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gentlesir stiffsurge nearusdt 90m 20.08

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TREND FOLOWING 90 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [14c16208]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE NEARUSDT 90M 20.08

Trading Pair
NEAR
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - September 6, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
312.98%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.24%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
17.05%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.469
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
205
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Sep 7, 2022
1,126
Days
205
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-09-07 00:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.60
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.31
  • Calmar: -3.83
  • Longest DD Days: 24.00
  • Volatility: 65.59
  • Skew: 1.14
  • Kurtosis: 1.52
  • Expected Daily: 0.81
  • Expected Monthly: 18.45
  • Expected Yearly: 662.66
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.92
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.26
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.99
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-11 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 103
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 102
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.83
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.50
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.47
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.50
  • Tail Ratio: 2.09
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.01
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.06
  • Serenity Index: 18.27

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+54.60%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+44.45%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+25.41%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+43.68%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+14.52%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+16.47%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+8.04%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+15.40%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
50.5%
Total Trades
206
Cumulative
334.73%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
134.16%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.64%
-1.07%
Simple P&L
+17.71%
+14.84%
Simple P&L
+1.90%
-0.01%
Simple P&L
-0.86%
-2.93%
Simple P&L
2023
+29.37%
+15.58%
Simple P&L
-5.21%
-3.61%
Simple P&L
+8.46%
-6.76%
Simple P&L
+3.96%
+4.18%
Simple P&L
+12.94%
+10.41%
Simple P&L
+30.43%
+17.38%
Simple P&L
+24.03%
+17.43%
Simple P&L
+36.76%
+4.82%
Simple P&L
+15.68%
+7.18%
Simple P&L
+59.96%
+9.05%
Simple P&L
-5.42%
+4.84%
Simple P&L
-15.96%
+5.31%
Simple P&L
2024
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+7.21%
+2.97%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+16.68%
+6.74%
Simple P&L
-5.53%
+0.47%
Simple P&L
-11.74%
-6.71%
Simple P&L
+39.27%
+3.51%
Simple P&L
-15.97%
+1.54%
Simple P&L
-2.29%
-6.53%
Simple P&L
+11.36%
+6.53%
Simple P&L
-6.17%
-3.57%
Simple P&L
2025
+18.30%
+5.67%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+33.12%
+11.50%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

206

Number of Trades

334.73%

Cumulative Returns

50.49%

Win Rate

2024-08-20

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

14.52%

30 Days

8.04%

60 Days

16.47%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l22249.555.39
Net Profit312983.86312.9882252.2882.25230731.58230.73
Gross Profit980966.14980.97528698.13528.7452268.01452.27
Gross Loss667982.28667.98446445.84446.45221536.43221.54
Commission Paid34913.0517236.2817676.77
Buy & Hold Return-36570.77-36.57
Max Equity Run-up357406.4279.2
Max Drawdown60557.7417.05
Max Contracts Held412620.0372946.0412620.0
Total Closed Trades205.088.0117.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades103.027.076.0
Number Losing Trades102.061.041.0
Percent Profitable50.2430.6864.96
Avg P&l1526.750.64934.690.231972.060.94
Avg Winning Trade9523.944.2719581.417.655950.893.07
Avg Losing Trade6548.853.037318.783.055403.332.99
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4542.6761.101
Largest Winning Trade43231.9343231.9325686.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.878.9915.87
Largest Losing Trade20521.6320521.6316103.68
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.613.593.61
Avg # Bars In Trades19.027.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades18.035.012.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades21.024.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.602
Sortino Ratio2.311
Profit Factor1.4691.1842.042
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l22249.555.39
Net Profit312983.86312.9882252.2882.25230731.58230.73
Gross Profit980966.14980.97528698.13528.7452268.01452.27
Gross Loss667982.28667.98446445.84446.45221536.43221.54
Commission Paid34913.0517236.2817676.77
Buy & Hold Return-36570.77-36.57
Max Equity Run-up357406.4279.2
Max Drawdown60557.7417.05
Max Contracts Held412620.0372946.0412620.0
Total Closed Trades205.088.0117.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades103.027.076.0
Number Losing Trades102.061.041.0
Percent Profitable50.2430.6864.96
Avg P&l1526.750.64934.690.231972.060.94
Avg Winning Trade9523.944.2719581.417.655950.893.07
Avg Losing Trade6548.853.037318.783.055403.332.99
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4542.6761.101
Largest Winning Trade43231.9343231.9325686.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.878.9915.87
Largest Losing Trade20521.6320521.6316103.68
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.613.593.61
Avg # Bars In Trades19.027.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades18.035.012.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades21.024.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.602
Sortino Ratio2.311
Profit Factor1.4691.1842.042
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 312.98%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 62.85%
Sharpe Ratio 0.602
Profit Factor 1.469
Maximum Drawdown -17.05%
Volatility (Annualized) 65.59%

The strategy exhibits substantial returns with a cumulative gain of 312.98% and an annualized return of 62.85%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.602 indicates good risk-adjusted returns within the context of crypto trading, where higher volatility is expected. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of -17.05% is well below the 40% threshold, providing comfort regarding downside protection.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading, especially considering the crypto market's unique characteristics. Although the Profit Factor is slightly below 2, it suggests profitability with a ratio of 1.469. Evaluating under current market dynamics, the strategy shows potential, but continuous market evaluation is crucial to ascertain if optimal conditions for the strategy will persist.

Risk Management

The strategy already implements certain risk management principles, reflected by the limited max drawdown. However, the annualized volatility of 65.59% indicates possibilities for refinement in risk handling:

  • The implementation of less leverage could further reduce drawdown risks.
  • Utilize additional or tighter stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential losses.
  • Incorporate volatility-based position sizing to optimize exposure based on changing market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy's parameters to maximize profitability while keeping risk within acceptable limits.
  • Consider adding diverse technical indicators that might complement existing decision-making tools.
  • Perform out-of-sample testing to verify the strategy's effectiveness across various markets and periods.
  • Enhance the risk management framework by integrating advanced techniques like stress testing and dynamic hedging strategies.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates a promising balance of returns with acceptable risk levels, as highlighted by its performance in a challenging asset class. While the volatility is relatively high, strategic adjustments can help manage this aspect better. To maximize its effectiveness and ensure sustainable performance, further developments and rigorous testing under varied market conditions are recommended.

Recommendation: Proceed with enhancements and further testing of the strategy. By iterating on risk management and expanding market analyses, this strategy holds the potential to deliver impressive results in the dynamic crypto trading environment.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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