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DaviddTech
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Dead Zone -Rune-12min

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THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d0f60f09]

🛡️ DEAD ZONE -RUNE-12MIN @Steven0123

TREND FOLOWING
12 minutes

by will1310 - April 22, 2024
0
  • icon 1
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 4 hours ago

33331.68%

Net Profit

54.38%

Win Rate

982

Total Closed Trades

1.369

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

20605.83% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-03 17:12:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.54
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.00
  • Calmar: -1.35
  • Longest DD Days: 234.00
  • Volatility: 5.96
  • Skew: -0.75
  • Kurtosis: 17.54
  • Expected Daily: 0.03
  • Expected Monthly: 0.63
  • Expected Yearly: 7.86
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.98
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.50
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.86
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 09:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 534
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 448
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.35
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.38
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.16
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.38
  • Tail Ratio: 1.25
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.53
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.50
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 7.80

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics have been noted which are crucial for evaluating the strategy's effectiveness:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 34434.34%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 9%
Sharpe Ratio 0.543
Profit Factor 1.386
Maximum Drawdown -56.52%
Volatility (Annualized) 5.95%

The strategy showcases remarkable potential with a net profit of 34434.34%, reflecting its ability to capture gains even in a fluctuating market. A Sharpe ratio of 0.543 indicates decent risk-adjusted returns, signifying that the strategy efficiently compensates for the risk undertaken. The profit factor above 1.38 signifies a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. However, a notable maximum drawdown of -56.52% highlights a potential risk factor in capital preservation which should be addressed.

Strategy Viability

According to the data available, the strategy demonstrates promising returns, which could potentially be leveraged in real-world trading scenarios. The strategy's profitability in diverse market conditions is evident, although a high drawdown could pose a challenge during adverse market environments. Its outperformance compared to the industry benchmark, despite market downturns, emphasizes its robustness, albeit with caution regarding position sizing and leverage.

Risk Management

The risk management aspect of the strategy could benefit from refinement given the high maximum drawdown. Current risk measures like position management and volatility insight can be enhanced in the following ways:

  • Implementing a stricter leverage policy to limit exposure during high volatility periods and decrease drawdowns.
  • Use dynamic risk-sizing and stop-loss adjustments to maintain risk at a consistent percentage of equity.
  • Utilizing broader diversification of assets to dilute unsystematic risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the performance and durability of the strategy, consider incorporating the following enhancements:

  • Explore the possibility of refining strategy parameters to balance maximizing returns while minimizing drawdowns, which may involve further testing of different asset classes.
  • Integrate additional technical indicators to fine-tune entry and exit signals for trades.
  • Execute out-of-sample testing and forward-testing across various market conditions and timeframes to validate robustness and adaptability.
  • Adopt advanced risk management strategies such as the implementation of stress testing for better foreseeing potential losses.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy demonstrates substantial potential with considerable profits in a range of market conditions. The risk-adjusted return profile appears competent, though high drawdowns necessitate attention to risk management. Optimistic enhancement of market adaptability and leverage control is advisable to fortify its robustness.

Recommendation: Proceed with refinement and further verification of the strategy. Emphasis should be placed on minimizing drawdowns and volatile risks through methodical testing and risk control measures, thereby laying the foundation for sustainable, long-term success.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%38.52%
2022-1.61%48.52%-2.22%-24.75%-12.05%11.78%34.46%7.75%-6.86%9.36%-26.26%0.42%
202358.79%13.98%57.15%17.27%-23.92%-15.62%-14.56%23.35%13.32%44.21%64.41%46.41%
202485.21%78.67%53.06%3.63%-7.31%-9.04%5.97%16.60%-24.08%10.65%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

RUNE

Base Currency

324

Number of Trades

148.18%

Cumulative Returns

54.32%

Win Rate

2024-04-08

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

30.99%

30 Days

140.66%

60 Days

103.75%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit12725.8512725.859993.639993.632732.222732.22
Gross Profit23500.7123500.7116029.3516029.357471.377471.37
Gross Loss10774.8610774.866035.716035.714739.154739.15
Commission Paid1623.11917.83705.28
Buy & Hold Return-24.19-24.19
Max Equity Run-up12729.8599.25
Max Drawdown1778.6554.35
Max Contracts Held5669.05669.05634.0
Total Closed Trades658.0316.0342.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades358.0179.0179.0
Number Losing Trades300.0137.0163.0
Percent Profitable54.4156.6552.34
Avg P&l19.340.2731.630.447.990.12
Avg Winning Trade65.641.7389.552.0141.741.44
Avg Losing Trade35.921.4644.061.6229.071.33
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8282.0331.436
Largest Winning Trade1089.791089.791022.94
Largest Winning Trade Percent25.073.0725.07
Largest Losing Trade877.88877.88488.13
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.754.24.75
Avg # Bars In Trades12.016.08.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.014.07.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.019.09.0
Sharpe Ratio0.613
Sortino Ratio2.406
Profit Factor2.1812.6561.577
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit33331.6833331.6825109.5625109.568222.138222.13
Gross Profit123735.48123735.4881266.3881266.3842469.0942469.09
Gross Loss90403.7990403.7956156.8356156.8334246.9734246.97
Commission Paid10232.615967.974264.64
Buy & Hold Return-81.66-81.66
Max Equity Run-up36255.6899.74
Max Drawdown7457.5756.52
Max Contracts Held86213.086213.079385.0
Total Closed Trades982.0476.0506.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades534.0257.0277.0
Number Losing Trades448.0219.0229.0
Percent Profitable54.3853.9954.74
Avg P&l33.940.2352.750.3416.250.12
Avg Winning Trade231.711.7316.212.02153.321.39
Avg Losing Trade201.791.52256.421.62149.551.42
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1481.2331.025
Largest Winning Trade2640.052640.052061.59
Largest Winning Trade Percent25.073.3525.07
Largest Losing Trade4349.542714.984349.54
Largest Losing Trade Percent18.984.218.98
Avg # Bars In Trades11.015.07.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades10.014.06.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades12.017.08.0
Sharpe Ratio0.54
Sortino Ratio2.0
Profit Factor1.3691.4471.24
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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