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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
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cr3eps silentsurge runeusdt 15m 17.09

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CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @cr3eps
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [ce78b4fb]

🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 15M 17.09

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +4.46% Updated 2 hours ago
Total Return Primary
11952929.08%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
48.91%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
73.81%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.181
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
5033999.22%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1791
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Sep 10, 2020
1,816
Days
1791
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 29, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-09-10 16:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.57
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.72
  • Calmar: -7.62
  • Longest DD Days: 157.00
  • Volatility: 83.35
  • Skew: 0.43
  • Kurtosis: 0.06
  • Expected Daily: 0.66
  • Expected Monthly: 14.85
  • Expected Yearly: 426.52
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.27
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.70
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -9.13
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-29 14:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 876
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 915
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -7.62
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.20
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.25
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.20
  • Tail Ratio: 1.42
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.66
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.46
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.19
  • Serenity Index: 113,098.73

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.43%-16.94%11.00%3.95%
2021-9.75%0.17%40.15%28.57%3.69%4.76%9.17%2.79%15.91%20.26%-41.44%5.95%
202234.25%0.83%20.39%24.93%50.41%30.03%67.22%-10.22%-5.76%68.06%-14.99%-18.60%
202373.72%23.37%19.40%43.98%-27.95%25.94%-17.63%94.26%67.02%93.63%81.10%-4.57%
202441.60%111.34%36.04%48.82%78.69%5.01%121.90%44.89%58.33%-8.82%26.64%-3.38%
202528.53%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

368

Number of Trades

211.56%

Cumulative Returns

47.01%

Win Rate

2024-09-17

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

28.07%

30 Days

289.1%

60 Days

156.62%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-22808545.96-3.3
Net Profit691892986.126918929.86811198411.248111984.11-119305425.12-1193054.25
Gross Profit6513104790.0965131047.94365390989.1343653909.892147713800.9621477138.01
Gross Loss5821211803.9758212118.043554192577.8935541925.782267019226.0822670192.26
Commission Paid442650202.69284470280.28158179922.41
Buy & Hold Return6397.9863.98
Max Equity Run-up1207452428.75100.0
Max Drawdown671660711.9973.81
Max Contracts Held5896355670.05344342976.05896355670.0
Total Closed Trades1765.0922.0843.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades863.0464.0399.0
Number Losing Trades902.0458.0444.0
Percent Profitable48.950.3347.33
Avg P&l392007.360.34879824.740.44-141524.820.22
Avg Winning Trade7547050.743.219408170.243.175382741.363.27
Avg Losing Trade6453671.622.427760245.82.325105899.162.52
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1691.2121.054
Largest Winning Trade122578880.6988246516.46122578880.69
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.977.976.55
Largest Losing Trade124441407.14123984481.57124441407.14
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.13.994.1
Avg # Bars In Trades26.024.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.024.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.025.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.547
Sortino Ratio2.448
Profit Factor1.1191.2280.947
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit1195292908.3711952929.081407931943.1314079319.43-212639034.76-2126390.35
Gross Profit7816329307.6678163293.085203541195.9352035411.962612788111.7226127881.12
Gross Loss6621036399.2966210363.993795609252.837956092.532825427146.4928254271.46
Commission Paid523516966.31322408602.5201108363.81
Buy & Hold Return5352.6453.53
Max Equity Run-up1459409059.59100.0
Max Drawdown671660711.9973.81
Max Contracts Held6147409697.05344342976.06147409697.0
Total Closed Trades1791.0933.0858.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades876.0472.0404.0
Number Losing Trades915.0461.0454.0
Percent Profitable48.9150.5947.09
Avg P&l667388.560.331509037.450.45-247831.040.21
Avg Winning Trade8922750.353.211024451.693.166467297.313.26
Avg Losing Trade7236105.352.418233425.712.326223407.812.51
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2331.3391.039
Largest Winning Trade136283049.68126779466.8136283049.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent7.977.976.55
Largest Losing Trade124441407.14123984481.57124441407.14
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.13.994.1
Avg # Bars In Trades26.024.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.024.030.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades26.025.027.0
Sharpe Ratio0.57
Sortino Ratio2.719
Profit Factor1.1811.3710.925
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Value
Net Profit $12,632,559.58
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 571.25%
Sharpe Ratio 0.572
Profit Factor 1.196
Maximum Drawdown 73.81%
Volatility (Annualized) 83.3%
Percent Profitable 48.96%

The strategy delivers impressive net gains with a CAGR of 571.25%. However, the high maximum drawdown of 73.81% is a significant concern, indicating the potential for substantial losses. The Sharpe ratio of 0.572 meets the minimal threshold for good risk-adjusted returns in the crypto market. Nevertheless, the Profit Factor of 1.196 and win rate of 48.96% suggest room for improvement in profitability.

Strategy Viability

Despite the high returns, the strategy's viability is compromised by its substantial drawdown and relatively low Profit Factor. While the Sharpe ratio indicates decent risk-adjusted performance under current market conditions, the drawdown suggests greater risk exposure. Identifying optimal market conditions for this strategy is crucial, but the persistently high volatility questions the consistency of returns.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management is questionable given the high volatility and drawdown level. Potential areas for improvement in managing risk include:

  • Decreasing leverage to manage excessive drawdowns more effectively.
  • Implementing more stringent stop-loss rules to prevent large losses.
  • Considering volatility-based position sizing to dynamically adjust exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize parameters to reduce the maximum drawdown while maintaining returns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators for better trade timing.
  • Perform extensive out-of-sample testing and walk-forward analysis.
  • Enhance the strategy by integrating advanced risk management techniques, including Value-at-Risk (VaR) based adjustments and scenario analysis.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits strong returns but is hindered by significant drawdowns and high risk. The Sharpe ratio confirms a reasonable risk-adjusted performance, yet the volatility necessitates improved risk controls.

Recommendation: It is advisable to further optimize and validate this strategy before real-world implementation. Focus on minimizing drawdowns through refined risk management and leverage adjustments while maintaining an eye on profit maximization.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

Open Live ChartView on TradingView

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