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DaviddTech
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gentlesir stiffsurge avaxusdt 45m 09.07

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [1365fcc2]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE AVAXUSDT 45M 09.07

Trading Pair
AVAX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +3.91% Updated 2 hours ago
Total Return Primary
3590.65%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.25%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
33.31%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.207
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
2491.01%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1218
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 2, 2021
1,542
Days
1218
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 23, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-10-02 23:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.58
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.31
  • Calmar: -4.23
  • Longest DD Days: 278.00
  • Volatility: 50.82
  • Skew: 0.22
  • Kurtosis: -0.84
  • Expected Daily: 0.35
  • Expected Monthly: 7.53
  • Expected Yearly: 138.90
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.77
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.53
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.97
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-23 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 12
  • Number Winning Trades 612
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 606
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.23
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.21
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.20
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.21
  • Tail Ratio: 1.29
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.20
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.13
  • Serenity Index: 287.20

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+240.66%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1,033.08%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+902.82%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1,281.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1,107.76%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+3.86%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+36.22%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+30.44%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+43.07%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+40.79%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
50.2%
Total Trades
1218
Cumulative
3,590.65%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
427.19%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+18.81%
+33.56%
Simple P&L
+5.48%
+9.67%
Simple P&L
-3.51%
-1.92%
Simple P&L
2022
+21.01%
+15.15%
Simple P&L
+18.87%
+23.39%
Simple P&L
+3.20%
-10.67%
Simple P&L
+15.97%
+10.47%
Simple P&L
+3.90%
+7.87%
Simple P&L
+0.73%
+0.92%
Simple P&L
+16.09%
+16.66%
Simple P&L
+56.28%
+15.82%
Simple P&L
-46.14%
-9.40%
Simple P&L
+31.79%
+12.72%
Simple P&L
+4.69%
-3.08%
Simple P&L
+50.65%
+13.06%
Simple P&L
2023
+56.01%
+4.68%
Simple P&L
+17.84%
+0.24%
Simple P&L
-34.54%
-1.50%
Simple P&L
-18.34%
-9.93%
Simple P&L
+19.32%
+10.58%
Simple P&L
+8.06%
-2.69%
Simple P&L
-15.82%
-9.24%
Simple P&L
+23.68%
+11.38%
Simple P&L
-65.73%
-6.74%
Simple P&L
+88.78%
+24.96%
Simple P&L
-21.77%
-10.06%
Simple P&L
+17.28%
+11.22%
Simple P&L
2024
+63.74%
+18.12%
Simple P&L
+96.64%
+20.39%
Simple P&L
+18.16%
-2.51%
Simple P&L
+112.01%
+30.89%
Simple P&L
+161.68%
+22.19%
Simple P&L
+116.41%
+18.26%
Simple P&L
+286.39%
+33.02%
Simple P&L
+273.93%
+20.39%
Simple P&L
+33.15%
+4.59%
Simple P&L
-44.35%
+2.87%
Simple P&L
+226.35%
+19.99%
Simple P&L
-232.43%
-17.42%
Simple P&L
2025
+224.29%
+3.73%
Simple P&L
-50.16%
+6.15%
Simple P&L
+258.78%
+11.75%
Simple P&L
-300.95%
-11.98%
Simple P&L
+412.84%
+31.92%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1218

Number of Trades

3590.65%

Cumulative Returns

50.25%

Win Rate

2024-07-09

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

36.22%

30 Days

43.07%

60 Days

30.44%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1099640.341099.64226866.44226.87872773.9872.77
Gross Profit4100502.924100.51867063.671867.062233439.252233.44
Gross Loss3000862.583000.861640197.241640.21360665.351360.67
Commission Paid195344.798075.5397269.18
Buy & Hold Return-63740.25-63.74
Max Contracts Held6386663866.059856.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration16 days
Avg Equity Run-up56058.9856.06
Max Equity Run-up1099660.791.67
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration10 days
Avg Equity Drawdown34778.2634.78
Max Drawdown142919.233.31
Total Closed Trades718.0359.0359.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades367.0168.0199.0
Number Losing Trades351.0191.0160.0
Percent Profitable51.1146.855.43
Avg P&l1531.530.4631.940.212431.130.6
Avg Winning Trade11173.033.1811113.473.2311223.313.14
Avg Losing Trade8549.472.58587.422.458504.162.55
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3071.2941.32
Largest Winning Trade64763.4749460.5764763.47
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.358.355.69
Largest Losing Trade43227.0343227.0338401.45
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.074.073.58
Avg # Bars In Trades21.020.023.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades22.019.025.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades21.020.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.663
Sortino Ratio1.639
Profit Factor1.3661.1381.641
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3590648.643590.651041628.791041.632549019.852549.02
Gross Profit20937295.0820937.310822437.2610822.4410114857.8210114.86
Gross Loss17346646.4417346.659780808.479780.817565837.967565.84
Commission Paid978381.23536785.63441595.59
Buy & Hold Return-81875.18-81.88
Max Contracts Held420406352204.0420406.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration15 days
Avg Equity Run-up169792.7169.79
Max Equity Run-up3590669.0197.29
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration14 days
Avg Equity Drawdown129740.25129.74
Max Drawdown998516.3733.31
Total Closed Trades1218.0628.0590.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades612.0296.0316.0
Number Losing Trades606.0332.0274.0
Percent Profitable50.2547.1353.56
Avg P&l2947.990.351658.640.194320.370.52
Avg Winning Trade34211.273.2936562.293.332009.043.28
Avg Losing Trade28624.832.6229460.272.5827612.552.66
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1951.2411.159
Largest Winning Trade218825.56175643.76218825.56
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.358.355.69
Largest Losing Trade171214.39147640.19171214.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.074.073.58
Avg # Bars In Trades21.019.022.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades21.020.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.578
Sortino Ratio1.312
Profit Factor1.2071.1061.337
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 3590.65%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 134.89%
Sharpe Ratio 0.578
Profit Factor 1.207
Maximum Drawdown -33.31%
Volatility (Annualized) 50.82%

The strategy exhibits robust returns with a cumulative gain of 3590.65% and an annualized return of 134.89%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.578 indicates a commendable level of risk-adjusted returns, surpassing the threshold of 0.5, which is considered good in Crypto trading. The maximum drawdown of -33.31% falls below the critical 40% mark, highlighting effective downside protection while sustaining growth.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading under similar market conditions. It outperforms a simple buy-and-hold approach, shown by the significant negative buy & hold return (-81.88%). This suggests resilience and adaptability in adverse market conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy effectively controls risk with a maximum drawdown below 40% and no margin calls during the trading period. However, there is room for improvement in refining the risk-return profile further:

  • Introducing dynamic position sizing could enhance risk management, adjusting the strategy's exposure to market volatility.
  • Incorporating automated stop-loss mechanisms may reduce potential losses and help in managing trade exits more effectively.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters by backtesting different combinations to maximize returns while minimizing drawdowns.
  • Include additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals, potentially increasing the win rate.
  • Conduct rigorous out-of-sample testing to ensure the strategy’s robustness across varied market conditions.
  • Decrease leverage to further lower maximum drawdown, enhancing the strategy's resilience in highly volatile market periods.

Final Opinion

In summary, this strategy demonstrates good performance with strong returns and acceptable risk-adjusted metrics for the Crypto market. The strategy’s existing risk management practices are sound, though minor adjustments could further enhance its performance. Its Sharpe ratio, while positive, could be improved by stabilizing the returns and controlling volatility.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to bolster robustness, particularly in adapting the risk management framework and using leverage judiciously to handle varying market conditions more effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
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📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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