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gentlesir jptrendforce avaxusdt 1h 11.03.2025

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1 hour @gentlesir
● Live

JPTRENDFORCE AVAXUSDT 1H 11.03.2025

Trading Pair
AVAX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 10, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +16.66% Updated 6 hours ago
Total Return Primary
2274.18%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
48.02%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
52.48%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.546
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
974.59%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
252
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 6, 2021
1,498
Days
252
Trades
Last Trade
Nov 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-10-06 16:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.01
  • Calmar: -0.42
  • Longest DD Days: 43.00
  • Volatility: 10.54
  • Skew: 0.67
  • Kurtosis: 6.66
  • Expected Daily: 0.08
  • Expected Monthly: 1.78
  • Expected Yearly: 23.57
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.93
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.82
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.59
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-11-11 09:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 121
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 131
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.42
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.54
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.67
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.54
  • Tail Ratio: 1.51
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.44
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 7.05
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.03
  • Serenity Index: 0.86

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+186.59%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+653.96%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-372.98%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+347.39%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-187.27%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+16.66%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+46.03%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+7.20%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+39.18%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+22.37%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
48.0%
Total Trades
252
Cumulative
2,274.18%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
347.97%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+6.26%
-7.80%
Simple P&L
-14.69%
-18.87%
Simple P&L
+2.59%
+6.11%
Simple P&L
2022
-2.49%
-3.61%
Simple P&L
+3.59%
-8.46%
Simple P&L
-2.70%
-1.24%
Simple P&L
+28.46%
+26.55%
Simple P&L
+5.42%
+9.06%
Simple P&L
+7.14%
+11.42%
Simple P&L
+34.33%
+28.99%
Simple P&L
-23.80%
-31.29%
Simple P&L
+10.77%
+5.09%
Simple P&L
-15.95%
-13.81%
Simple P&L
+20.54%
+8.39%
Simple P&L
-9.27%
+8.95%
Simple P&L
2023
+31.43%
+16.26%
Simple P&L
+28.71%
+9.59%
Simple P&L
+0.69%
+7.30%
Simple P&L
-5.09%
-5.13%
Simple P&L
-2.78%
+8.08%
Simple P&L
-35.14%
-22.54%
Simple P&L
+7.96%
+16.53%
Simple P&L
-3.18%
-2.42%
Simple P&L
-28.05%
-4.16%
Simple P&L
+42.18%
+11.90%
Simple P&L
+55.75%
+31.86%
Simple P&L
+26.51%
+5.87%
Simple P&L
2024
+38.92%
+9.62%
Simple P&L
-20.88%
-0.54%
Simple P&L
-51.93%
-20.37%
Simple P&L
+54.37%
+5.33%
Simple P&L
+53.82%
+7.56%
Simple P&L
+31.41%
+14.81%
Simple P&L
+63.63%
+12.21%
Simple P&L
+71.68%
+16.92%
Simple P&L
+128.78%
+19.40%
Simple P&L
+99.22%
+7.08%
Simple P&L
+246.61%
+34.94%
Simple P&L
+30.84%
+21.23%
Simple P&L
2025
+231.44%
+14.35%
Simple P&L
+176.11%
+26.46%
Simple P&L
+370.02%
+16.93%
Simple P&L
+604.38%
+30.53%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

252

Number of Trades

2274.18%

Cumulative Returns

48.02%

Win Rate

2025-03-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

46.03%

30 Days

39.18%

60 Days

7.2%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit13919.821391.984443.63444.369476.19947.62
Gross Profit25026.622502.6610946.731094.6714079.891407.99
Gross Loss11106.791110.686503.1650.314603.69460.37
Commission Paid939.37474.86464.51
Buy & Hold Return-763.29-76.33
Max Contracts Held413411.0413.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration42 days
Avg Equity Run-up1348.96134.9
Max Equity Run-up14087.9894.42
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration58 days
Avg Equity Drawdown590.459.04
Max Drawdown1383.4937.94
Total Closed Trades206.0104.0102.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades97.044.053.0
Number Losing Trades109.060.049.0
Percent Profitable47.0942.3151.96
Avg P&l67.571.342.730.8192.91.8
Avg Winning Trade258.018.69248.799.06265.668.38
Avg Losing Trade101.95.28108.385.2493.955.33
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5322.2952.828
Largest Winning Trade1902.931241.521902.93
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.4212.7913.42
Largest Losing Trade697.29697.29557.57
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.118.117.88
Avg # Bars In Trades66.058.075.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades73.068.077.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades60.051.072.0
Sharpe Ratio0.508
Sortino Ratio1.198
Profit Factor2.2531.6833.058
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit22741.752274.188097.37809.7414644.381464.44
Gross Profit64401.316440.1328687.762868.7835713.553571.35
Gross Loss41659.554165.9620590.392059.0421069.172106.92
Commission Paid2888.631451.331437.3
Buy & Hold Return-744.61-74.46
Max Contracts Held26342634.02249.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration36 days
Avg Equity Run-up2701.46270.15
Max Equity Run-up31167.2197.4
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration55 days
Avg Equity Drawdown2593.42259.34
Max Drawdown16580.3652.48
Total Closed Trades252.0127.0125.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades121.057.064.0
Number Losing Trades131.070.061.0
Percent Profitable48.0244.8851.2
Avg P&l90.251.3863.761.03117.161.74
Avg Winning Trade532.248.63503.298.74558.028.54
Avg Losing Trade318.015.32294.155.25345.45.4
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6741.7111.616
Largest Winning Trade4362.342810.354362.34
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.3412.7913.34
Largest Losing Trade3164.552542.983164.55
Largest Losing Trade Percent8.118.117.88
Avg # Bars In Trades65.056.075.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades73.066.080.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades58.049.069.0
Sharpe Ratio0.47
Sortino Ratio1.005
Profit Factor1.5461.3931.695
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 227.42%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 5.12%
Sharpe Ratio 0.47
Profit Factor 1.546
Maximum Drawdown 52.48%
Volatility 10.54%

The strategy showcases robust cumulative returns of 227.42%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.47 is slightly below the desirable level for the crypto domain. The Profit Factor of 1.546 indicates a positive return per unit of risk taken. However, a maximum drawdown of 52.48% is beyond optimal thresholds, suggesting heightened vulnerability during adverse market phases.

Strategy Viability

This strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world application, particularly in markets characterized by favorable conditions. The performance under a prolonged period showcases steady gains. However, the relatively high drawdown indicates potential exposure to significant losses. It requires a reevaluation under different market conditions to ensure persistency.

Risk Management

The risk management facets require further bolstering to reduce exposure significantly. Recommended actions include analyzing leverage usage to decrease drawdown levels below 40%. Despite having no margin calls, the strategy’s risk profile could benefit from enhanced mechanisms:

  • Implement stringent position sizing to manage risk exposure effectively.
  • Introduce or tighten stop-loss systems to prevent outsized losses.
  • Reduce leverage usage to decrease maximum drawdown exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

Some recommendations to enhance performance and stability include:

  • Refine technical indicators to pinpoint better entry and exit signals.
  • Perform parameter optimization to enhance returns without increasing risk.
  • Conduct further backtesting under varying market conditions to check robustness.
  • Consider employing additional risk management strategies like diversifying asset classes.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates substantial cumulative returns, the Sharpe Ratio and maximum drawdown flag areas for improvement. Although the strategy has promising elements, refining risk management techniques and undertaking further robust testing is crucial for future efficacy.

Recommendation: Proceed with strategy refinement and rigorous testing, emphasizing risk mitigation and performance optimization to increase resilience and longevity within varied market landscapes.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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