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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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erki1972 xmaV5 btcusdt 1h 7.05

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XMA by @DaviddTech 🤖 [07a0655b]

🛡️ XMAV5 BTCUSDT 1H 7.05 @erki1972

MOMENTUM
1 hour

by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 3 hours ago

4397.11%

Net Profit

48.68%

Win Rate

417

Total Closed Trades

1.417

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

1079.07% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-07 15:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.51
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.01
  • Calmar: -3.47
  • Longest DD Days: 61.00
  • Volatility: 68.61
  • Skew: 0.35
  • Kurtosis: -1.08
  • Expected Daily: 1.00
  • Expected Monthly: 23.19
  • Expected Yearly: 1,121.96
  • Kelly Criterion: 13.66
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.49
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.39
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 203
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 214
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.47
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.39
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.48
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.39
  • Tail Ratio: 1.88
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 1.95
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.09
  • Serenity Index: 216.54

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 4372.81%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 109.9%
Sharpe Ratio 0.508
Profit Factor 1.41
Maximum Drawdown 32.11%
Volatility (Annualized) 68.66%

The strategy exhibits a solid cumulative return of 4372.81% with an annualized return of 109.9%, indicating strong growth. The Sharpe Ratio, while just above the threshold for a good performance, indicates the potential for further enhancement, and the profit factor above 1 is a positive indicator of its profitability. The Maximum Drawdown is quite reasonable at 32.11% for crypto markets, reflecting effective downside risk management.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, especially in high-volatility conditions typical in crypto markets. It surpasses the benchmark, evidenced by the Buy & Hold Return, and maintains adequate risk-adjusted performance. This suggests the strategy is well-suited to thriving under the crypto market's volatile conditions, making it a potentially excellent choice for traders looking to capitalize on such environments.

Risk Management

The strategy’s risk management approach is acceptable but could benefit from adjustments. Although maintaining a strong Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.41, the strategy exposes itself to high volatility. Suggestions for refining risk management include:

  • Reducing leverage to lower drawdown volatility.
  • Implementing more dynamic stop-loss mechanisms to safeguard against unexpected large losses.
  • Further diversification to minimize specific risk exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Refining position sizing tactics to improve the balance between risk and return.
  • Exploring the integration of more advanced technical indicators to enhance trade timing and decision-making processes.
  • Conducting stress testing and out-of-sample testing to ensure the strategy's robustness in varying market conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance with high returns and a Sharpe Ratio surpassing the acceptable threshold, signifying good risk-adjusted success. Despite higher volatility, the low drawdown and positive risk-return metrics indicate substantial upside potential. However, further optimization and validation are essential to ensure continued efficacy in diverse market environments.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing of the strategy to reinforce its robustness and adapt its risk management framework for improved handling of market volatility.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%6.09%7.70%-10.15%4.74%2.88%10.15%7.57%13.20%57.42%
202127.59%46.73%4.35%-1.77%6.51%13.49%13.09%9.62%4.11%29.36%4.56%5.05%
20222.72%-12.80%13.89%5.51%0.00%8.99%14.27%7.54%4.48%-1.83%1.26%2.60%
202314.59%2.77%1.57%1.88%-4.20%13.75%6.02%1.93%-1.97%7.81%3.45%10.02%
2024-2.28%4.69%18.35%-0.38%-13.61%2.10%0.54%-13.57%15.77%7.64%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

BTC

Base Currency

87

Number of Trades

33.65%

Cumulative Returns

41.38%

Win Rate

2024-05-07

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

4.1%

30 Days

7.76%

60 Days

12.86%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit3318043.393318.041396464.581396.461921578.811921.58
Gross Profit9150818.59150.825337816.525337.823813001.983813.0
Gross Loss5832775.125832.783941351.943941.351891423.171891.42
Commission Paid395348.63244885.17150463.46
Buy & Hold Return789899.14789.9
Max Equity Run-up3687963.0197.41
Max Drawdown651645.8119.0
Max Contracts Held121.0121.0120.0
Total Closed Trades330.0208.0122.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades167.0106.061.0
Number Losing Trades163.0102.061.0
Percent Profitable50.6150.9650.0
Avg P&l10054.680.966713.770.9615750.650.96
Avg Winning Trade54795.324.2350356.764.2662508.234.18
Avg Losing Trade35783.92.438640.712.4831006.942.26
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5311.3032.016
Largest Winning Trade334731.25325769.93334731.25
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.438.438.42
Largest Losing Trade151888.92151888.92121074.53
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.085.085.08
Avg # Bars In Trades34.035.034.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades42.043.042.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.027.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.574
Sortino Ratio3.249
Profit Factor1.5691.3542.016
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit4397106.064397.112035286.362035.292361819.72361.82
Gross Profit14937280.8414937.288765274.828765.276172006.026172.01
Gross Loss10540174.7810540.176729988.466729.993810186.323810.19
Commission Paid698839.71432336.54266503.17
Buy & Hold Return1380193.211380.19
Max Equity Run-up4985187.698.07
Max Drawdown1204490.5732.11
Max Contracts Held121.0121.0120.0
Total Closed Trades417.0261.0156.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades203.0128.075.0
Number Losing Trades214.0133.081.0
Percent Profitable48.6849.0448.08
Avg P&l10544.620.827798.030.8215139.870.83
Avg Winning Trade73582.664.1568478.714.1582293.414.15
Avg Losing Trade49253.152.3350601.422.3847039.342.25
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4941.3531.749
Largest Winning Trade358864.45325769.93358864.45
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.438.438.42
Largest Losing Trade257903.58182937.01257903.58
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.175.085.17
Avg # Bars In Trades36.037.035.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades46.046.046.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades27.029.025.0
Sharpe Ratio0.511
Sortino Ratio2.005
Profit Factor1.4171.3021.62
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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