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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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THE DEADZONE BTC-50MIN

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THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b096577e]

🛡️ THE DEADZONE BTC-50MIN @Daaniyel

TREND FOLOWING
50 minutes

by DaviddTech - February 13, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 3 hours ago

778.69%

Net Profit

64.55%

Win Rate

677

Total Closed Trades

1.495

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

352.17% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-10 07:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.07
  • Calmar: -1.09
  • Longest DD Days: 170.00
  • Volatility: 1.61
  • Skew: 3.01
  • Kurtosis: 33.01
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.23
  • Expected Yearly: 2.85
  • Kelly Criterion: 21.15
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.11
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.19
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-20 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 14
  • Number Winning Trades 437
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 240
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.09
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.49
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.82
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.49
  • Tail Ratio: 1.26
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 7.02
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.58
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 5.28

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 897.75%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 1.7%
Sharpe Ratio 0.353
Profit Factor 1.618
Maximum Drawdown 22.91%
Volatility (Annualized) 1.56%

The strategy demonstrates a cumulative return of 897.75% which suggests strong potential growth. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.353 is below the threshold of 0.5, indicating that the risk-adjusted returns are not optimal. The maximum drawdown of 22.91% is within acceptable limits, showing reasonable downside protection. A profit factor of 1.618 suggests that the strategy is profitable, with $1.618 gained for every $1 lost.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data, the strategy shows promise in terms of total return with a viable maximum drawdown. However, the performance is not consistent across risk-adjusted metrics, specifically the Sharpe Ratio. It will be important to conduct further analysis to understand the specific market conditions that support the strategy's best performance, and consider if these conditions will continue. This strategy's volatility is relatively low, which might indicate stability over time, but further study is needed to ensure robustness.

Risk Management

The strategy appears to incorporate basic risk management, evidenced by the moderate drawdown and absence of margin calls. However, areas for enhancement include:

  • Introducing dynamic position sizing to align with prevailing market conditions and volatility could improve risks.
  • Implementing advanced stop-loss techniques to limit potential losses further.
  • Potential diversification of trading assets could mitigate specific market risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's overall performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy parameters for improved Sharpe Ratio and better risk management.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators that can refine entry and exit signals.
  • Conduct rigorous backtesting and out-of-sample testing to ensure the resilience of the strategy across various market conditions.
  • Integrate risk management techniques like monitoring Value-at-Risk (VaR) and conducting stress testing for more strategic decision-making.
  • Consider adjusting leverage to manage market exposure better and reduce drawdown risks.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy has demonstrated significant cumulative returns with manageable drawdowns, indicating potential viability. However, the current risk-adjusted performance metrics need improvement to enhance its attractiveness for real-world trading. With strategic adjustments and thorough testing, the strategy's robustness and efficiency could be significantly heightened.

Recommendation: Continue with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to bolster the Sharpe Ratio and enhance the risk management framework, ensuring the strategy is both profitable and resilient under fluctuating market conditions.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?
☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%14.40%-1.39%3.40%29.15%-10.28%-6.99%37.54%14.87%19.07%
20210.00%-1.54%-1.31%-7.42%2.57%0.00%11.78%-2.38%0.49%-0.53%-0.94%-1.42%
2022-3.49%2.07%0.12%-4.03%-2.83%-3.54%1.79%10.67%7.71%-3.86%-3.82%22.48%
202317.48%0.36%-0.19%9.53%0.09%5.71%-14.52%-2.89%-2.90%23.44%-5.43%19.61%
20245.12%44.28%-1.43%-2.19%-1.65%7.17%-1.93%-8.06%15.26%10.80%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

BTC

Base Currency

188

Number of Trades

56.28%

Cumulative Returns

63.83%

Win Rate

2024-02-13

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-10.97%

30 Days

-14.9%

60 Days

-5.67%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l320.136.08
Net Profit4265.24426.522924.88292.491340.37134.04
Gross Profit11630.981163.16756.2675.624874.78487.48
Gross Loss7365.74736.573831.32383.133534.42353.44
Commission Paid872.51291.75580.76
Buy & Hold Return6084.52608.45
Max Equity Run-up4687.7183.26
Max Drawdown976.9322.91
Max Contracts Held1.01.01.0
Total Closed Trades490.0140.0350.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades318.051.0267.0
Number Losing Trades172.089.083.0
Percent Profitable64.936.4376.29
Avg P&l8.71.0720.892.593.830.46
Avg Winning Trade36.582.66132.4710.1418.261.23
Avg Losing Trade42.821.8643.051.7342.582.0
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8543.0770.429
Largest Winning Trade483.76483.76142.37
Largest Winning Trade Percent27.6427.644.33
Largest Losing Trade239.29239.29160.87
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.484.445.48
Avg # Bars In Trades45.0118.016.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades45.0205.014.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades47.068.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.367
Sortino Ratio1.177
Profit Factor1.5791.7631.379
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l25.820.29
Net Profit7786.94778.694082.7408.273704.24370.42
Gross Profit23513.322351.3311920.391192.0411592.931159.29
Gross Loss15726.381572.647837.69783.777888.69788.87
Commission Paid1785.85521.771264.07
Buy & Hold Return13928.531392.85
Max Equity Run-up9478.6890.96
Max Drawdown1519.0122.91
Max Contracts Held1.01.01.0
Total Closed Trades677.0193.0484.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades437.063.0374.0
Number Losing Trades240.0130.0110.0
Percent Profitable64.5532.6477.27
Avg P&l11.51.0121.152.247.650.51
Avg Winning Trade53.812.59189.2110.5931.01.24
Avg Losing Trade65.531.8860.291.871.721.96
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8213.1380.432
Largest Winning Trade1258.091258.09261.52
Largest Winning Trade Percent27.6427.644.33
Largest Losing Trade581.71295.68581.71
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.484.835.48
Avg # Bars In Trades44.0119.014.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades42.0214.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades49.073.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.333
Sortino Ratio1.067
Profit Factor1.4951.5211.47
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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