🚀 Precision Trend Mastery by @DaviddTech 🤖 [a47f6c71]
🛡️ ETHUSDT.P 1H PRECISION TREND MASTERY
@
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-10-26 16:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
- Sortino Ratio: 1.51
- Calmar: -4.41
- Longest DD Days: 98.00
- Volatility: 111.03
- Skew: 1.32
- Kurtosis: 1.24
- Expected Daily: 0.92
- Expected Monthly: 21.33
- Expected Yearly: 917.49
- Kelly Criterion: 8.02
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.97
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.16
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-16 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 221
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 426
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.41
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.31
- Payoff Ratio: 2.50
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.31
- Tail Ratio: 2.28
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.05
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.14
- Serenity Index: 381.94
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $9,373.35 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.466 |
Profit Factor | 1.286 |
Maximum Drawdown | 45.11% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 111.2% |
Annualized Return (CAGR) | 194.14% |
Trade Win Rate | 34.16% |
The strategy exhibits a respectable net profit with an annualized return of 194.14%. While the Sharpe ratio of 0.466 is slightly below the preferred threshold for crypto, the Profit Factor of 1.286 demonstrates more money was gained than lost. The maximum drawdown of 45.11% is slightly above the ideal level, suggesting some room for improvement in downside protection.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy presents some challenges to be fully viable for real-world trading without modifications. The slightly lower-than-preferred Sharpe ratio indicates that the risk-adjusted returns could be improved. However, the proactive profit factor suggests potential under optimal conditions, likely benefiting from volatile markets, common in crypto trading, contributing to significant returns.
Risk Management
The drawn percentage at 45.11% highlights a need to enhance risk management strategies. Although there are no margin calls reported, risk management could further be refined by:
- Decreasing leverage to reduce potential drawdowns and improve stability.
- Incorporating tighter stop-loss strategies to limit losses early.
- Utilizing diversification to protect against sudden market shifts.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance, consider the following adjustments:
- Optimize the strategy parameters to balance trade-off between risk and return, potentially boosting the Sharpe ratio above 0.5.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators for better prediction of entry and exit points.
- Conduct more extensive backtesting across varied market conditions to ensure robustness and adaptability.
- Employ further risk diversification techniques to smooth performance volatility.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates solid profit generation capabilities but varies in its risk management adequacy. With a focus on optimizing strategy parameters and enhancing risk management mechanisms, there is potential for significant improvement in both performance and stability.
Recommendation: Proceed with optimizing and testing modifications to enhance the risk-adjusted performance. Aim to reduce leverage for controlling drawdowns, and utilize diverse trading conditions to assure robustness.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | 29.90% | 89.54% | 10.04% | 13.03% | 6.04% | -31.03% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 49.37% | 5.37% | 12.65% | 42.24% | 22.40% | -4.38% | -1.25% | 39.87% | 33.37% | 53.60% | -10.24% | -16.97% |
2022 | 6.77% | -2.07% | 27.17% | 4.98% | 13.53% | 6.56% | 8.70% | -2.11% | -5.18% | 24.48% | 5.45% | -7.92% |
2021 | 4.02% | 1.43% | -7.74% | 14.51% | 0.00% | 6.59% | 14.67% | -21.24% | 21.47% | -11.55% | -12.51% | 14.40% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.69% | 10.21% | 34.91% |
Live Trades Stats
ETH
Base Currency
135
Number of Trades
84.78%
Cumulative Returns
31.11%
Win Rate
2024-04-24
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
11.14%
30 Days
55.04%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 5,492,033.99 USD | 5,492.03 | 4,084,842.43 USD | 4,084.84 | 1,407,191.56 USD | 1,407.19 |
Gross Profit | 15,100,741.90 | 15,100.74 | 9,356,247.19 | 9,356.25 | 5,744,494.71 | 5,744.49 |
Gross Loss | 9,608,707.91 | 9,608.71 | 5,271,404.76 | 5,271.40 | 4,337,303.16 | 4,337.30 |
Max Run-up | 5,795,717.03 | 98.56 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,137,670.81 | 45.11 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 692,174.05 | 692.17 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.486 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.913 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.572 | 1.775 | 1.324 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 6,583 | 6,583 | 5,704 | |||
Open PL | 108,657.31 | 1.94 | ||||
Commission Paid | 628,309.73 | 375,526.59 | 252,783.14 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 512 | 258 | 254 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 179 | 94 | 85 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 333 | 164 | 169 | |||
Percent Profitable | 34.96 | 36.43 | 33.46 | |||
Avg Trade | 10,726.63 | 0.36 | 15,832.72 | 0.49 | 5,540.12 | 0.24 |
Avg Winning Trade | 84,361.69 | 5.59 | 99,534.54 | 5.50 | 67,582.29 | 5.68 |
Avg Losing Trade | 28,854.98 | 2.44 | 32,142.71 | 2.38 | 25,664.52 | 2.50 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.924 | 3.097 | 2.633 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 760,026.82 | 6.42 | 605,444.92 | 6.42 | 760,026.82 | 6.42 |
Largest Losing Trade | 237,769.00 | 2.93 | 237,769.00 | 2.70 | 220,790.10 | 2.93 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 36 | 36 | 36 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 46 | 42 | 50 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 33 | 29 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 9,294,299.37 USD | 9,294.30 | 4,564,014.86 USD | 4,564.01 | 4,730,284.51 USD | 4,730.28 |
Gross Profit | 42,658,159.80 | 42,658.16 | 22,242,479.08 | 22,242.48 | 20,415,680.71 | 20,415.68 |
Gross Loss | 33,363,860.43 | 33,363.86 | 17,678,464.23 | 17,678.46 | 15,685,396.20 | 15,685.40 |
Max Run-up | 9,883,381.44 | 99.15 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2,839,742.81 | 45.11 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 708,713.97 | 708.71 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.466 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.51 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.279 | 1.258 | 1.302 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 12,776 | 9,449 | 12,776 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 1,867,834.72 | 1,007,246.41 | 860,588.31 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 647 | 327 | 320 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 221 | 115 | 106 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 426 | 212 | 214 | |||
Percent Profitable | 34.16 | 35.17 | 33.13 | |||
Avg Trade | 14,365.22 | 0.30 | 13,957.23 | 0.40 | 14,782.14 | 0.20 |
Avg Winning Trade | 193,023.35 | 5.58 | 193,412.86 | 5.52 | 192,600.76 | 5.64 |
Avg Losing Trade | 78,318.92 | 2.43 | 83,388.98 | 2.37 | 73,296.24 | 2.49 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.465 | 2.319 | 2.628 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1,475,785.63 | 6.42 | 1,189,369.76 | 6.42 | 1,475,785.63 | 6.42 |
Largest Losing Trade | 632,390.27 | 2.93 | 625,820.68 | 2.71 | 632,390.27 | 2.93 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 36 | 37 | 35 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 45 | 43 | 47 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 33 | 28 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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