CoralChannels by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f6919e5d]
🛡️ CORAL CHANNELS BTC 1H
@
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 03:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.18
- Sortino Ratio: 0.33
- Calmar: -0.38
- Longest DD Days: 67.00
- Volatility: 87.34
- Skew: -0.11
- Kurtosis: -1.06
- Expected Daily: 0.45
- Expected Monthly: 9.87
- Expected Yearly: 209.37
- Kelly Criterion: 3.19
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -8.28
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.59
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-21 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 13
- Number Winning Trades 177
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 153
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.38
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.06
- Payoff Ratio: 0.93
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.06
- Tail Ratio: 0.89
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.20
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.43
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.23
- Serenity Index: 0.73
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that warrant an in-depth assessment:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) | 23.14% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.181 |
Profit Factor | 1.079 |
Maximum Drawdown | 61.29% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 87.34% |
Percent Profitable | 53.64% |
The strategy demonstrates moderate returns with a CAGR of 23.14%, but it is coupled with a relatively low Sharpe Ratio of 0.181, indicating low risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 61.29% is concerning and suggests vulnerability to significant losses, exceeding acceptable thresholds for crypto strategies. While the win rate is 53.64%, the profit factor of 1.079 needs improvement for stronger risk/reward balance.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy’s viability for real-world trading requires careful consideration. The performance is below desired levels when compared to industry benchmarks, particularly when examining the Sharpe ratio and drawdown figures. While the strategy has shown profitability, its ability to withstand adverse market conditions is limited, suggesting room for optimization and enhanced resilience.
Risk Management
The current risk management approaches, as evidenced by the high maximum drawdown and moderate volatility, could be improved. To enhance the strategy's risk profile:
- Consider reducing leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown, thereby protecting the trading capital better during downturns.
- Implement more sophisticated position sizing and stop-loss techniques to curtail potential losses.
- Incorporate volatility control measures to stabilize returns and minimize significant account fluctuations.
Improvement Suggestions
To increase the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following improvements:
- Optimize the strategy’s parameters, including adjusting leverage and risk management settings, to enhance return-to-drawdown ratios.
- Broaden the range of indicators used to make trade signals more robust and responsive to different market conditions.
- Regularly conduct backtesting and forward-testing with updated data to ensure adaptability to evolving market dynamics.
- Investigate the use of dynamic hedging strategies to reduce potential downside during volatile periods.
Final Opinion
In summary, while the strategy achieves some degree of profitability, its lower risk-adjusted returns and high maximum drawdown are areas of concern. Addressing these through improved risk management and optimized trading parameters will be crucial for future viability.
Recommendation: Proceed with caution. Prioritize substantial re-evaluation and optimization of the strategy's risk framework. Implement suggested improvements, particularly those targeting leverage adjustment and risk control, to bolster stability and resilience in diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.30% | 4.25% | 6.37% | 6.40% | -20.87% | 0.00% | -2.80% | -1.14% | 15.01% |
2021 | 3.12% | 10.87% | 9.87% | -14.09% | 20.84% | 1.08% | 16.98% | 6.11% | -14.83% | -20.25% | -4.66% | 12.17% |
2022 | -4.61% | 41.41% | 24.69% | 5.21% | 4.83% | 7.30% | 6.42% | 10.23% | -6.69% | 4.52% | 30.12% | -3.58% |
2023 | -7.94% | 5.32% | -7.26% | 14.26% | 13.95% | -6.05% | 2.60% | 18.05% | 13.53% | -1.36% | 21.08% | -19.31% |
2024 | 5.66% | 13.09% | -9.37% | 11.24% | -23.45% | -2.52% | -6.82% | -5.52% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
59
Number of Trades
-72.48%
Cumulative Returns
44.07%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-15.35%
30 Days
-50.12%
60 Days
-32.27%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 553274.39 | 553.27 | 475535.47 | 475.54 | 77738.92 | 77.74 |
Gross Profit | 1948443.41 | 1948.44 | 1100798.0 | 1100.8 | 847645.41 | 847.65 |
Gross Loss | 1395169.01 | 1395.17 | 625262.53 | 625.26 | 769906.48 | 769.91 |
Commission Paid | 150186.23 | 72643.14 | 77543.09 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 837528.37 | 837.53 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 625219.47 | 87.16 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 170948.12 | 41.39 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 97.0 | 90.0 | 97.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 271.0 | 121.0 | 150.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 151.0 | 69.0 | 82.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 120.0 | 52.0 | 68.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.72 | 57.02 | 54.67 | |||
Avg P&l | 2041.6 | 0.24 | 3930.05 | 0.33 | 518.26 | 0.16 |
Avg Winning Trade | 12903.6 | 1.8 | 15953.59 | 1.95 | 10337.14 | 1.68 |
Avg Losing Trade | 11626.41 | 1.73 | 12024.28 | 1.81 | 11322.15 | 1.68 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.11 | 1.327 | 0.913 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 59098.12 | 59098.12 | 37750.88 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.78 | 5.78 | 4.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 57280.72 | 57280.72 | 42431.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.46 | 2.18 | 3.46 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 14.0 | 15.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 13.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 14.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.343 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.722 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.397 | 1.761 | 1.101 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 181287.54 | 181.29 | 239824.51 | 239.82 | -58536.97 | -58.54 |
Gross Profit | 2467361.33 | 2467.36 | 1313787.13 | 1313.79 | 1153574.2 | 1153.57 |
Gross Loss | 2286073.79 | 2286.07 | 1073962.62 | 1073.96 | 1212111.17 | 1212.11 |
Commission Paid | 208411.52 | 98949.5 | 109462.01 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1177887.33 | 1177.89 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 625219.47 | 87.16 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 421154.45 | 61.29 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 97.0 | 90.0 | 97.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 330.0 | 148.0 | 182.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 177.0 | 79.0 | 98.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 153.0 | 69.0 | 84.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 53.64 | 53.38 | 53.85 | |||
Avg P&l | 549.36 | 0.13 | 1620.44 | 0.17 | -321.63 | 0.1 |
Avg Winning Trade | 13939.89 | 1.79 | 16630.22 | 1.94 | 11771.17 | 1.67 |
Avg Losing Trade | 14941.66 | 1.79 | 15564.68 | 1.86 | 14429.89 | 1.74 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.933 | 1.068 | 0.816 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 59098.12 | 59098.12 | 39333.31 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.78 | 5.78 | 4.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 57280.72 | 57280.72 | 52681.82 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.77 | 2.18 | 3.77 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 14.0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 13.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 15.0 | 19.0 | 12.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.181 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.329 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.079 | 1.223 | 0.952 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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