THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d0f60f09]
🛡️ DEAD ZONE -RUNE-12MIN @Steven0123
TREND FOLOWING
12 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 4 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-03 17:12:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.54
- Sortino Ratio: 2.00
- Calmar: -1.35
- Longest DD Days: 234.00
- Volatility: 5.96
- Skew: -0.75
- Kurtosis: 17.54
- Expected Daily: 0.03
- Expected Monthly: 0.63
- Expected Yearly: 7.86
- Kelly Criterion: 14.98
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.50
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.86
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 09:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 534
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 448
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.35
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.38
- Payoff Ratio: 1.16
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.38
- Tail Ratio: 1.25
- Outlier Win Ratio: 5.53
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.50
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.02
- Serenity Index: 7.80
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics have been noted which are crucial for evaluating the strategy's effectiveness:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 34434.34% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 9% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.543 |
Profit Factor | 1.386 |
Maximum Drawdown | -56.52% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 5.95% |
The strategy showcases remarkable potential with a net profit of 34434.34%, reflecting its ability to capture gains even in a fluctuating market. A Sharpe ratio of 0.543 indicates decent risk-adjusted returns, signifying that the strategy efficiently compensates for the risk undertaken. The profit factor above 1.38 signifies a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. However, a notable maximum drawdown of -56.52% highlights a potential risk factor in capital preservation which should be addressed.
Strategy Viability
According to the data available, the strategy demonstrates promising returns, which could potentially be leveraged in real-world trading scenarios. The strategy's profitability in diverse market conditions is evident, although a high drawdown could pose a challenge during adverse market environments. Its outperformance compared to the industry benchmark, despite market downturns, emphasizes its robustness, albeit with caution regarding position sizing and leverage.
Risk Management
The risk management aspect of the strategy could benefit from refinement given the high maximum drawdown. Current risk measures like position management and volatility insight can be enhanced in the following ways:
- Implementing a stricter leverage policy to limit exposure during high volatility periods and decrease drawdowns.
- Use dynamic risk-sizing and stop-loss adjustments to maintain risk at a consistent percentage of equity.
- Utilizing broader diversification of assets to dilute unsystematic risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To further bolster the performance and durability of the strategy, consider incorporating the following enhancements:
- Explore the possibility of refining strategy parameters to balance maximizing returns while minimizing drawdowns, which may involve further testing of different asset classes.
- Integrate additional technical indicators to fine-tune entry and exit signals for trades.
- Execute out-of-sample testing and forward-testing across various market conditions and timeframes to validate robustness and adaptability.
- Adopt advanced risk management strategies such as the implementation of stress testing for better foreseeing potential losses.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy demonstrates substantial potential with considerable profits in a range of market conditions. The risk-adjusted return profile appears competent, though high drawdowns necessitate attention to risk management. Optimistic enhancement of market adaptability and leverage control is advisable to fortify its robustness.
Recommendation: Proceed with refinement and further verification of the strategy. Emphasis should be placed on minimizing drawdowns and volatile risks through methodical testing and risk control measures, thereby laying the foundation for sustainable, long-term success.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.52% |
2022 | -1.61% | 48.52% | -2.22% | -24.75% | -12.05% | 11.78% | 34.46% | 7.75% | -6.86% | 9.36% | -26.26% | 0.42% |
2023 | 58.79% | 13.98% | 57.15% | 17.27% | -23.92% | -15.62% | -14.56% | 23.35% | 13.32% | 44.21% | 64.41% | 46.41% |
2024 | 85.21% | 78.67% | 53.06% | 3.63% | -7.31% | -9.04% | 5.97% | 16.60% | -24.08% | 10.65% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
324
Number of Trades
148.18%
Cumulative Returns
54.32%
Win Rate
2024-04-08
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
30.99%
30 Days
140.66%
60 Days
103.75%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 12725.85 | 12725.85 | 9993.63 | 9993.63 | 2732.22 | 2732.22 |
Gross Profit | 23500.71 | 23500.71 | 16029.35 | 16029.35 | 7471.37 | 7471.37 |
Gross Loss | 10774.86 | 10774.86 | 6035.71 | 6035.71 | 4739.15 | 4739.15 |
Commission Paid | 1623.11 | 917.83 | 705.28 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -24.19 | -24.19 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 12729.85 | 99.25 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1778.65 | 54.35 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 5669.0 | 5669.0 | 5634.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 658.0 | 316.0 | 342.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 358.0 | 179.0 | 179.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 300.0 | 137.0 | 163.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.41 | 56.65 | 52.34 | |||
Avg P&l | 19.34 | 0.27 | 31.63 | 0.44 | 7.99 | 0.12 |
Avg Winning Trade | 65.64 | 1.73 | 89.55 | 2.01 | 41.74 | 1.44 |
Avg Losing Trade | 35.92 | 1.46 | 44.06 | 1.62 | 29.07 | 1.33 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.828 | 2.033 | 1.436 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1089.79 | 1089.79 | 1022.94 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 25.07 | 3.07 | 25.07 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 877.88 | 877.88 | 488.13 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.75 | 4.2 | 4.75 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 12.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 11.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 14.0 | 19.0 | 9.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.613 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.406 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.181 | 2.656 | 1.577 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 33331.68 | 33331.68 | 25109.56 | 25109.56 | 8222.13 | 8222.13 |
Gross Profit | 123735.48 | 123735.48 | 81266.38 | 81266.38 | 42469.09 | 42469.09 |
Gross Loss | 90403.79 | 90403.79 | 56156.83 | 56156.83 | 34246.97 | 34246.97 |
Commission Paid | 10232.61 | 5967.97 | 4264.64 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -81.66 | -81.66 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 36255.68 | 99.74 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 7457.57 | 56.52 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 86213.0 | 86213.0 | 79385.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 982.0 | 476.0 | 506.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 534.0 | 257.0 | 277.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 448.0 | 219.0 | 229.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.38 | 53.99 | 54.74 | |||
Avg P&l | 33.94 | 0.23 | 52.75 | 0.34 | 16.25 | 0.12 |
Avg Winning Trade | 231.71 | 1.7 | 316.21 | 2.02 | 153.32 | 1.39 |
Avg Losing Trade | 201.79 | 1.52 | 256.42 | 1.62 | 149.55 | 1.42 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.148 | 1.233 | 1.025 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2640.05 | 2640.05 | 2061.59 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 25.07 | 3.35 | 25.07 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 4349.54 | 2714.98 | 4349.54 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 18.98 | 4.2 | 18.98 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 11.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 10.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 12.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.0 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.369 | 1.447 | 1.24 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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