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ex7777777 btcusd botifyX 4h 29.10.2024

  • Homepage
EXTERNAL INDICATORS 4 hours @ex7777777
● Live

BotifyX 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [607fdc32]

🛡️ BTCUSD BOTIFYX 4H 29.10.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +141188.39% Updated 7 hours ago
Total Return Primary
46.96%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
31.01%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
3.044
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.24%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
316
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 25, 2015
3,916
Days
316
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 13, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2015-04-25 12:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.12
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.46
  • Calmar: -1.18
  • Longest DD Days: 44.00
  • Volatility: 12.51
  • Skew: 6.31
  • Kurtosis: 45.00
  • Expected Daily: 0.13
  • Expected Monthly: 2.67
  • Expected Yearly: 37.14
  • Kelly Criterion: 20.71
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.25
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.37
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-13 19:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 98
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 218
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.18
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 3.03
  • Payoff Ratio: 6.77
  • Common Sense Ratio: 3.03
  • Tail Ratio: 3.06
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 8.01
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 4.44

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-0.62%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+1.06%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.36%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+1.06%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.62%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+141,188.39%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+471,282.71%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+708,155.53%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+518,741.30%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1,562,723.70%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
94.0%
Total Trades
317
Cumulative
-0.79%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
8,349,219.15%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2015
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.53%
-107.48%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
-976.45%
Simple P&L
+0.69%
-527.27%
Simple P&L
-0.35%
-1,764.73%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+113.93%
Simple P&L
-0.02%
+4,224.60%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.45%
+9,737.45%
Simple P&L
-1.85%
+9,967.05%
Simple P&L
2016
+1.35%
+19,448.54%
Simple P&L
-2.70%
+28,285.14%
Simple P&L
+2.50%
+33,094.29%
Simple P&L
-2.90%
+13,476.41%
Simple P&L
+3.64%
+15,480.70%
Simple P&L
-0.68%
+17,817.79%
Simple P&L
+0.52%
+18,241.16%
Simple P&L
+0.33%
+51,767.19%
Simple P&L
+0.04%
+75,064.35%
Simple P&L
+0.20%
+22,305.51%
Simple P&L
-0.19%
+108,145.90%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
+47,108.09%
Simple P&L
2017
-0.61%
+26,993.41%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
+27,464.65%
Simple P&L
-8.45%
+29,291.57%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2018
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+8.72%
+15,194.02%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+15,956.31%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+16,522.81%
Simple P&L
-3.41%
+49,431.42%
Simple P&L
+3.07%
+161,578.64%
Simple P&L
-0.15%
+55,714.65%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2019
+0.27%
+71,345.85%
Simple P&L
-3.34%
+141,631.46%
Simple P&L
+3.07%
+119,041.42%
Simple P&L
-2.55%
+52,987.57%
Simple P&L
-12.68%
+53,263.61%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+10.80%
+53,239.93%
Simple P&L
-7.90%
+82,212.36%
Simple P&L
+9.77%
+27,513.34%
Simple P&L
-1.90%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2020
+1.60%
+27,461.32%
Simple P&L
-3.06%
+110,183.81%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+3.65%
+54,963.30%
Simple P&L
+0.44%
+351,299.50%
Simple P&L
-3.89%
+123,419.54%
Simple P&L
+2.36%
+92,398.91%
Simple P&L
+1.10%
+153,705.84%
Simple P&L
-1.55%
+63,189.68%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.76%
+63,032.56%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+4.02%
+62,885.56%
Simple P&L
+0.97%
+127,533.62%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+284,866.31%
Simple P&L
2023
-1.70%
+69,936.41%
Simple P&L
-1.46%
+115,584.33%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+38,728.57%
Simple P&L
+3.04%
+193,927.47%
Simple P&L
-0.21%
+385,702.74%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+38,655.52%
Simple P&L
-1.81%
+154,729.86%
Simple P&L
-3.72%
+268,859.29%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
+194,987.54%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
+78,010.04%
Simple P&L
-1.56%
+215,213.61%
Simple P&L
-0.79%
+172,076.53%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.11%
+128,578.03%
Simple P&L
+1.18%
+214,786.84%
Simple P&L
-1.87%
+89,808.83%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.10%
+90,331.15%
Simple P&L
+3.20%
+90,638.02%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.67%
+45,352.86%
Simple P&L
+0.55%
+271,909.13%
Simple P&L
-7.80%
+90,336.72%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
+6.32%
+90,041.53%
Simple P&L
+1.70%
+179,507.96%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+44,928.76%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+44,929.95%
Simple P&L
-1.27%
+134,875.45%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+314,349.93%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

317

Number of Trades

-0.79%

Cumulative Returns

94.01%

Win Rate

2024-10-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

471282.71%

30 Days

518741.3%

60 Days

708155.53%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l264.10.18
Net Profit45216.0445.2240020.5540.025195.495.2
Gross Profit65599.8965.647318.047.3218281.8918.28
Gross Loss20383.8520.387297.457.313086.413.09
Expected Payoff172.58342.0635.83
Commission Paid8419.034196.754222.28
Buy & Hold Return31830779.3731830.78
Buy & Hold % Gain31830.78
Strategy Outperformance-31785563.33
Max Contracts Held7272.072.0
Annualized Return (cagr)3.833.450.51
Return On Initial Capital45.2240.025.2
Account Size Required3382.36
Return On Account Size Required1336.821183.21153.61
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)112 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3104.833.1
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)8106.478.11
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)46321.4331.79
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)46.32
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)93 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)753.570.75
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown13.4511.911.61
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3260.373.26
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)3382.363.22
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3.38
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4842.413335.21556.41
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit12.1315.7943.53
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.584.117.14
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades262.0117.0145.0
Number Winning Trades80.040.040.0
Number Losing Trades182.077.0105.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable30.5334.1927.59
Avg P&l172.581.47342.063.4135.83-0.09
Avg Winning Trade820.09.291182.9513.14457.055.44
Avg Losing Trade112.01.9694.771.65124.632.19
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss7.32112.4823.667
Largest Winning Trade7958.477473.777958.47
Largest Winning Trade Percent60.4660.4633.42
Largest Losing Trade933.75300.11933.75
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.455.4312.45
Avg # Bars In Trades33.039.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades72.084.060.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.016.017.0
Sharpe Ratio0.134
Sortino Ratio0.541
Profit Factor3.2186.4841.397
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l204.660.14
Net Profit46960.3146.9641681.9341.685278.385.28
Gross Profit69934.7369.9349919.3649.9220015.3820.02
Gross Loss22974.4322.978237.438.2414737.014.74
Expected Payoff148.61297.7329.99
Commission Paid8428.384200.854227.53
Buy & Hold Return42023002.742023.0
Buy & Hold % Gain42023.0
Strategy Outperformance-41976042.39
Max Contracts Held7272.072.0
Annualized Return (cagr)3.523.180.46
Return On Initial Capital46.9641.685.28
Account Size Required3382.36
Return On Account Size Required1388.391232.33156.06
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)105 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2837.052.84
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)8106.478.11
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)48697.932.88
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)48.7
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)98 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)747.870.75
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown13.9412.381.62
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)3260.373.26
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)3382.363.22
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3.38
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss5029.213888.8565.29
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit11.3814.9739.76
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.063.646.34
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades316.0140.0176.0
Number Winning Trades98.048.050.0
Number Losing Trades218.092.0126.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable31.0134.2928.41
Avg P&l148.611.25297.732.9329.99-0.08
Avg Winning Trade713.628.361039.9911.75400.315.1
Avg Losing Trade105.391.9489.541.67116.962.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss6.77111.6153.423
Largest Winning Trade7958.477473.777958.47
Largest Winning Trade Percent60.4660.4633.42
Largest Losing Trade933.75300.11933.75
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.455.4312.45
Avg # Bars In Trades32.038.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades70.081.059.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades16.015.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.116
Sortino Ratio0.457
Profit Factor3.0446.061.358
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 47.06%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 3.53%
Sharpe Ratio 0.116
Profit Factor 3.058
Maximum Drawdown 3.38%
Volatility (Annualized) 12.53%
Percent Profitable 31.11%

The strategy shows a cumulative return of 47.06% and an annualized return of 3.53%, which is respectable, though it significantly underperforms the Buy & Hold benchmark. Notably, the strategy's Sharpe Ratio of 0.116 is below the good threshold of 0.5, indicating lower risk-adjusted returns. However, the Profit Factor of 3.058 is outstanding, suggesting that the strategy generates significant gains for the risks taken. The maximum drawdown of 3.38% is very low, which highlights excellent downside protection.

Strategy Viability

The current strategy demonstrates low drawdowns and a solid Profit Factor, which indicates potential viability for real-world trading. Nevertheless, the Sharpe Ratio and annualized return suggest there is room for improvement in terms of risk-adjusted performance. Comparing performance to market conditions or industry benchmarks shows the strategy could benefit from optimization to improve returns.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management capabilities appear strong due to the minimal maximum drawdown and lack of margin calls. However, improvements can be made to enhance risk management further while maintaining returns. Possible areas for enhancement include:

  • Implementing tighter stop-loss mechanisms to protect against unexpected market downturns.
  • Utilizing volatility-based position sizing to adapt to changing market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To further improve the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider implementing the following enhancements:

  • Optimize the parameters used within the strategy to refine entry and exit signals.
  • Incorporate additional technical or fundamental indicators to provide stronger trade confirmation.
  • Perform out-of-sample testing and forward testing to ensure robustness under various market scenarios.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy exhibits strong points in terms of a high Profit Factor and minimal drawdowns, but there is potential for enhancing risk-adjusted returns. It is promising with certain modifications and improvements, and the excellent risk management foundation makes it a suitable candidate for further development.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining and optimizing the strategy, focusing on enhancing the Sharpe Ratio and returns. Consider implementing suggested improvements to boost robustness and adapt the strategy to capitalize on varying market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
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Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
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Current Trend
Analyzing...
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