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hathersj glitchytrend solusdt 15m 30.07

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TREND FOLLOWING 15 minutes @hathersj
● Live

GlitchyTrend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [dbbd4218]

🛡️ GLITCHYTREND SOLUSDT 15M 30.07

Trading Pair
SOL
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.45% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
620.36%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
44.78%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.09
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.23%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1887
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 2, 2021
1,663
Days
1887
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-07-02 23:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.72
  • Calmar: -1.29
  • Longest DD Days: 504.00
  • Volatility: 32.47
  • Skew: 0.42
  • Kurtosis: -0.62
  • Expected Daily: 0.12
  • Expected Monthly: 2.65
  • Expected Yearly: 36.83
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.66
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.97
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.12
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-18 23:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 845
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 1,042
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.29
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.09
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.34
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.09
  • Tail Ratio: 1.36
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.27
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.02
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.19
  • Serenity Index: 24.39

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.36%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.75%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.10%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.45%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.18%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.45%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-18.33%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-37.30%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-32.97%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-26.20%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
44.8%
Total Trades
1887
Cumulative
-0.47%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
158.14%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.55%
-5.65%
Simple P&L
-0.51%
+24.46%
Simple P&L
+0.94%
+28.83%
Simple P&L
+0.13%
+3.35%
Simple P&L
+0.61%
-7.37%
Simple P&L
+0.13%
+1.19%
Simple P&L
2022
-0.21%
-18.31%
Simple P&L
-0.46%
+11.88%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
-9.43%
Simple P&L
+2.59%
+4.54%
Simple P&L
-2.42%
-3.15%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
+23.38%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
+9.13%
Simple P&L
+1.17%
-6.18%
Simple P&L
-0.74%
+0.82%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
-12.52%
Simple P&L
-0.56%
+4.83%
Simple P&L
+0.63%
-4.98%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.75%
+38.42%
Simple P&L
+1.61%
+14.59%
Simple P&L
-0.47%
-20.39%
Simple P&L
-0.80%
-10.08%
Simple P&L
-0.25%
+3.30%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
+8.55%
Simple P&L
-1.85%
+2.75%
Simple P&L
+1.53%
+2.93%
Simple P&L
+0.47%
-16.97%
Simple P&L
+0.68%
+17.90%
Simple P&L
-1.77%
+26.47%
Simple P&L
-0.01%
+26.70%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.27%
+4.25%
Simple P&L
+0.37%
+23.45%
Simple P&L
+0.65%
-8.54%
Simple P&L
-1.28%
+9.44%
Simple P&L
+1.46%
-3.48%
Simple P&L
+0.46%
+17.93%
Simple P&L
+0.41%
+5.28%
Simple P&L
+1.47%
+1.22%
Simple P&L
-1.18%
+4.12%
Simple P&L
+0.36%
+17.48%
Simple P&L
+0.50%
-14.01%
Simple P&L
-0.80%
-15.86%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.23%
+4.80%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
-11.74%
Simple P&L
+1.00%
+5.13%
Simple P&L
-0.11%
-0.85%
Simple P&L
+0.37%
-2.44%
Simple P&L
-2.23%
-5.46%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1887

Number of Trades

-0.47%

Cumulative Returns

44.78%

Win Rate

2024-07-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-18.33%

30 Days

-32.97%

60 Days

-37.3%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit860430.69860.43385447.77385.45474982.92474.98
Gross Profit3702499.653702.52410541.722410.541291957.931291.96
Gross Loss2842068.952842.072025093.942025.09816975.01816.98
Expected Payoff674.85446.121155.68
Commission Paid262220.78182676.5179544.27
Buy & Hold Return438700.81438.7
Buy & Hold % Gain438.7
Strategy Outperformance421729.88
Max Contracts Held1682916338.016829.0
Annualized Return (cagr)107.9666.7676.15
Return On Initial Capital860.43385.45474.98
Account Size Required114334.03
Return On Account Size Required752.56337.12415.43
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)11 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)40643.6740.64
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)147142.84147.14
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)970144.2792.04
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)970.14
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)12 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)27694.8827.69
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown7.533.374.15
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)107990.84107.99
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)114334.0333.57
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)114.33
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2851.491277.381579.39
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.511.474.32
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.061.493.68
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades1275.0864.0411.0
Number Winning Trades580.0393.0187.0
Number Losing Trades695.0471.0224.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable45.4945.4945.5
Avg P&l674.850.15446.120.091155.680.26
Avg Winning Trade6383.622.896133.692.86908.873.09
Avg Losing Trade4089.312.144299.562.163647.212.11
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5611.4271.894
Largest Winning Trade55872.4335420.6955872.43
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.055.587.05
Largest Losing Trade30174.8130174.8130073.88
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.963.963.15
Avg # Bars In Trades25.022.031.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.023.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades24.022.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.515
Sortino Ratio1.541
Profit Factor1.3031.191.581
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit620358.55620.36432299.02432.3188059.53188.06
Gross Profit7526305.327526.314869081.774869.082657223.552657.22
Gross Loss6905946.776905.954436782.744436.782469164.032469.16
Expected Payoff328.75345.01296.62
Commission Paid643019.95427329.39215690.56
Buy & Hold Return286616.23286.62
Buy & Hold % Gain286.62
Strategy Outperformance333742.32
Max Contracts Held1682916338.016829.0
Annualized Return (cagr)54.0944.2126.07
Return On Initial Capital620.36432.3188.06
Account Size Required522357.2
Return On Account Size Required118.7682.7636.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)44683.844.68
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)147142.84147.14
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1162487.4593.27
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1162.49
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)38829.7638.83
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.190.830.36
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)519803.8519.8
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)522357.242.35
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)522.36
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1600.21115.11542.49
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit0.740.882.1
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss0.560.871.4
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades1887.01253.0634.0
Number Winning Trades845.0572.0273.0
Number Losing Trades1042.0681.0361.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable44.7845.6543.06
Avg P&l328.750.08345.010.06296.620.13
Avg Winning Trade8906.872.668512.382.549733.422.9
Avg Losing Trade6627.592.016515.12.026839.791.98
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3441.3071.423
Largest Winning Trade55872.4342798.8555872.43
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.055.587.05
Largest Losing Trade38767.5538767.5534666.19
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.963.963.15
Avg # Bars In Trades26.023.033.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades28.024.035.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.022.032.0
Sharpe Ratio0.326
Sortino Ratio0.72
Profit Factor1.091.0971.076
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

After a thorough review of the QuantStats report, the trading strategy demonstrates several points of interest:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 733.46%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 59.78%
Sharpe Ratio 0.35
Profit Factor 1.11
Maximum Drawdown -487.43%
Volatility (Annualized) 32.59%

While the strategy achieved a noteworthy cumulative return of 733.46% and maintained an annualized return of 59.78%, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.35 is slightly below the desirable threshold for encountering unpredicted volatility. The Profit Factor of 1.11 indicates the system’s ability to produce more profits than losses. However, the maximum drawdown figure is concerning and suggests a need for improvement.

Strategy Viability

The strategy presents potential for real-world trading, albeit with some caution due to its current drawdown levels. It showed reasonable returns and had a respectable ratio of 1.36 between average wins and losses which reflects positively on its trade management. However, a Sharpe Ratio below 0.5 suggests further refinement is necessary. Market conditions and volatility highly influence the strategy's performance. Understanding these conditions better will be vital for its future success.

Risk Management

It appears there is significant room for enhancement in risk management. The high drawdown demands attention. Here are some ideas for risk mitigation:

  • Decrease leverage to quickly lower drawdown risks.
  • Consider implementing stricter stop-loss measures to proactively manage and control drawdowns.
  • Optimize position sizing to ensure it aligns with market volatility and potential drawdowns.

Improvement Suggestions

Suggested improvements focus on refining performance and ensuring robustness of the strategy:

  • Re-evaluate the strategy's parameters to optimize for more consistent returns and lower drawdowns.
  • Incorporate diverse technical indicators to enhance entry and exit signals.
  • Perform more extensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to verify strategy resilience under varying market climates.
  • Refine the risk management framework by exploring encompasses of enhanced value-at-risk methods and stress testing.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, while the strategy showcases strong cumulative and annualized returns, its elevated drawdown and subpar Sharpe Ratio highlight areas needing attention. The strategy possesses a solid foundation, and with targeted improvements, it holds promise for tangible viability and enhanced performance.

Recommendation: Proceed with strategic refinements and testing to bolster robustness. Focus on lowering drawdown risk and improving risk-adjusted returns to ensure it is better equipped to handle market fluctuations effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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