THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [bec26f4a]
🛡️ DEADZONE BTC 15MIN
@MarcoB
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 10 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-01 02:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.39
- Sortino Ratio: 0.88
- Calmar: -1.61
- Longest DD Days: 151.00
- Volatility: 69.49
- Skew: 1.55
- Kurtosis: 3.11
- Expected Daily: 0.35
- Expected Monthly: 7.52
- Expected Yearly: 138.81
- Kelly Criterion: 4.73
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.93
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.32
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-27 01:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 351
- Max Consecutive Losses: 12
- Number Losing Trades: 611
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.61
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.15
- Payoff Ratio: 1.99
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.15
- Tail Ratio: 2.26
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.65
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.06
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.16
- Serenity Index: 24.87
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
On evaluating the QuantStats report, several key metrics emerge that define the trading strategy's performance:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Net Profit | 1062.99% |
Buy & Hold Return | 1255.24% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.393 |
Profit Factor | 1.145 |
Maximum Drawdown | 41.39% |
Volatility | 69.56% |
Percent Profitable | 36.42% |
Calmar Ratio | -1.61 |
The strategy's cumulative net profit of 1062.99% demonstrates significant growth potential. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.393 is slightly below the acceptable threshold, indicating less favorable risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor, just above 1, suggests the strategy is marginally profitable. It's crucial to note the maximum drawdown of 41.39%, slightly exceeding the 40% threshold, suggesting some level of exposure to volatility.
Strategy Viability
Although the strategy shows a strong net profit margin, the lower Sharpe Ratio and slightly high drawdown indicate potential areas of concern. The Buy & Hold Return surpasses the strategy's return, suggesting that passive holding might yield better returns under current market conditions. Market shifts may create opportunities for the strategy to outperform, but reliance on conditions that may not be persistent poses a risk.
Risk Management
The strategy's current risk management approach requires optimization given the high volatility at 69.56%. While there are no margin calls reported, the significant drawdown and moderate Kelly Criterion (4.55) call for better drawdown management. Suggested improvements include:
- Implementing less leverage to manage and potentially reduce maximum drawdown.
- Incorporating stricter stop-loss and take-profit protocols to safeguard against large losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy's performance and robustness, consider:
- Optimizing parameters to enhance the risk-reward balance and improve the Sharpe Ratio.
- Exploring a broader set of technical and fundamental indicators to enhance signal accuracy.
- Conducting robust backtesting across various market environments to ascertain consistency and adaptability.
- Revising the drawdown management strategy by adjusting leverage and incorporating volatility measures.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy presents notable profit-making potential but with concerns related to risk management and volatility. The high net profit is commendable, yet improvements in risk-adjusted performance and drawdown management are recommended for sustainability.
Recommendation: Proceed with refining and testing enhancements on risk management and parameter optimization to strengthen the strategy's performance during diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.18% | -4.32% | -2.44% | 12.72% | -11.85% | 8.90% | 10.97% | 22.32% | 3.98% |
2021 | 8.91% | 13.54% | -16.28% | 13.85% | 22.46% | 15.63% | 0.27% | -2.99% | 22.05% | 24.07% | 6.40% | 18.38% |
2022 | -1.85% | 10.31% | 13.28% | 23.51% | 0.41% | 7.15% | 7.64% | -14.24% | 10.43% | 13.05% | 6.14% | 3.34% |
2023 | 2.36% | -2.73% | 6.40% | 2.40% | -2.92% | 1.71% | -12.44% | 1.61% | -4.89% | 16.92% | -15.42% | 7.03% |
2024 | -1.95% | 26.09% | -9.54% | -7.65% | 4.38% | 6.16% | 10.22% | 39.51% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
227
Number of Trades
61.46%
Cumulative Returns
37.44%
Win Rate
2024-01-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
15.9%
30 Days
22.7%
60 Days
0.03%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 649308.09 | 649.31 | 399124.59 | 399.12 | 250183.49 | 250.18 |
Gross Profit | 5314981.82 | 5314.98 | 2599651.5 | 2599.65 | 2715330.32 | 2715.33 |
Gross Loss | 4665673.73 | 4665.67 | 2200526.91 | 2200.53 | 2465146.82 | 2465.15 |
Commission Paid | 474021.58 | 223202.4 | 250819.18 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 573906.58 | 573.91 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 934840.24 | 90.34 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 298242.88 | 41.39 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 96.0 | 96.0 | 75.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 736.0 | 351.0 | 385.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 266.0 | 133.0 | 133.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 470.0 | 218.0 | 252.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 36.14 | 37.89 | 34.55 | |||
Avg P&l | 882.21 | 0.27 | 1137.11 | 0.41 | 649.83 | 0.14 |
Avg Winning Trade | 19981.13 | 3.71 | 19546.25 | 3.75 | 20416.02 | 3.68 |
Avg Losing Trade | 9926.97 | 1.68 | 10094.16 | 1.62 | 9782.33 | 1.72 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.013 | 1.936 | 2.087 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 113080.36 | 113080.36 | 86592.58 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.61 | 10.61 | 8.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 94380.68 | 94380.68 | 54514.63 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 11.71 | 5.7 | 11.71 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 110.0 | 120.0 | 102.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 173.0 | 189.0 | 156.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 75.0 | 77.0 | 73.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.453 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.0 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.139 | 1.181 | 1.101 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -5758.7 | -0.49 | ||||
Net Profit | 1075466.86 | 1075.47 | 703211.58 | 703.21 | 372255.28 | 372.26 |
Gross Profit | 8409774.2 | 8409.77 | 4134111.66 | 4134.11 | 4275662.54 | 4275.66 |
Gross Loss | 7334307.34 | 7334.31 | 3430900.08 | 3430.9 | 3903407.26 | 3903.41 |
Commission Paid | 766584.71 | 371399.68 | 395185.03 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1304515.86 | 1304.52 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1319052.09 | 92.96 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 381384.48 | 41.39 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 96.0 | 96.0 | 75.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 962.0 | 464.0 | 498.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 351.0 | 179.0 | 172.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 611.0 | 285.0 | 326.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 36.49 | 38.58 | 34.54 | |||
Avg P&l | 1117.95 | 0.26 | 1515.54 | 0.38 | 747.5 | 0.15 |
Avg Winning Trade | 23959.47 | 3.53 | 23095.6 | 3.48 | 24858.5 | 3.58 |
Avg Losing Trade | 12003.78 | 1.61 | 12038.25 | 1.56 | 11973.64 | 1.66 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.996 | 1.919 | 2.076 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 176335.76 | 152546.02 | 176335.76 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 10.61 | 10.61 | 8.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 94380.68 | 94380.68 | 77478.07 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 11.71 | 5.7 | 11.71 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 110.0 | 120.0 | 101.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 178.0 | 198.0 | 157.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 72.0 | 71.0 | 72.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.394 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.882 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.147 | 1.205 | 1.095 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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