🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [a67d7a7f]
🛡️ FVMA MATIC 30MIN
@kubajs_vr
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-09 06:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.83
- Sortino Ratio: 4.47
- Calmar: -1.34
- Longest DD Days: 50.00
- Volatility: 0.66
- Skew: -0.22
- Kurtosis: -145,543.27
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.14
- Expected Yearly: 1.74
- Kelly Criterion: 21.39
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.08
- Last Trade Date: 2024-08-28 08:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 11
- Number Winning Trades 187
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 108
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.34
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.51
- Payoff Ratio: 0.87
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.51
- Tail Ratio: 1.06
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.71
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.38
- Recovery Factor: 4.08
- Ulcer Index: 0.01
- Serenity Index: 3.95
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 2025.77% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.828 |
Sortino Ratio | 4.471 |
Profit Factor | 1.511 |
Maximum Drawdown | 24.16% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 66.11% |
Percent Profitable | 63.39% |
The strategy delivers impressive net profit with a significant cumulative return of 2025.77% over the analyzed period. It boasts an acceptable Sharpe Ratio of 0.828, indicating respectable risk-adjusted returns in the context of cryptocurrency trading. The Profit Factor of 1.511 suggests a favorable balance between gains and losses, while the maximum drawdown of 24.16% is quite manageable, showcasing robust downside protection.
Strategy Viability
Given the metrics provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading scenarios, particularly in environments where it can capitalize on volatile market conditions while maintaining its strong risk management profile. The relative low drawdown and high Sharpe Ratio, in conjunction with a 63.39% win rate, underscore the strategy's competency in achieving consistent profit margins. However, it's critical to validate these results against prolonged market shifts to ensure sustainability.
Risk Management
The strategy incorporates solid risk management practices, evidenced by a relatively low maximum drawdown and a Gain/Pain Ratio above 1.5. Nonetheless, the high annualized volatility (66.11%) calls for refinement in handling market fluctuations. Potential areas for bolstering risk management include:
- Exploring the use of adaptive position sizing models that adjust positions based on market volatility.
- Adding more comprehensive stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms to protect capital further.
- Investigating opportunities for diversification across more cryptocurrency pairs or other asset classes.
Improvement Suggestions
To boost the strategy's robustness and profitability, consider these enhancements:
- Fine-tuning strategic parameters to achieve better alignment with observed market behaviors and minimize drawdowns.
- Employing a more diverse array of technical indicators to optimize entry and exit points.
- Undertaking thorough out-of-sample and forward-testing to ascertain strategic resilience in varied market conditions.
- Developing advanced risk management strategies such as VaR adjustments, integrating stress testing, or leveraging advanced options for dynamic hedging.
- Reducing leverage could also effectively decrease max drawdown, offering greater capital stability.
Final Opinion
In overview, the strategy showcases compelling performance characteristics, with strong net returns and sound risk-adjusted metrics. Although volatility is a consideration, its low drawdown and rigorous recovery suggest solid risk control. Continued optimization and comprehensive testing could cement its future viability.
Recommendation: Proceed with further development and testing of the strategy, incorporating the suggested improvements to enhance resilience against elevated market volatility and ensure robust performance across diverse trading environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 16.11% | 8.36% | -5.87% | 2.02% | -8.17% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 24.45% | 40.06% | 7.40% | 7.74% | 0.16% | 7.29% | 5.62% | 12.71% | 8.93% | -4.53% | -0.04% | 10.67% |
2022 | 6.98% | 19.67% | 22.17% | 16.01% | 0.86% | 1.04% | 7.73% | 7.34% | 16.29% | 16.57% | 8.91% | 23.11% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.35% | 0.03% | 3.75% | 2.69% | 3.94% | 0.74% |
Live Trades Stats
MATIC
Base Currency
40
Number of Trades
17.9%
Cumulative Returns
52.5%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0%
30 Days
0%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,727.69 USD | 1,727.69 | 624.97 USD | 624.97 | 1,102.71 USD | 1,102.71 |
Gross Profit | 4,497.87 | 4,497.87 | 2,055.86 | 2,055.86 | 2,442.02 | 2,442.02 |
Gross Loss | 2,770.19 | 2,770.19 | 1,430.88 | 1,430.88 | 1,339.30 | 1,339.30 |
Max Run-up | 2,057.47 | 95.53 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 424.50 | 19.90 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −31.36 | −31.36 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.878 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 6.456 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.624 | 1.437 | 1.823 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 6,238 | 6,238 | 6,088 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 236.05 | 100.13 | 135.92 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 255 | 108 | 147 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 166 | 65 | 101 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 89 | 43 | 46 | |||
Percent Profitable | 65.10 | 60.19 | 68.71 | |||
Avg Trade | 6.78 | 0.84 | 5.79 | 0.74 | 7.50 | 0.90 |
Avg Winning Trade | 27.10 | 2.77 | 31.63 | 3.33 | 24.18 | 2.41 |
Avg Losing Trade | 31.13 | 2.78 | 33.28 | 3.17 | 29.12 | 2.41 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.871 | 0.95 | 0.83 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 89.14 | 5.59 | 89.14 | 5.59 | 88.35 | 3.38 |
Largest Losing Trade | 91.41 | 7.60 | 80.18 | 7.60 | 91.41 | 3.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 31 | 40 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 28 | 40 | 20 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 37 | 40 | 34 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,025.77 USD | 2,025.77 | 410.28 USD | 410.28 | 1,615.48 USD | 1,615.48 |
Gross Profit | 5,986.24 | 5,986.24 | 2,365.42 | 2,365.42 | 3,620.82 | 3,620.82 |
Gross Loss | 3,960.47 | 3,960.47 | 1,955.14 | 1,955.14 | 2,005.34 | 2,005.34 |
Max Run-up | 2,057.47 | 95.53 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 515.30 | 24.16 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −62.49 | −62.49 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.828 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 4.471 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.511 | 1.21 | 1.806 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 10,063 | 6,238 | 10,063 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 324.47 | 123.76 | 200.71 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 295 | 120 | 175 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 187 | 69 | 118 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 108 | 51 | 57 | |||
Percent Profitable | 63.39 | 57.50 | 67.43 | |||
Avg Trade | 6.87 | 0.72 | 3.42 | 0.55 | 9.23 | 0.84 |
Avg Winning Trade | 32.01 | 2.74 | 34.28 | 3.30 | 30.68 | 2.41 |
Avg Losing Trade | 36.67 | 2.78 | 38.34 | 3.18 | 35.18 | 2.42 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.873 | 0.894 | 0.872 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 89.14 | 5.59 | 89.14 | 5.59 | 88.35 | 3.38 |
Largest Losing Trade | 91.41 | 7.60 | 80.61 | 7.60 | 91.41 | 3.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 31 | 41 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 27 | 41 | 20 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 38 | 41 | 35 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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