Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c447c7d8]
🛡️ STIFFSURGE AVAXUSDT 1H 09.07
@gentlesir
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 6 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-10-03 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.67
- Sortino Ratio: 2.09
- Calmar: -6.64
- Longest DD Days: 77.00
- Volatility: 82.33
- Skew: 0.97
- Kurtosis: 0.02
- Expected Daily: 0.83
- Expected Monthly: 18.94
- Expected Yearly: 701.37
- Kelly Criterion: 9.09
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.05
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.26
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-27 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 4
- Number Winning Trades 190
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 325
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.64
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.33
- Payoff Ratio: 2.28
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.33
- Tail Ratio: 2.28
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.82
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 296.60
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 3442.09% |
CAGR | 178.99% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 |
Profit Factor | 1.35 |
Maximum Drawdown | -30.10% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 82.06% |
Percent Profitable | 36.79% |
The trading strategy displays a commendable net profit of 3442.09% with a striking CAGR of 178.99%, indicating its high return potential. The Sharpe ratio of 0.66 suggests reasonably favorable risk-adjusted returns given the crypto market's inherent volatility. The strategy's maximum drawdown of -30.10% is well-managed within acceptable bounds under the defined criteria, providing sufficient downside protection.
Strategy Viability
Based on the current metrics, the strategy appears viable for real-world trading, particularly in volatile market conditions where it thrives. The strategy's performance comfortably surpasses the necessary benchmarks in key areas, such as profitability and risk management. However, monitoring market conditions for continued compatibility is critical, especially considering the crypto market's dynamic nature.
Risk Management
The strategy embraces a sound risk management approach, with no margin calls and a controlled maximum drawdown. Recommendations for improved risk management include:
- Reducing leverage further to decrease maximum drawdown efficiently.
- Enhancing stop-loss mechanisms to mitigate potential losses.
- Implementing a diversified portfolio strategy to cushion against single-sector volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s overall performance and ensure its durability, consider the following suggestions:
- Refine the strategy's parameters for optimized returns consistent with acceptable risk levels.
- Integrate additional technical indicators to improve trade decision accuracy.
- Ensure comprehensive out-of-sample and forward-testing across market cycles to validate robustness.
- Expand the risk management framework to incorporate measures like stress testing and scenario analysis.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates impressive profitability and solid risk-adjusted performance, characterized by a high CAGR and acceptable drawdown levels. While boasting significant returns, the strategy would benefit from continued refinement and testing to sustain its success.
Recommendation: Pursue further optimization and testing of the strategy. Implement suggested adjustments and enhancements for greater stability and enhanced risk management in an evolving market landscape.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.57% | 28.24% | -2.32% |
2022 | 5.18% | 10.98% | 11.18% | 4.05% | -1.35% | 5.09% | 15.58% | 27.03% | 14.63% | 17.58% | -19.55% | 3.95% |
2023 | 10.43% | 1.63% | 26.26% | 11.29% | 18.77% | 34.45% | 4.50% | 27.81% | 6.99% | 14.53% | -5.19% | 8.91% |
2024 | 11.58% | 15.75% | -9.78% | 0.94% | 9.24% | 12.89% | 27.78% | 45.35% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
AVAX
Base Currency
125
Number of Trades
81.48%
Cumulative Returns
34.4%
Win Rate
2024-07-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
15.63%
30 Days
-12.66%
60 Days
13.48%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -27636.13 | -1.41 | ||||
Net Profit | 1856221.31 | 1856.22 | 673065.82 | 673.07 | 1183155.49 | 1183.16 |
Gross Profit | 5561566.35 | 5561.57 | 2862976.88 | 2862.98 | 2698589.47 | 2698.59 |
Gross Loss | 3705345.04 | 3705.35 | 2189911.05 | 2189.91 | 1515433.98 | 1515.43 |
Commission Paid | 160857.82 | 90357.82 | 70500.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -62858.19 | -62.86 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2041248.31 | 95.63 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 451026.01 | 30.1 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 166329.0 | 165367.0 | 166329.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 391.0 | 211.0 | 180.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 147.0 | 76.0 | 71.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 244.0 | 135.0 | 109.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 37.6 | 36.02 | 39.44 | |||
Avg P&l | 4747.37 | 0.9 | 3189.89 | 0.79 | 6573.09 | 1.04 |
Avg Winning Trade | 37833.78 | 7.33 | 37670.75 | 7.48 | 38008.3 | 7.16 |
Avg Losing Trade | 15185.84 | 2.97 | 16221.56 | 2.98 | 13903.06 | 2.94 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.491 | 2.322 | 2.734 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 231669.31 | 174025.54 | 231669.31 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 14.93 | 9.01 | 14.93 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 79081.98 | 79081.98 | 54371.86 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.58 | 3.58 | 3.58 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 40.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 52.0 | 39.0 | 66.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 32.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.739 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.42 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.501 | 1.307 | 1.781 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -10217.62 | -0.27 | ||||
Net Profit | 3677915.66 | 3677.92 | 1817136.93 | 1817.14 | 1860778.72 | 1860.78 |
Gross Profit | 14103258.14 | 14103.26 | 8014157.76 | 8014.16 | 6089100.38 | 6089.1 |
Gross Loss | 10425342.49 | 10425.34 | 6197020.83 | 6197.02 | 4228321.66 | 4228.32 |
Commission Paid | 425856.6 | 247395.26 | 178461.34 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -66944.54 | -66.94 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 4524536.41 | 97.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1114430.98 | 30.1 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 255965.0 | 255965.0 | 255418.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 515.0 | 282.0 | 233.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 190.0 | 99.0 | 91.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 325.0 | 183.0 | 142.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 36.89 | 35.11 | 39.06 | |||
Avg P&l | 7141.58 | 0.84 | 6443.75 | 0.7 | 7986.17 | 1.02 |
Avg Winning Trade | 74227.67 | 7.38 | 80951.09 | 7.5 | 66913.19 | 7.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 32077.98 | 2.98 | 33863.5 | 2.99 | 29776.91 | 2.97 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.314 | 2.391 | 2.247 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 446857.72 | 446857.72 | 337283.12 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 14.93 | 9.01 | 14.93 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 199220.9 | 199220.9 | 152035.65 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.58 | 3.58 | 3.58 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 38.0 | 32.0 | 47.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 51.0 | 40.0 | 63.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.672 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.089 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.353 | 1.293 | 1.44 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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