Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c447c7d8]
🛡️ STIFFSURGE AVAXUSDT 1H 09.07
@gentlesir
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-10-03 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.73
- Sortino Ratio: 2.67
- Calmar: -7.53
- Longest DD Days: 77.00
- Volatility: 83.67
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.89
- Expected Monthly: 20.53
- Expected Yearly: 839.96
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-12 09:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 168
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 279
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -7.53
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 2856.74% |
Annualized Return (Expected Yearly) | 831.74% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.731 |
Profit Factor | 1.447 |
Maximum Drawdown | -27.69% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 83.76% |
The strategy exhibits robust returns with a cumulative gain of 2856.74% and an expected annualized return of 831.74%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.731 signifies good risk-adjusted returns in the crypto market context. The maximum drawdown of -27.69% is well within acceptable limits, highlighting effective risk management. A profit factor of 1.447 indicates a positive risk-reward balance overall.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions. It effectively capitalizes on market opportunities with above-average returns and acceptable drawdowns. The strategy performs well under expected market conditions with a satisfactory recovery from drawdowns. A specialized approach that continues to leverage current market conditions could ensure ongoing success.
Risk Management
The strategy embraces appropriate risk management techniques, reflected in its relatively moderate maximum drawdown and effective gains. However, the high annualized volatility suggests an opportunity for improvement in mitigating daily price movements. Enhancing risk management could include:
- Reduce leverage, which can help manage maximum drawdown more effectively.
- Incorporate more comprehensive stop-loss mechanisms to contain potential losses.
- Adjust position sizing dynamically based on changing market conditions.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's robustness and performance further, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to boost performance while controlling drawdowns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators or machine learning methods to improve trade decisions.
- Conduct thorough out-of-sample and forward testing to validate the strategy's robustness under diverse conditions.
- Enhance the risk management framework with advanced techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) adjustments and stress testing scenarios.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates commendable performance with strong returns and good risk-adjusted metrics. Despite the relatively high volatility, it maintains a balanced drawdown level, showcasing efficient risk management. However, further parameter optimization and rigorous testing are essential to ensure its resilience across differing market environments.
Recommendation: Proceed with fine-tuning and optimization of the strategy. Implement the suggested improvements to bolster robustness and adapt the risk management framework for increased market volatilities efficiently.
```Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 11.57% | 15.73% | -9.79% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 10.34% | 1.58% | 26.17% | 11.23% | 18.81% | 34.49% | 4.48% | 27.75% | 6.97% | 14.39% | -5.25% | 8.89% |
2022 | 5.17% | 10.98% | 11.17% | 4.05% | -1.35% | 5.09% | 15.59% | 27.01% | 14.65% | 17.40% | -19.61% | 3.77% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.58% | 28.24% | -2.32% |
Live Trades Stats
AVAX
Base Currency
57
Number of Trades
53.88%
Cumulative Returns
36.84%
Win Rate
2024-07-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
6.05%
30 Days
54.32%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,831,140.89 USD | 1,831.14 | 663,768.54 USD | 663.77 | 1,167,372.35 USD | 1,167.37 |
Gross Profit | 5,516,061.25 | 5,516.06 | 2,840,469.90 | 2,840.47 | 2,675,591.35 | 2,675.59 |
Gross Loss | 3,684,920.36 | 3,684.92 | 2,176,701.36 | 2,176.70 | 1,508,219.00 | 1,508.22 |
Max Run-up | 2,013,892.84 | 95.57 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 446,115.68 | 30.15 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −62,858.19 | −62.86 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.736 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.402 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.497 | 1.305 | 1.774 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 164,661 | 163,877 | 164,661 | |||
Open PL | −27,281.81 | −1.41 | ||||
Commission Paid | 159,329.16 | 89,490.18 | 69,838.98 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 391 | 211 | 180 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 147 | 76 | 71 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 244 | 135 | 109 | |||
Percent Profitable | 37.60 | 36.02 | 39.44 | |||
Avg Trade | 4,683.22 | 0.90 | 3,145.82 | 0.78 | 6,485.40 | 1.04 |
Avg Winning Trade | 37,524.23 | 7.34 | 37,374.60 | 7.49 | 37,684.39 | 7.17 |
Avg Losing Trade | 15,102.13 | 2.98 | 16,123.71 | 2.99 | 13,836.87 | 2.96 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.485 | 2.318 | 2.723 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 229,042.93 | 14.93 | 172,008.68 | 9.02 | 229,042.93 | 14.93 |
Largest Losing Trade | 78,276.25 | 3.61 | 78,276.25 | 3.61 | 54,312.88 | 3.61 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 40 | 32 | 48 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 52 | 39 | 66 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 32 | 29 | 37 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,928,220.85 USD | 2,928.22 | 1,547,224.53 USD | 1,547.22 | 1,380,996.32 USD | 1,381.00 |
Gross Profit | 9,318,585.03 | 9,318.59 | 5,226,384.76 | 5,226.38 | 4,092,200.27 | 4,092.20 |
Gross Loss | 6,390,364.17 | 6,390.36 | 3,679,160.23 | 3,679.16 | 2,711,203.95 | 2,711.20 |
Max Run-up | 3,256,014.31 | 97.22 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 456,752.72 | 30.15 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −58,496.44 | −58.50 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.728 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.666 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.458 | 1.421 | 1.509 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 178,003 | 178,003 | 174,671 | |||
Open PL | −77,884.60 | −2.57 | ||||
Commission Paid | 271,877.19 | 156,218.24 | 115,658.96 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 447 | 244 | 203 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 168 | 88 | 80 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 279 | 156 | 123 | |||
Percent Profitable | 37.58 | 36.07 | 39.41 | |||
Avg Trade | 6,550.83 | 0.91 | 6,341.08 | 0.78 | 6,802.94 | 1.06 |
Avg Winning Trade | 55,467.77 | 7.35 | 59,390.74 | 7.46 | 51,152.50 | 7.23 |
Avg Losing Trade | 22,904.53 | 2.97 | 23,584.36 | 2.98 | 22,042.31 | 2.96 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.422 | 2.518 | 2.321 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 347,341.21 | 14.93 | 347,341.21 | 9.02 | 324,556.65 | 14.93 |
Largest Losing Trade | 146,881.92 | 3.61 | 143,654.86 | 3.61 | 146,881.92 | 3.61 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 39 | 32 | 48 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 53 | 41 | 66 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 27 | 36 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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