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fishyink macdliquidityspectrum runeusdt 1h 28.05

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MOMENTUM 1 hour @fishyink
● Live

MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2eec86c0]

🛡️ MACDLIQUIDITYSPECTRUM RUNEUSDT 1H 28.05

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-0.53% Updated 1 hour ago
Total Return Primary
231.6%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.33%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
30.19%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.22
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
55.86%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
455
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 7, 2021
1,459
Days
455
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 6, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-07 21:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.34
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.80
  • Calmar: -0.48
  • Longest DD Days: 115.00
  • Volatility: 0.93
  • Skew: 0.03
  • Kurtosis: -0.93
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.11
  • Expected Yearly: 1.32
  • Kelly Criterion: 9.39
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.09
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.10
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-06 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 229
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 226
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.48
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.23
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.21
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.23
  • Tail Ratio: 1.13
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.28
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.70
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 1.21

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+15.44%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-28.93%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+23.74%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+13.74%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-11.59%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+2.27%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-14.95%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+10.32%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+11.03%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.79%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
50.4%
Total Trades
456
Cumulative
238.54%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
436.81%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+7.94%
+36.64%
Simple P&L
2022
-6.39%
-12.24%
Simple P&L
+8.42%
+9.35%
Simple P&L
+2.24%
+34.73%
Simple P&L
+6.42%
+18.54%
Simple P&L
+3.88%
+29.47%
Simple P&L
-2.61%
+3.41%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+3.43%
Simple P&L
+12.57%
+46.28%
Simple P&L
-1.04%
-7.29%
Simple P&L
+13.82%
+6.99%
Simple P&L
+0.92%
-2.58%
Simple P&L
-1.56%
-0.19%
Simple P&L
2023
+6.15%
+5.36%
Simple P&L
+17.60%
+29.02%
Simple P&L
+4.89%
-0.87%
Simple P&L
+4.37%
-0.48%
Simple P&L
+19.53%
+25.62%
Simple P&L
-2.30%
+8.33%
Simple P&L
-1.24%
+0.14%
Simple P&L
-0.63%
-8.31%
Simple P&L
+13.27%
+14.64%
Simple P&L
+27.74%
+37.49%
Simple P&L
-5.22%
-11.11%
Simple P&L
-12.94%
-7.88%
Simple P&L
2024
+18.39%
+21.10%
Simple P&L
+12.17%
+1.61%
Simple P&L
+20.66%
+37.31%
Simple P&L
-15.94%
-13.99%
Simple P&L
+57.46%
+52.59%
Simple P&L
+33.96%
+32.25%
Simple P&L
+4.02%
+10.69%
Simple P&L
+9.70%
+8.66%
Simple P&L
-14.80%
-14.08%
Simple P&L
+70.23%
+55.94%
Simple P&L
+27.62%
+33.96%
Simple P&L
-46.41%
-30.58%
Simple P&L
2025
-14.94%
-24.00%
Simple P&L
+24.03%
+21.48%
Simple P&L
-44.10%
-16.45%
Simple P&L
-16.05%
-6.09%
Simple P&L
+29.46%
+20.73%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

456

Number of Trades

238.54%

Cumulative Returns

50.44%

Win Rate

2024-05-28

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-14.95%

30 Days

11.03%

60 Days

10.32%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1826.83182.68770.2977.031056.54105.65
Gross Profit6049.96605.03002.46300.253047.5304.75
Gross Loss4223.13422.312232.17223.221990.96199.1
Commission Paid138.5971.8966.7
Buy & Hold Return-108.98-10.9
Max Contracts Held14061348.01406.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration20 days
Avg Equity Run-up152.9815.3
Max Equity Run-up1844.465.01
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration19 days
Avg Equity Drawdown119.5511.96
Max Drawdown358.1813.84
Total Closed Trades284.0147.0137.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades150.076.074.0
Number Losing Trades134.071.063.0
Percent Profitable52.8251.754.01
Avg P&l6.431.235.241.257.711.22
Avg Winning Trade40.337.0139.517.0541.186.97
Avg Losing Trade31.525.2331.444.9631.65.54
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.281.2571.303
Largest Winning Trade85.4185.4183.63
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.1910.197.78
Largest Losing Trade92.2676.3992.26
Largest Losing Trade Percent11.177.4611.17
Avg # Bars In Trades36.031.041.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.027.041.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades38.035.041.0
Sharpe Ratio0.502
Sortino Ratio1.584
Profit Factor1.4331.3451.531
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l71.42.15
Net Profit2315.98231.6441.7944.181874.19187.42
Gross Profit12820.521282.056364.39636.446456.13645.61
Gross Loss10504.541050.455922.6592.264581.94458.19
Commission Paid317.46168.91148.56
Buy & Hold Return-914.67-91.47
Max Contracts Held36982391.03698.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration22 days
Avg Equity Run-up208.6620.87
Max Equity Run-up3353.2577.16
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration30 days
Avg Equity Drawdown194.7919.48
Max Drawdown1311.7830.19
Total Closed Trades455.0240.0215.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades229.0116.0113.0
Number Losing Trades226.0124.0102.0
Percent Profitable50.3348.3352.56
Avg P&l5.090.951.840.818.721.11
Avg Winning Trade55.987.0554.877.0757.137.02
Avg Losing Trade46.485.2247.765.0444.925.43
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2041.1491.272
Largest Winning Trade135.34135.34130.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.1910.197.78
Largest Losing Trade131.97123.37131.97
Largest Losing Trade Percent11.177.9611.17
Avg # Bars In Trades36.034.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades35.031.039.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades37.036.039.0
Sharpe Ratio0.337
Sortino Ratio0.799
Profit Factor1.221.0751.409
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following key performance metrics have been observed:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 235.37%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 0.58%
Sharpe Ratio 0.337
Profit Factor 1.227
Maximum Drawdown 30.19%
Volatility (Annualized) 92%

The strategy has achieved a commendable cumulative return of 235.37% since inception. However, the annualized return (CAGR) of 0.58% suggests that the strategy, while capable of generating substantial profits, might be more effective in specific market conditions. The Sharpe ratio of 0.337 is slightly below the preferred threshold for cryptocurrency, suggesting there is room for improving risk-adjusted returns. Notably, the maximum drawdown of 30.19% is within acceptable limits, which indicates manageable downside risk.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy holds potential for real-world trading, particularly given its solid cumulative returns and acceptable drawdown levels. However, to reach optimal viability, emphasis should be placed on improving risk-adjusted performance indicators such as the Sharpe ratio. The strategy's success in crypto markets may depend on favorable market conditions continuing and could benefit from further tailoring to specific market trends.

Risk Management

The current risk management framework demonstrates several strengths, with a maximum drawdown below 40%, which is within acceptable limits. Nonetheless, enhancements to risk management could lead to improved performance, particularly by addressing the high volatility levels (92%). Measures to consider include:

  • Introducing or refining stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential drawdowns further.
  • Adjusting leverage to reduce risk exposure, which could also lead to lower drawdown percentages.
  • Implementing a dynamic position sizing model to navigate periods of heightened market volatility more effectively.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's robustness and improve its risk-adjusted returns, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize leverage usage to decrease drawdown without significantly impacting profitability.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators or machine learning techniques to refine trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct backtesting over varying market conditions to ensure resilience across different phases of the market cycle.
  • Regularly assess and adapt the trading strategy parameters to maintain alignment with current market trends and dynamics.

Final Opinion

Overall, while the strategy exhibits strong cumulative performance and manageable maximum drawdown, its risk-adjusted returns could be improved. The strategy's strengths lie in its ability to generate substantial returns and handle drawdowns effectively. However, enhancing risk management and refining strategy parameters are crucial for achieving consistent success in real-world trading environments.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to improve risk-adjusted returns and adapt the risk management framework to better handle market volatility.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
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Transition Probabilities
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Loss
Win
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Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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