THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b096577e]
🛡️ THE DEADZONE BTC-50MIN @Daaniyel
TREND FOLOWING
50 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-10 07:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
- Sortino Ratio: 1.07
- Calmar: -1.09
- Longest DD Days: 170.00
- Volatility: 1.61
- Skew: 3.01
- Kurtosis: 33.01
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.23
- Expected Yearly: 2.85
- Kelly Criterion: 21.15
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.11
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.19
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-20 02:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 14
- Number Winning Trades 437
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 240
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.09
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.49
- Payoff Ratio: 0.82
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.49
- Tail Ratio: 1.26
- Outlier Win Ratio: 7.02
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.58
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 5.28
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 897.75% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 1.7% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.353 |
Profit Factor | 1.618 |
Maximum Drawdown | 22.91% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 1.56% |
The strategy demonstrates a cumulative return of 897.75% which suggests strong potential growth. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.353 is below the threshold of 0.5, indicating that the risk-adjusted returns are not optimal. The maximum drawdown of 22.91% is within acceptable limits, showing reasonable downside protection. A profit factor of 1.618 suggests that the strategy is profitable, with $1.618 gained for every $1 lost.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, the strategy shows promise in terms of total return with a viable maximum drawdown. However, the performance is not consistent across risk-adjusted metrics, specifically the Sharpe Ratio. It will be important to conduct further analysis to understand the specific market conditions that support the strategy's best performance, and consider if these conditions will continue. This strategy's volatility is relatively low, which might indicate stability over time, but further study is needed to ensure robustness.
Risk Management
The strategy appears to incorporate basic risk management, evidenced by the moderate drawdown and absence of margin calls. However, areas for enhancement include:
- Introducing dynamic position sizing to align with prevailing market conditions and volatility could improve risks.
- Implementing advanced stop-loss techniques to limit potential losses further.
- Potential diversification of trading assets could mitigate specific market risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's overall performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the strategy parameters for improved Sharpe Ratio and better risk management.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators that can refine entry and exit signals.
- Conduct rigorous backtesting and out-of-sample testing to ensure the resilience of the strategy across various market conditions.
- Integrate risk management techniques like monitoring Value-at-Risk (VaR) and conducting stress testing for more strategic decision-making.
- Consider adjusting leverage to manage market exposure better and reduce drawdown risks.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy has demonstrated significant cumulative returns with manageable drawdowns, indicating potential viability. However, the current risk-adjusted performance metrics need improvement to enhance its attractiveness for real-world trading. With strategic adjustments and thorough testing, the strategy's robustness and efficiency could be significantly heightened.
Recommendation: Continue with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to bolster the Sharpe Ratio and enhance the risk management framework, ensuring the strategy is both profitable and resilient under fluctuating market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.40% | -1.39% | 3.40% | 29.15% | -10.28% | -6.99% | 37.54% | 14.87% | 19.07% |
2021 | 0.00% | -1.54% | -1.31% | -7.42% | 2.57% | 0.00% | 11.78% | -2.38% | 0.49% | -0.53% | -0.94% | -1.42% |
2022 | -3.49% | 2.07% | 0.12% | -4.03% | -2.83% | -3.54% | 1.79% | 10.67% | 7.71% | -3.86% | -3.82% | 22.48% |
2023 | 17.48% | 0.36% | -0.19% | 9.53% | 0.09% | 5.71% | -14.52% | -2.89% | -2.90% | 23.44% | -5.43% | 19.61% |
2024 | 5.12% | 44.28% | -1.43% | -2.19% | -1.65% | 7.17% | -1.93% | -8.06% | 15.26% | 10.80% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
188
Number of Trades
56.28%
Cumulative Returns
63.83%
Win Rate
2024-02-13
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-10.97%
30 Days
-14.9%
60 Days
-5.67%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 320.13 | 6.08 | ||||
Net Profit | 4265.24 | 426.52 | 2924.88 | 292.49 | 1340.37 | 134.04 |
Gross Profit | 11630.98 | 1163.1 | 6756.2 | 675.62 | 4874.78 | 487.48 |
Gross Loss | 7365.74 | 736.57 | 3831.32 | 383.13 | 3534.42 | 353.44 |
Commission Paid | 872.51 | 291.75 | 580.76 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 6084.52 | 608.45 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 4687.71 | 83.26 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 976.93 | 22.91 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 490.0 | 140.0 | 350.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 318.0 | 51.0 | 267.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 172.0 | 89.0 | 83.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 64.9 | 36.43 | 76.29 | |||
Avg P&l | 8.7 | 1.07 | 20.89 | 2.59 | 3.83 | 0.46 |
Avg Winning Trade | 36.58 | 2.66 | 132.47 | 10.14 | 18.26 | 1.23 |
Avg Losing Trade | 42.82 | 1.86 | 43.05 | 1.73 | 42.58 | 2.0 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.854 | 3.077 | 0.429 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 483.76 | 483.76 | 142.37 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 27.64 | 27.64 | 4.33 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 239.29 | 239.29 | 160.87 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.48 | 4.44 | 5.48 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 45.0 | 118.0 | 16.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 45.0 | 205.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 47.0 | 68.0 | 24.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.367 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.177 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.579 | 1.763 | 1.379 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 25.82 | 0.29 | ||||
Net Profit | 7786.94 | 778.69 | 4082.7 | 408.27 | 3704.24 | 370.42 |
Gross Profit | 23513.32 | 2351.33 | 11920.39 | 1192.04 | 11592.93 | 1159.29 |
Gross Loss | 15726.38 | 1572.64 | 7837.69 | 783.77 | 7888.69 | 788.87 |
Commission Paid | 1785.85 | 521.77 | 1264.07 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 13928.53 | 1392.85 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 9478.68 | 90.96 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1519.01 | 22.91 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 677.0 | 193.0 | 484.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 437.0 | 63.0 | 374.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 240.0 | 130.0 | 110.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 64.55 | 32.64 | 77.27 | |||
Avg P&l | 11.5 | 1.01 | 21.15 | 2.24 | 7.65 | 0.51 |
Avg Winning Trade | 53.81 | 2.59 | 189.21 | 10.59 | 31.0 | 1.24 |
Avg Losing Trade | 65.53 | 1.88 | 60.29 | 1.8 | 71.72 | 1.96 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.821 | 3.138 | 0.432 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1258.09 | 1258.09 | 261.52 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 27.64 | 27.64 | 4.33 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 581.71 | 295.68 | 581.71 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.48 | 4.83 | 5.48 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 44.0 | 119.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 42.0 | 214.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 49.0 | 73.0 | 21.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.333 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.067 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.495 | 1.521 | 1.47 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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