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DaviddTech
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funkyorange stiffsurge runeusdt 1h 10.09

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @funkyorange
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7e917c2e]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE RUNEUSDT 1H 10.09

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-7.43% Updated 7 hours ago
Total Return Primary
14434.24%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.96%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
59.73%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.094
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-12241.12%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
658
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 3, 2021
1,463
Days
658
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 6, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-03 17:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.34
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.49
  • Calmar: -4.16
  • Longest DD Days: 135.00
  • Volatility: 119.48
  • Skew: 1.45
  • Kurtosis: 3.28
  • Expected Daily: 1.01
  • Expected Monthly: 23.61
  • Expected Yearly: 1,173.02
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.89
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -8.16
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -10.51
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-06 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 309
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 349
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.16
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.09
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.24
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.09
  • Tail Ratio: 1.99
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.19
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.61
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.26
  • Serenity Index: 503.46

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-1,163.43%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-2,752.80%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-9,935.97%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-5,401.71%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-10,696.14%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-6.38%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-21.50%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-27.71%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-24.56%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-36.64%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
46.9%
Total Trades
659
Cumulative
14,209.98%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
457.92%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+20.26%
+10.89%
Simple P&L
2022
+2.97%
-1.42%
Simple P&L
+2.91%
-3.19%
Simple P&L
+298.52%
+115.14%
Simple P&L
-96.01%
-18.21%
Simple P&L
-90.77%
-13.19%
Simple P&L
+6.27%
+15.22%
Simple P&L
+195.12%
+52.27%
Simple P&L
-18.93%
-16.93%
Simple P&L
-97.34%
-24.51%
Simple P&L
+38.00%
+3.97%
Simple P&L
+19.49%
-4.07%
Simple P&L
-24.90%
+3.95%
Simple P&L
2023
+181.38%
+29.63%
Simple P&L
-99.46%
-8.54%
Simple P&L
+99.53%
-0.63%
Simple P&L
+78.93%
+17.48%
Simple P&L
-32.99%
+3.54%
Simple P&L
+247.56%
+14.76%
Simple P&L
-82.15%
-1.82%
Simple P&L
+285.34%
+16.98%
Simple P&L
+479.80%
+20.26%
Simple P&L
+743.27%
+54.92%
Simple P&L
+3,707.35%
+63.08%
Simple P&L
-550.20%
+9.70%
Simple P&L
2024
-1,288.29%
-2.06%
Simple P&L
+2,134.23%
+29.03%
Simple P&L
+2,889.01%
+39.31%
Simple P&L
+2,318.02%
+23.06%
Simple P&L
+1,349.90%
+5.87%
Simple P&L
+1,417.23%
+13.21%
Simple P&L
+5,244.99%
+14.18%
Simple P&L
+4,227.22%
+23.11%
Simple P&L
+4,649.74%
+10.84%
Simple P&L
-13,031.02%
-45.39%
Simple P&L
+254.13%
+12.32%
Simple P&L
-3,070.77%
-29.50%
Simple P&L
2025
+3,741.10%
+23.23%
Simple P&L
+3,434.50%
+14.34%
Simple P&L
-1,973.09%
-11.92%
Simple P&L
-2,637.93%
-8.81%
Simple P&L
+8,569.22%
+40.87%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

659

Number of Trades

14209.98%

Cumulative Returns

46.89%

Win Rate

2024-09-10

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-21.5%

30 Days

-24.56%

60 Days

-27.71%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l313670.81.18
Net Profit26445749.4426445.7514595443.5214595.4411850305.9211850.31
Gross Profit63159590.2363159.5935155164.0235155.1628004426.2128004.43
Gross Loss36713840.7936713.8420559720.520559.7216154120.2916154.12
Commission Paid1608806.56618426.94990379.62
Buy & Hold Return-63193.18-63.19
Max Contracts Held1138635711386357.09569704.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration18 days
Avg Equity Run-up1694000.91694.0
Max Equity Run-up29950947.8699.69
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown980588.18980.59
Max Drawdown7132492.6659.73
Total Closed Trades452.0182.0270.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades223.077.0146.0
Number Losing Trades229.0105.0124.0
Percent Profitable49.3442.3154.07
Avg P&l58508.31.0880194.742.243890.020.33
Avg Winning Trade283226.866.06456560.5711.34191811.143.28
Avg Losing Trade160322.453.77195806.864.51130275.163.15
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.7672.3321.472
Largest Winning Trade3653385.383653385.381554374.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent22.8322.838.27
Largest Losing Trade2266780.52266780.51146719.44
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.312.35.63
Avg # Bars In Trades26.043.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades29.057.014.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades23.033.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.454
Sortino Ratio2.789
Profit Factor1.721.711.734
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-206859.1-1.42
Net Profit14434240.4214434.247610274.467610.276823965.966823.97
Gross Profit167493043.63167493.0490814307.9990814.3176678735.6476678.74
Gross Loss153058803.21153058.883204033.5383204.0369854769.6969854.77
Commission Paid5422250.842102578.63319672.25
Buy & Hold Return-93784.11-93.78
Max Contracts Held3997788734186696.039977887.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration25 days
Avg Equity Run-up2613539.442613.54
Max Equity Run-up35560675.7699.74
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration26 days
Avg Equity Drawdown2395456.22395.46
Max Drawdown20416892.5559.73
Total Closed Trades658.0258.0400.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades309.0100.0209.0
Number Losing Trades349.0158.0191.0
Percent Profitable46.9638.7652.25
Avg P&l21936.540.729497.191.517059.910.18
Avg Winning Trade542048.685.85908143.0811.06366883.93.36
Avg Losing Trade438563.913.86526607.814.55365731.783.3
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2361.7251.003
Largest Winning Trade6043804.526043804.521671781.71
Largest Winning Trade Percent22.8322.838.27
Largest Losing Trade3103189.363103189.362286549.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.312.38.01
Avg # Bars In Trades26.043.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.054.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.036.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.342
Sortino Ratio1.491
Profit Factor1.0941.0911.098
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 14.44%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 247.51%
Sharpe Ratio 0.343
Profit Factor 1.09
Maximum Drawdown 59.73%
Volatility (Annualized) 119.56%

The strategy achieves a cumulative return of 14.44% and presents a notable annualized return of 247.51%. However, while the expected returns are high, the Sharpe ratio of 0.343 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, as it is slightly below the optimal threshold of 0.5 for crypto. The profit factor of 1.09 reflects moderate profitability. The maximum drawdown of 59.73% indicates potential risk that could be mitigated for more stable performance.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential through its promising annualized returns, yet the high drawdown suggests it may be risky in real-world scenarios without adjustments. The conditions where it yields best performance need examination to determine if those conditions can sustain in the evolving crypto market. The strategy's performance should be compared to benchmarks and similar strategies to understand its positioning.

Risk Management

The significant maximum drawdown and volatility indicate areas for improvement in risk management. To enhance resilience, consider:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown and associated risk.
  • Implementing tighter stop-loss limits to protect against adverse movements.
  • Diversifying trading assets to distribute risk more effectively.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Conduct a thorough optimization of the strategy parameters to fine-tune performance.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine trade entries and exits.
  • Engage in extensive out-of-sample and forward testing to validate robustness across shifting market conditions.
  • Integrate advanced risk management techniques, such as dynamic capital allocation and variability adjustments to account for market volatility.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy presents attractive potential returns, though it faces challenges with significant drawdown and volatility. The performance shows promise, but strategic adjustments are necessary to ensure robust, sustainable gains under various market contexts.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining and optimizing the strategy while implementing enhanced risk management tactics. Further testing is critical to adapt to high volatility and reduce drawdown implications, thereby maximizing the potential benefits of the strategy.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
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Analyzing...
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Market Regime Detection
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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