumulative Returns

52.18%

Win Rate

2024-04-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

9.55%

30 Days

10.73%

60 Days

16.68%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l51.810.66
Net Profit6799.78679.986156.96615.7642.8264.28
Gross Profit32935.63293.5617422.271742.2315513.331551.33
Gross Loss26135.822613.5811265.311126.5314870.511487.05
Commission Paid3228.541680.641547.9
Buy & Hold Return8692.78869.28
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration20 days
Avg Equity Run-up453.7345.37
Max Equity Run-up8314.8189.66
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration17 days
Avg Equity Drawdown351.4735.15
Max Drawdown2043.4122.5
Total Closed Trades613.0317.0296.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades334.0193.0141.0
Number Losing Trades279.0124.0155.0
Percent Profitable54.4960.8847.64
Avg P&l11.090.4819.420.742.170.21
Avg Winning Trade98.613.1590.272.85110.023.56
Avg Losing Trade93.682.7190.852.5495.942.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0530.9941.147
Largest Winning Trade456.58405.44456.58
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.347.378.34
Largest Losing Trade335.47335.47331.41
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.415.566.41
Avg # Bars In Trades27.026.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.024.027.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.029.029.0
Sharpe Ratio0.55
Sortino Ratio1.651
Profit Factor1.261.5471.043
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit4648.54464.855284.43528.44-635.89-63.59
Gross Profit47815.354781.5423941.292394.1323874.062387.41
Gross Loss43166.814316.6818656.861865.6924509.952451.0
Commission Paid5174.182607.572566.61
Buy & Hold Return12914.871291.49
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration24 days
Avg Equity Run-up492.3949.24
Max Equity Run-up9021.3790.39
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration29 days
Avg Equity Drawdown486.9548.7
Max Drawdown4626.5248.32
Total Closed Trades872.0441.0431.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades455.0252.0203.0
Number Losing Trades417.0189.0228.0
Percent Profitable52.1857.1447.1
Avg P&l5.330.311.980.5-1.480.09
Avg Winning Trade105.092.9595.012.69117.613.28
Avg Losing Trade103.522.698.712.41107.52.75
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0150.9621.094
Largest Winning Trade456.58405.44456.58
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.347.378.34
Largest Losing Trade485.88335.47485.88
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.665.566.66
Avg # Bars In Trades26.026.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.025.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.028.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.339
Sortino Ratio0.764
Profit Factor1.1081.2830.974
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

The provided QuantStats report for the trading strategy presents several critical performance metrics that require careful examination:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 46.49%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 0.8%
Sharpe Ratio 0.339
Profit Factor 1.108
Maximum Drawdown 48.32%
Volatility (Annualized) 1.85%

The strategy achieves a cumulative return of 46.49%, with a commendable number of trades indicating active strategy execution. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.339 falls short of the optimal threshold of 0.5, suggesting potential for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. The maximum drawdown of 48.32% is higher than the desired <40% and indicates elevated risk exposure, likely due to high leverage usage.

Strategy Viability

The current data implies that while the strategy presents modest profitability, it struggles with significant drawdowns. Its performance appears to be restrained, particularly compared to industry benchmarks. For real-world application, improvements in risk management are critical to enhance viability. Observing market conditions that amplify the strategy's gains, such as high-volatility environments, is essential in understanding when to deploy it for optimal results.

Risk Management

The current risk management strategies leave room for improvement. The substantial drawdown indicates a need for more robust measures. Key suggestions include:

  • Reducing leverage to mitigate excessive drawdowns.
  • Implementing tighter stop-loss orders to cap potential losses.
  • Diversifying asset exposure to reduce unsystematic risk.

Improvement Suggestions

Below are several proposals to enhance strategy performance and robustness:

  • Optimize strategy parameters and reduce leverage to keep drawdowns manageable.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine trade timing.
  • Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing for diverse market conditions to ensure robustness.
  • Enhance the risk management framework, possibly through advanced concepts like Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis.

Further analysis could explore whether adjustments in the trading platform or indicators might lead to better capture market opportunities.

Final Opinion

The strategy exhibits potential yet exhibits discernible weaknesses that must be addressed before real-world deployment. While profitability is attainable, the current risk-adjusted performance indicates room for improvement, particularly regarding risk containment. By implementing the recommended enhancements, the strategy can be poised for better market adaptability and sustainable growth.

Recommendation: Modify the strategy by incorporating suggested improvements. Engage in comprehensive testing to ensure strategy robustness and effectiveness. Focus on reducing drawdowns and improving the Sharpe ratio to elevate the overall risk-adjusted return.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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