XMA by @DaviddTech 🤖 [07a0655b]
🛡️ XMAV5 BTCUSDT 1H 7.05 @erki1972
MOMENTUM
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-07 15:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.51
- Sortino Ratio: 2.01
- Calmar: -3.47
- Longest DD Days: 61.00
- Volatility: 68.61
- Skew: 0.35
- Kurtosis: -1.08
- Expected Daily: 1.00
- Expected Monthly: 23.19
- Expected Yearly: 1,121.96
- Kelly Criterion: 13.66
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.49
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.39
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 02:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 203
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 214
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.47
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.39
- Payoff Ratio: 1.48
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.39
- Tail Ratio: 1.88
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.95
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.09
- Serenity Index: 216.54
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 4372.81% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 109.9% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.508 |
Profit Factor | 1.41 |
Maximum Drawdown | 32.11% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 68.66% |
The strategy exhibits a solid cumulative return of 4372.81% with an annualized return of 109.9%, indicating strong growth. The Sharpe Ratio, while just above the threshold for a good performance, indicates the potential for further enhancement, and the profit factor above 1 is a positive indicator of its profitability. The Maximum Drawdown is quite reasonable at 32.11% for crypto markets, reflecting effective downside risk management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, especially in high-volatility conditions typical in crypto markets. It surpasses the benchmark, evidenced by the Buy & Hold Return, and maintains adequate risk-adjusted performance. This suggests the strategy is well-suited to thriving under the crypto market's volatile conditions, making it a potentially excellent choice for traders looking to capitalize on such environments.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management approach is acceptable but could benefit from adjustments. Although maintaining a strong Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.41, the strategy exposes itself to high volatility. Suggestions for refining risk management include:
- Reducing leverage to lower drawdown volatility.
- Implementing more dynamic stop-loss mechanisms to safeguard against unexpected large losses.
- Further diversification to minimize specific risk exposure.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Refining position sizing tactics to improve the balance between risk and return.
- Exploring the integration of more advanced technical indicators to enhance trade timing and decision-making processes.
- Conducting stress testing and out-of-sample testing to ensure the strategy's robustness in varying market conditions.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong performance with high returns and a Sharpe Ratio surpassing the acceptable threshold, signifying good risk-adjusted success. Despite higher volatility, the low drawdown and positive risk-return metrics indicate substantial upside potential. However, further optimization and validation are essential to ensure continued efficacy in diverse market environments.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing of the strategy to reinforce its robustness and adapt its risk management framework for improved handling of market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.09% | 7.70% | -10.15% | 4.74% | 2.88% | 10.15% | 7.57% | 13.20% | 57.42% |
2021 | 27.59% | 46.73% | 4.35% | -1.77% | 6.51% | 13.49% | 13.09% | 9.62% | 4.11% | 29.36% | 4.56% | 5.05% |
2022 | 2.72% | -12.80% | 13.89% | 5.51% | 0.00% | 8.99% | 14.27% | 7.54% | 4.48% | -1.83% | 1.26% | 2.60% |
2023 | 14.59% | 2.77% | 1.57% | 1.88% | -4.20% | 13.75% | 6.02% | 1.93% | -1.97% | 7.81% | 3.45% | 10.02% |
2024 | -2.28% | 4.69% | 18.35% | -0.38% | -13.61% | 2.10% | 0.54% | -13.57% | 15.77% | 7.64% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
87
Number of Trades
33.65%
Cumulative Returns
41.38%
Win Rate
2024-05-07
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
4.1%
30 Days
7.76%
60 Days
12.86%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 3318043.39 | 3318.04 | 1396464.58 | 1396.46 | 1921578.81 | 1921.58 |
Gross Profit | 9150818.5 | 9150.82 | 5337816.52 | 5337.82 | 3813001.98 | 3813.0 |
Gross Loss | 5832775.12 | 5832.78 | 3941351.94 | 3941.35 | 1891423.17 | 1891.42 |
Commission Paid | 395348.63 | 244885.17 | 150463.46 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 789899.14 | 789.9 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3687963.01 | 97.41 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 651645.81 | 19.0 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 121.0 | 121.0 | 120.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 330.0 | 208.0 | 122.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 167.0 | 106.0 | 61.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 163.0 | 102.0 | 61.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 50.61 | 50.96 | 50.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 10054.68 | 0.96 | 6713.77 | 0.96 | 15750.65 | 0.96 |
Avg Winning Trade | 54795.32 | 4.23 | 50356.76 | 4.26 | 62508.23 | 4.18 |
Avg Losing Trade | 35783.9 | 2.4 | 38640.71 | 2.48 | 31006.94 | 2.26 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.531 | 1.303 | 2.016 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 334731.25 | 325769.93 | 334731.25 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.43 | 8.43 | 8.42 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 151888.92 | 151888.92 | 121074.53 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 34.0 | 35.0 | 34.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 42.0 | 43.0 | 42.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 26.0 | 27.0 | 26.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.574 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.249 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.569 | 1.354 | 2.016 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 4397106.06 | 4397.11 | 2035286.36 | 2035.29 | 2361819.7 | 2361.82 |
Gross Profit | 14937280.84 | 14937.28 | 8765274.82 | 8765.27 | 6172006.02 | 6172.01 |
Gross Loss | 10540174.78 | 10540.17 | 6729988.46 | 6729.99 | 3810186.32 | 3810.19 |
Commission Paid | 698839.71 | 432336.54 | 266503.17 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1380193.21 | 1380.19 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 4985187.6 | 98.07 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1204490.57 | 32.11 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 121.0 | 121.0 | 120.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 417.0 | 261.0 | 156.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 203.0 | 128.0 | 75.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 214.0 | 133.0 | 81.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 48.68 | 49.04 | 48.08 | |||
Avg P&l | 10544.62 | 0.82 | 7798.03 | 0.82 | 15139.87 | 0.83 |
Avg Winning Trade | 73582.66 | 4.15 | 68478.71 | 4.15 | 82293.41 | 4.15 |
Avg Losing Trade | 49253.15 | 2.33 | 50601.42 | 2.38 | 47039.34 | 2.25 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.494 | 1.353 | 1.749 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 358864.45 | 325769.93 | 358864.45 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.43 | 8.43 | 8.42 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 257903.58 | 182937.01 | 257903.58 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.17 | 5.08 | 5.17 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 36.0 | 37.0 | 35.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 46.0 | 46.0 | 46.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 27.0 | 29.0 | 25.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.511 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.005 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.417 | 1.302 | 1.62 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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