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Traders should know
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gentlesir hacelsma pendleusdt 30m 17.12.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

🚀 Heiken-Ashi CE LSMA [v5.1] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [9f2f38dd]

🛡️ HACELSMA PENDLEUSDT 30M 17.12.2024

Trading Pair
PENDLE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
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  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +10.12% Updated 31 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
198.12%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.76%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
40.43%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.18
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
20.18%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
293
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 11, 2023
853
Days
293
Trades
Last Trade
Nov 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-07-11 18:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.38
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.77
  • Calmar: -0.58
  • Longest DD Days: 65.00
  • Volatility: 1.59
  • Skew: 0.55
  • Kurtosis: -0.10
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.14
  • Expected Yearly: 1.67
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.66
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.15
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.16
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-11-11 06:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 137
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 156
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.58
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.17
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.35
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.17
  • Tail Ratio: 1.34
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.53
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 0.70

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+2.29%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+35.07%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+11.77%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+37.63%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+10.56%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+1.64%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+15.09%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-1.43%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+6.62%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-11.60%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
46.8%
Total Trades
293
Cumulative
198.12%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
107.22%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+21.79%
+28.42%
Simple P&L
-4.72%
-6.83%
Simple P&L
+2.49%
-1.61%
Simple P&L
+8.66%
+15.89%
Simple P&L
+13.06%
+14.66%
Simple P&L
-3.66%
-1.59%
Simple P&L
2024
+6.95%
+0.62%
Simple P&L
+17.34%
+6.51%
Simple P&L
+2.67%
+3.52%
Simple P&L
+20.73%
+12.78%
Simple P&L
+14.94%
+6.85%
Simple P&L
-7.20%
-0.39%
Simple P&L
+45.46%
+14.54%
Simple P&L
+13.12%
+8.75%
Simple P&L
+54.57%
+16.15%
Simple P&L
+2.73%
+6.97%
Simple P&L
-28.09%
-10.90%
Simple P&L
+2.16%
-5.37%
Simple P&L
2025
+26.51%
+11.18%
Simple P&L
-3.64%
+3.60%
Simple P&L
-0.13%
+0.25%
Simple P&L
-33.64%
-11.76%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

293

Number of Trades

198.12%

Cumulative Returns

46.76%

Win Rate

2024-12-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

15.09%

30 Days

6.62%

60 Days

-1.43%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l68.672.47
Net Profit1775.09177.51828.0582.8947.0594.7
Gross Profit6267.81626.783582.68358.272685.13268.51
Gross Loss4492.71449.272754.63275.461738.08173.81
Commission Paid569.01324.31244.7
Buy & Hold Return6647.89664.79
Max Contracts Held36603250.03660.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration18 days
Avg Equity Run-up276.7127.67
Max Equity Run-up2246.569.23
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration15 days
Avg Equity Drawdown216.3421.63
Max Drawdown475.9218.23
Total Closed Trades168.077.091.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades87.032.055.0
Number Losing Trades81.045.036.0
Percent Profitable51.7941.5660.44
Avg P&l10.570.710.750.3310.411.02
Avg Winning Trade72.044.15111.964.8848.823.73
Avg Losing Trade55.473.061.212.948.283.12
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2991.8291.011
Largest Winning Trade290.59290.59145.12
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.766.764.98
Largest Losing Trade176.05167.84176.05
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.853.853.84
Avg # Bars In Trades26.024.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades28.029.028.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.020.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.673
Sortino Ratio2.136
Profit Factor1.3951.3011.545
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1981.24198.12388.7538.871592.49159.25
Gross Profit13012.031301.27028.91702.895983.12598.31
Gross Loss11030.791103.086640.16664.024390.63439.06
Commission Paid1296.23710.39585.83
Buy & Hold Return2590.46259.05
Max Contracts Held36603250.03660.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration21 days
Avg Equity Run-up359.4335.94
Max Equity Run-up2884.0674.28
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown349.534.95
Max Drawdown1560.5740.43
Total Closed Trades293.0138.0155.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades137.053.084.0
Number Losing Trades156.085.071.0
Percent Profitable46.7638.4154.19
Avg P&l6.760.372.820.0910.270.61
Avg Winning Trade94.984.2132.624.9571.233.72
Avg Losing Trade70.713.078.122.9561.843.07
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.3431.6981.152
Largest Winning Trade296.09296.09224.3
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.766.764.98
Largest Losing Trade183.35183.35176.05
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.853.853.84
Avg # Bars In Trades26.025.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.031.025.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.021.030.0
Sharpe Ratio0.379
Sortino Ratio0.77
Profit Factor1.181.0591.363
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 19.58%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 0.84%
Sharpe Ratio 0.377
Profit Factor 1.178
Maximum Drawdown -40.43%
Volatility (Annualized) 159.00%

The strategy has achieved a cumulative return of 19.58% with an annualized CAGR of 0.84%. While the Sharpe Ratio is slightly below the ideal threshold at 0.377, there's the potential for improvement. The profit factor of 1.178 indicates a positive expectancy per trade, though room for enhancement remains. Notably, the maximum drawdown is at the upper limit of acceptable risk, suggesting potential improvements in risk management could be beneficial.

Strategy Viability

The strategy shows promise but requires further refinement for real-world application. Given that the Sharpe Ratio and drawdown are within a manageable range, it indicates basic viability. However, it's critical to observe if the strategy performs optimally in specific market conditions, and whether those conditions are likely to persist.

Risk Management

Improvement in risk management could significantly enhance the strategy:

  • Consider reducing leverage to decrease the risk, which might lead to a reduction in maximum drawdown.
  • Implement stop-loss mechanisms to mitigate excess losses on individual trades.
  • Explore diversifying the asset base to stabilize performance across varying market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To fortify the strategy's robustness and profitability, these recommendations should be considered:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to enhance both return and risk metrics.
  • Integrate additional technical indicators to improve timing in trade execution.
  • Conduct more comprehensive out-of-sample testing to gauge strategy performance consistency.
  • Explore enhancing the volatility management approach to better adapt to market changes.

Final Opinion

The strategy displays potential with a positive profit factor and sustainable returns. Nevertheless, refining risk management and conducting further optimizations will be crucial in enhancing its performance metrics.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and testing. Introduce the improvements identified to bolster its robustness and adaptability to dynamic market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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