STIFFSURGE AVAXUSDT 1H 09.07
@gentlesir
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-10-03 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.73
- Sortino Ratio: 2.67
- Calmar: -7.53
- Longest DD Days: 77.00
- Volatility: 83.67
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.89
- Expected Monthly: 20.53
- Expected Yearly: 839.96
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-12 09:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 168
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 279
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -7.53
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $2,928.22 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.739 |
Profit Factor | 1.458 |
Maximum Drawdown | 27.69% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 83.67% |
Percent Profitable | 37.58% |
Annualized Return (Expected) | 839.96% |
The strategy exhibits a net profit of $2,928.22 with an annualized expected return of an impressive 839.96%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.739 indicates a strong risk-adjusted performance, well above the 0.5 benchmark for cryptocurrency strategies. The strategy's maximum drawdown of 27.69% is within acceptable thresholds, suggesting solid risk management given the high volatility levels of 83.67%.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading under current market conditions. The Sharpe ratio above 0.5 and the acceptable maximum drawdown level make it appealing, particularly in volatile markets typical for cryptocurrencies. However, the low percentage of winning trades at 37.58% suggests that outcomes rely heavily on a few large profitable trades, which warrants close monitoring.
Risk Management
The strategy demonstrates a robust approach to risk management through its ability to maintain drawdowns below 30%. However, the high volatility presents opportunities for further enhancement:
- Consider reducing leverage to decrease drawdown risk while maintaining profitability.
- Implement dynamic position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions and reduce risk exposure during high volatility periods.
- Strengthen stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential losses and protect profits.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Explore optimization of strategy parameters to balance higher returns with lower drawdowns.
- Incorporate a diverse set of technical indicators to refine trade entry and exit timing.
- Conduct additional out-of-sample testing to validate the strategy’s effectiveness across diverse market conditions.
- Adopt stress testing and more advanced volatility management techniques to improve resilience to market shocks.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases commendable performance with high potential returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. The strategy maintains a balanced maximum drawdown, suggesting effective risk management despite high volatility. However, optimization and further validation are crucial to ensure sustained success and robustness across varying market dynamics.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and validation of the strategy. Implement risk management enhancements and consider the proposed improvements to bolster its resilience and adaptability in diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 11.57% | 15.73% | -9.79% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 10.34% | 1.58% | 26.17% | 11.23% | 18.81% | 34.49% | 4.48% | 27.75% | 6.97% | 14.39% | -5.25% | 8.89% |
2022 | 5.17% | 10.98% | 11.17% | 4.05% | -1.35% | 5.09% | 15.59% | 27.01% | 14.65% | 17.40% | -19.61% | 3.77% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.58% | 28.24% | -2.32% |
Live Trades Stats
AVAX
Base Currency
24
Number of Trades
16.92%
Cumulative Returns
37.5%
Win Rate
2024-09-07
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
6.05%
30 Days
54.32%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,545,624.22 USD | 2,545.62 | 858,526.30 USD | 858.53 | 1,687,097.92 USD | 1,687.10 |
Gross Profit | 7,643,887.68 | 7,643.89 | 3,794,666.28 | 3,794.67 | 3,849,221.41 | 3,849.22 |
Gross Loss | 5,098,263.46 | 5,098.26 | 2,936,139.97 | 2,936.14 | 2,162,123.49 | 2,162.12 |
Max Run-up | 2,853,101.70 | 96.83 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 446,115.68 | 30.15 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −68,552.28 | −68.55 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.712 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.589 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.499 | 1.292 | 1.78 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 164,661 | 163,877 | 164,661 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 215,798.52 | 118,649.17 | 97,149.35 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 424 | 228 | 196 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 159 | 81 | 78 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 265 | 147 | 118 | |||
Percent Profitable | 37.50 | 35.53 | 39.80 | |||
Avg Trade | 6,003.83 | 0.91 | 3,765.47 | 0.73 | 8,607.64 | 1.11 |
Avg Winning Trade | 48,074.77 | 7.39 | 46,847.73 | 7.49 | 49,348.99 | 7.28 |
Avg Losing Trade | 19,238.73 | 2.98 | 19,973.74 | 2.99 | 18,323.08 | 2.96 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.499 | 2.345 | 2.693 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 338,807.90 | 14.93 | 338,807.90 | 9.02 | 324,556.65 | 14.93 |
Largest Losing Trade | 139,917.70 | 3.61 | 101,243.87 | 3.61 | 139,917.70 | 3.61 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 39 | 32 | 48 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 53 | 41 | 66 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 28 | 36 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,928,220.85 USD | 2,928.22 | 1,547,224.53 USD | 1,547.22 | 1,380,996.32 USD | 1,381.00 |
Gross Profit | 9,318,585.03 | 9,318.59 | 5,226,384.76 | 5,226.38 | 4,092,200.27 | 4,092.20 |
Gross Loss | 6,390,364.17 | 6,390.36 | 3,679,160.23 | 3,679.16 | 2,711,203.95 | 2,711.20 |
Max Run-up | 3,256,014.31 | 97.22 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 456,752.72 | 30.15 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −58,496.44 | −58.50 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.728 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.666 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.458 | 1.421 | 1.509 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 178,003 | 178,003 | 174,671 | |||
Open PL | −77,884.60 | −2.57 | ||||
Commission Paid | 271,877.19 | 156,218.24 | 115,658.96 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 447 | 244 | 203 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 168 | 88 | 80 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 279 | 156 | 123 | |||
Percent Profitable | 37.58 | 36.07 | 39.41 | |||
Avg Trade | 6,550.83 | 0.91 | 6,341.08 | 0.78 | 6,802.94 | 1.06 |
Avg Winning Trade | 55,467.77 | 7.35 | 59,390.74 | 7.46 | 51,152.50 | 7.23 |
Avg Losing Trade | 22,904.53 | 2.97 | 23,584.36 | 2.98 | 22,042.31 | 2.96 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.422 | 2.518 | 2.321 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 347,341.21 | 14.93 | 347,341.21 | 9.02 | 324,556.65 | 14.93 |
Largest Losing Trade | 146,881.92 | 3.61 | 143,654.86 | 3.61 | 146,881.92 | 3.61 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 39 | 32 | 48 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 53 | 41 | 66 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 27 | 36 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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