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Traders should know
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gentlesir hacelsma adausdt 30m 17.12.2024

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @gentlesir
● Live

🚀 Heiken-Ashi CE LSMA [v5.1] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [32276c68]

🛡️ HACELSMA ADAUSDT 30M 17.12.2024

Trading Pair
ADA
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-2.15% Updated 11 hours ago
Total Return Primary
26.68%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
43.61%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.087
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.55%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
133
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 9, 2025
425
Days
133
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 9, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2025-01-09 18:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.21
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.43
  • Calmar: -0.76
  • Longest DD Days: 71.00
  • Volatility: 0.88
  • Skew: 0.49
  • Kurtosis: -0.70
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.03
  • Expected Yearly: 0.38
  • Kelly Criterion: 4.32
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.08
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-09 11:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 58
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 75
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.76
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.11
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.39
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.11
  • Tail Ratio: 1.36
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.25
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.26

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.31%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.48%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+1.41%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.22%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.30%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-2.15%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-8.84%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+25.44%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+11.52%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+25.74%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
43.6%
Total Trades
133
Cumulative
-2.55%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
18.24%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025
-3.39%
-4.13%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
+5.49%
Simple P&L
+0.99%
+5.62%
Simple P&L
+1.02%
-0.36%
Simple P&L
-1.38%
-14.44%
Simple P&L
-0.88%
+5.12%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
-3.64%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
+3.92%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

133

Number of Trades

-2.55%

Cumulative Returns

43.61%

Win Rate

2024-12-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-8.84%

30 Days

11.52%

60 Days

25.44%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit266.7926.6897.09.7169.816.98
Gross Profit3334.46333.45706.3570.642628.11262.81
Gross Loss3067.67306.77609.3660.942458.31245.83
Expected Payoff2.013.131.66
Commission Paid314.2776.39237.88
Buy & Hold Return-731.35-73.14
Buy & Hold % Gain-73.2
Strategy Outperformance998.14
Max Contracts Held83266695.08326.0
Annualized Return (cagr)22.048.1114.12
Return On Initial Capital26.689.716.98
Account Size Required330.63
Return On Account Size Required80.6929.3451.35
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)46 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)265.926.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)475.347.53
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)679.2844.67
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)67.93
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)36 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)212.7521.28
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.810.290.51
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)302.3730.24
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)330.6326.92
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)33.06
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss279.36132.68177.79
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.5213.195.74
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.1112.03.88
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades133.031.0102.0
Number Winning Trades58.014.044.0
Number Losing Trades75.017.058.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable43.6145.1643.14
Avg P&l2.010.143.130.051.660.16
Avg Winning Trade57.494.650.453.6959.734.89
Avg Losing Trade40.93.3235.842.9442.383.43
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4061.4081.409
Largest Winning Trade150.7893.17150.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.635.387.63
Largest Losing Trade95.573.195.5
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.834.054.83
Avg # Bars In Trades43.026.048.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades50.024.058.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades38.027.041.0
Sharpe Ratio0.206
Sortino Ratio0.431
Profit Factor1.0871.1591.069
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit266.7926.6897.09.7169.816.98
Gross Profit3334.46333.45706.3570.642628.11262.81
Gross Loss3067.67306.77609.3660.942458.31245.83
Expected Payoff2.013.131.66
Commission Paid314.2776.39237.88
Buy & Hold Return-731.35-73.14
Buy & Hold % Gain-73.2
Strategy Outperformance998.14
Max Contracts Held83266695.08326.0
Annualized Return (cagr)22.048.1114.12
Return On Initial Capital26.689.716.98
Account Size Required330.63
Return On Account Size Required80.6929.3451.35
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)46 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)265.926.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)475.347.53
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)679.2844.67
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)67.93
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)36 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)212.7521.28
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.810.290.51
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)302.3730.24
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)330.6326.92
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)33.06
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss279.36132.68177.79
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.5213.195.74
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.1112.03.88
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades133.031.0102.0
Number Winning Trades58.014.044.0
Number Losing Trades75.017.058.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable43.6145.1643.14
Avg P&l2.010.143.130.051.660.16
Avg Winning Trade57.494.650.453.6959.734.89
Avg Losing Trade40.93.3235.842.9442.383.43
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4061.4081.409
Largest Winning Trade150.7893.17150.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.635.387.63
Largest Losing Trade95.573.195.5
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.834.054.83
Avg # Bars In Trades43.026.048.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades50.024.058.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades38.027.041.0
Sharpe Ratio0.206
Sortino Ratio0.431
Profit Factor1.0871.1591.069
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 32.32%
Annualized Return (CAGR) 27.19%
Sharpe Ratio 0.253
Profit Factor 1.108
Maximum Drawdown 33.06%
Volatility (Annualized) 0.89%

The strategy shows a respectable cumulative return of 32.32% with an annualized return of 27.19%. The Sharpe Ratio, which is slightly below the desirable 0.5 threshold at 0.253, indicates room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 33.06% is within acceptable limits, showing decent downside protection. The profit factor slightly above 1 suggests the strategy is modestly profitable, earning slightly more than what it loses.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, while the strategy shows promise, its viability in real-world trading could be improved with adjustments. The returns are competitive, given the market context with successful outperformance relative to a challenging market. However, the strategy should achieve higher Sharpe and profit factors under typical market conditions to ensure robustness and persistence.

Risk Management

The current risk management approach, as evidenced by the maximum drawdown and zero margin calls, is relatively sound but could be further enhanced. Suggestions for improvement include:

  • Reduce leverage usage to decrease the inherent risk of large losses, which can lower the already acceptable drawdown significantly.
  • Enhance stop-loss mechanisms to keep losses at bay and manage equity run-ups more effectively.
  • Improve position sizing rules to better account for the volatility and market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize existing parameters and explore additional technical indicators, which might improve entry and exit timing.
  • Conduct robust backtesting across different market cycles to assure the strategy's adaptability.
  • Incorporate systematic approaches for risk adjustments, like Value-at-Risk analyses and scenario stress testing, to better manage unseen risks.
  • Consider integrating machine learning elements to dynamically adjust strategy components based on market fluctuations.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy presents a solid starting point with its strengths being a reasonable return and acceptable drawdown. Despite a lower-than-ideal Sharpe Ratio, improvements in risk management and parameter optimization could substantially increase its attractiveness. The strategy shows significant promise, especially in outperforming a bearish market, which demonstrates its potential resilience.

Recommendation: It is advisable to proceed with cautious optimism, focusing on rigorous testing and refinement of the strategy. Implement enhancements to boost returns and risk management, ensuring its robustness in varied market environments for long-term viability.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
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W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

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