Dynamic Precision Scalper by @DaviddTech 🤖 [3f4d5869]
🛡️ DYNAMIC PRECISION SCALPER BTC 2H
@croc5455
⌛2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-06 19:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
- Sortino Ratio: 1.36
- Calmar: -3.40
- Longest DD Days: 45.00
- Volatility: 75.44
- Skew: 0.21
- Kurtosis: -1.36
- Expected Daily: 1.20
- Expected Monthly: 28.43
- Expected Yearly: 1,913.20
- Kelly Criterion: 16.83
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.11
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.83
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-09 06:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 120
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 115
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.40
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.50
- Payoff Ratio: 1.46
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.50
- Tail Ratio: 1.79
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.83
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 52.87
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
After evaluating the QuantStats report, the trading strategy showcases a mix of promising and challenging metrics that warrant a detailed review:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | 1230.59% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 72.19% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.386 |
Profit Factor | 1.543 |
Maximum Drawdown | 23.28% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 75.44% |
The strategy generates a robust cumulative net profit of 1230.59% with an annualized return of 72.19%, which is respectable. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.386 is below the threshold of 0.5, indicating that risk-adjusted returns could be improved. The maximum drawdown of 23.28% is within manageable levels given the crypto market's inherent volatility, reflecting the strategy’s relative resilience to losses.
Strategy Viability
Based on the metrics presented, the strategy is potentially viable for real-world trading, particularly for investors with a higher risk tolerance in the cryptocurrency sector. The performance is consistent with market conditions typical of high volatility environments, which could persist. Nonetheless, improvements in risk-adjusted performance compared to industry benchmarks are necessary to enhance its appeal to a broader audience.
Risk Management
The strategy utilizes moderate risk management techniques, as demonstrated by its maximum drawdown and gain-pain ratio of 1.5. However, with annualized volatility high at 75.44%, there is considerable scope for strengthening risk controls:
- Incorporating adaptive position sizing to modulate exposure based on real-time volatility assessments.
- Implementing refined stop-loss measures to further mitigate downside risk.
- Exploring diversification within the strategy to reduce idiosyncratic risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To augment the strategy’s robustness and enhance performance, consider the following adjustments:
- Refining strategy parameters can optimize return dynamics while keeping drawdowns within acceptable limits.
- Integrating additional technical indicators and market data insights to refine trade entry and exit strategies.
- Conducting rigorous out-of-sample testing and cross-validation against varying market conditions to confirm strategy resilience.
- Implementing a more comprehensive risk management framework, possibly using advanced techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) or Conditional VaR (CVaR) adjustments.
Final Opinion
On balance, the strategy offers significant potential, evident through its compelling net profit and reasonable drawdown management. However, there is notable room for enhancing its risk-adjusted return profile and mitigating volatility impacts. It is vital to refine the model further, ensuring it is resilient and adaptable across diverse market scenarios.
Recommendation: Pursue further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement the aforementioned improvements to heighten robustness and fine-tune risk management mechanisms, providing a more effective balance between risk and reward in volatile markets.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | -1.35% | 11.46% | -18.28% | 6.30% | -10.29% | 7.13% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 26.98% | -0.81% | 7.67% | 1.68% | -2.74% | 15.48% | -3.62% | 1.82% | -1.95% | 8.24% | 4.88% | 11.01% |
2022 | 3.82% | -6.14% | 9.31% | -2.71% | 0.00% | 2.45% | 0.52% | 7.85% | 7.97% | -1.51% | -4.08% | -2.70% |
2021 | 46.91% | 50.04% | -3.31% | 1.42% | -7.62% | 6.58% | 0.12% | 0.16% | 7.30% | 17.53% | 7.79% | 5.73% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.21% | 2.17% | -9.80% | 14.06% | -7.53% | 4.09% | -9.13% | 9.01% | 28.19% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
42
Number of Trades
17.97%
Cumulative Returns
45.24%
Win Rate
2024-03-13
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
9.65%
30 Days
27.3%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,048,510.59 USD | 1,048.51 | 790,366.26 USD | 790.37 | 258,144.33 USD | 258.14 |
Gross Profit | 2,517,436.48 | 2,517.44 | 1,564,691.80 | 1,564.69 | 952,744.68 | 952.74 |
Gross Loss | 1,468,925.89 | 1,468.93 | 774,325.55 | 774.33 | 694,600.34 | 694.60 |
Max Run-up | 1,224,100.60 | 92.45 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 204,800.67 | 21.63 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 938,956.70 | 938.96 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.433 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.097 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.714 | 2.021 | 1.372 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 40 | 36 | 40 | |||
Open PL | 97,426.38 | 8.48 | ||||
Commission Paid | 76,966.78 | 44,424.44 | 32,542.33 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 193 | 111 | 82 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 101 | 64 | 37 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 92 | 47 | 45 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.33 | 57.66 | 45.12 | |||
Avg Trade | 5,432.70 | 1.39 | 7,120.42 | 1.75 | 3,148.10 | 0.91 |
Avg Winning Trade | 24,925.11 | 5.68 | 24,448.31 | 5.54 | 25,749.86 | 5.93 |
Avg Losing Trade | 15,966.59 | 3.32 | 16,475.01 | 3.42 | 15,435.56 | 3.21 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.561 | 1.484 | 1.668 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 102,129.46 | 10.12 | 102,129.46 | 10.12 | 90,159.11 | 10.12 |
Largest Losing Trade | 76,858.38 | 6.08 | 52,191.76 | 6.08 | 76,858.38 | 6.08 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 32 | 33 | 31 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 35 | 33 | 38 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 29 | 34 | 25 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,230,587.03 USD | 1,230.59 | 751,339.57 USD | 751.34 | 479,247.46 USD | 479.25 |
Gross Profit | 3,498,168.98 | 3,498.17 | 2,008,732.08 | 2,008.73 | 1,489,436.91 | 1,489.44 |
Gross Loss | 2,267,581.95 | 2,267.58 | 1,257,392.50 | 1,257.39 | 1,010,189.45 | 1,010.19 |
Max Run-up | 1,244,848.78 | 92.57 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 302,800.32 | 23.28 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,320,970.63 | 1,320.97 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.386 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.36 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.543 | 1.598 | 1.474 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 40 | 36 | 40 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 114,436.16 | 64,269.13 | 50,167.03 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 235 | 133 | 102 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 120 | 72 | 48 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 115 | 61 | 54 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.06 | 54.14 | 47.06 | |||
Avg Trade | 5,236.54 | 1.22 | 5,649.17 | 1.43 | 4,698.50 | 0.94 |
Avg Winning Trade | 29,151.41 | 5.52 | 27,899.06 | 5.46 | 31,029.94 | 5.59 |
Avg Losing Trade | 19,718.10 | 3.26 | 20,612.99 | 3.32 | 18,707.21 | 3.19 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.478 | 1.353 | 1.659 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 102,129.46 | 10.12 | 102,129.46 | 10.12 | 90,159.11 | 10.12 |
Largest Losing Trade | 76,858.38 | 6.08 | 71,054.95 | 6.08 | 76,858.38 | 6.08 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 33 | 35 | 31 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 35 | 35 | 36 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 31 | 35 | 26 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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