DEADZONE BTC 2H
@MarcoB
2H
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 5 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-29 14:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.53
- Sortino Ratio: 1.63
- Calmar: -3.24
- Longest DD Days: 21.00
- Volatility: 133.15
- Skew: 0.25
- Kurtosis: -1.45
- Expected Daily: 2.73
- Expected Monthly: 76.16
- Expected Yearly: 89,198.10
- Kelly Criterion: 13.12
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.20
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.80
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-20 02:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 88
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 94
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.24
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.37
- Payoff Ratio: 1.45
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.37
- Tail Ratio: 1.83
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.81
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.11
- Serenity Index: 192.09
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit discussion:
Metric | Strategy Value |
---|---|
Sharpe Ratio | 0.522 |
Profit Factor | 1.334 |
Maximum Drawdown | -44.19% |
Percent Profitable | 48.35% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 138.18% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 133.2% |
The strategy shows a promising annualized return of 138.18% with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.522, indicating acceptable risk-adjusted returns in the crypto domain. The Profit Factor of 1.334 also reflects favorable conditions outpacing costs by a satisfactory margin, given the strategy environment. However, a maximum drawdown of -44.19% indicates higher risk exposure, suggesting potential over-leverage.
Strategy Viability
This strategy demonstrates robust returns and a fair performance on risk-adjusted metrics. Its profitability outcome suggests it has potential for success in real-world applications, especially under environments with sustained volatility. Yet, the high drawdown points to a need for cautious risk management. For optimal performance, the strategy would benefit from environments conducive to its high return and volatility profile.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management could be significantly improved:
- Reducing leverage can help in decreasing the drawdown without severely impacting expected returns.
- Incorporating strict stop-loss mechanisms can mitigate extreme losses, aligning drawdown closer to acceptable levels.
- Increased diversification can lower unsystematic risk and enhance the strategy's stability.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's robustness and maximize its performance, consider the following:
- Refine the strategy parameters to improve trade accuracy and reduce market exposure during adverse conditions.
- Introduce more sophisticated volatility management practices, potentially through algorithmic adjustments.
- Conduct extensive backward and forward-testing across diverse market conditions to ensure strategy resilience.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy shows significant strengths, particularly in high-return environments, with a Sharpe Ratio above industry acceptance and respectable profitability measures. The higher drawdown warrants attention for real-world application, but refinements in leverage and risk practices can address major concerns.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy after refining its risk management framework. Focus on reducing leverage, optimizing parameters, and conducting comprehensive testing to improve its resilience across market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.57% | 8.87% | -4.47% | 30.80% | 0.35% | -0.51% | 23.02% | 5.26% | 22.69% |
2021 | -15.14% | 23.18% | 0.90% | 11.50% | 33.92% | 27.14% | 36.61% | 0.00% | -2.00% | 11.45% | 19.46% | -11.03% |
2022 | 40.57% | 20.93% | 2.52% | -14.44% | 17.57% | 35.94% | -6.39% | 29.74% | 22.13% | -8.55% | 10.31% | -8.00% |
2023 | 36.26% | -0.91% | 23.37% | 12.71% | -2.03% | 4.77% | -0.33% | 4.44% | -3.16% | 22.51% | 2.97% | 5.89% |
2024 | -6.53% | 22.68% | 5.74% | -2.92% | -7.07% | 4.89% | 2.04% | 5.71% | 5.25% | -0.46% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
54
Number of Trades
31.25%
Cumulative Returns
38.89%
Win Rate
2024-01-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
15.25%
30 Days
-21.4%
60 Days
-0.94%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 241832.88 | 3.36 | ||||
Net Profit | 7099055.71 | 7099.06 | 5958678.91 | 5958.68 | 1140376.79 | 1140.38 |
Gross Profit | 13350516.06 | 13350.52 | 8823576.85 | 8823.58 | 4526939.21 | 4526.94 |
Gross Loss | 6251460.36 | 6251.46 | 2864897.94 | 2864.9 | 3386562.42 | 3386.56 |
Commission Paid | 371242.11 | 187698.67 | 183543.43 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 453405.06 | 453.41 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 8767201.67 | 98.87 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1554387.97 | 18.98 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 427.0 | 283.0 | 427.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 129.0 | 59.0 | 70.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 68.0 | 33.0 | 35.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 61.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.71 | 55.93 | 50.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 55031.44 | 2.93 | 100994.56 | 4.01 | 16291.1 | 2.02 |
Avg Winning Trade | 196331.12 | 8.73 | 267381.12 | 10.0 | 129341.12 | 7.53 |
Avg Losing Trade | 102482.96 | 3.53 | 110188.38 | 3.59 | 96758.93 | 3.49 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.916 | 2.427 | 1.337 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 999503.94 | 999503.94 | 575864.66 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.3 | 10.3 | 8.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 621428.22 | 621428.22 | 494318.01 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.6 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 58.0 | 68.0 | 51.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 63.0 | 76.0 | 51.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 53.0 | 57.0 | 50.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.67 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.565 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.136 | 3.08 | 1.337 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 312607.0 | 3.92 | ||||
Net Profit | 7877811.31 | 7877.81 | 7944629.37 | 7944.63 | -66818.06 | -66.82 |
Gross Profit | 31447573.81 | 31447.57 | 19195650.9 | 19195.65 | 12251922.91 | 12251.92 |
Gross Loss | 23569762.51 | 23569.76 | 11251021.53 | 11251.02 | 12318740.98 | 12318.74 |
Commission Paid | 1004303.77 | 495504.48 | 508799.3 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1313467.41 | 1313.47 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 12586393.9 | 99.21 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 5549578.51 | 44.19 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 427.0 | 283.0 | 427.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 182.0 | 84.0 | 98.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 88.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 94.0 | 40.0 | 54.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 48.35 | 52.38 | 44.9 | |||
Avg P&l | 43284.68 | 2.22 | 94578.92 | 3.14 | -681.82 | 1.44 |
Avg Winning Trade | 357358.79 | 8.65 | 436264.79 | 9.66 | 278452.79 | 7.65 |
Avg Losing Trade | 250742.15 | 3.8 | 281275.54 | 4.04 | 228124.83 | 3.61 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.425 | 1.551 | 1.221 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1966908.62 | 1966908.62 | 1109970.62 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.3 | 10.3 | 8.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1141231.09 | 1141231.09 | 883646.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.69 | 5.69 | 5.6 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 54.0 | 62.0 | 48.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 63.0 | 73.0 | 52.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 47.0 | 49.0 | 45.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.526 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.625 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.334 | 1.706 | 0.995 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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