Trigger Happy 2 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [714f4c75]
🛡️ TRIGGERHAPPY2 RENUSDT 45M 21.05
@chibuku
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-27 12:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.58
- Sortino Ratio: 2.29
- Calmar: -6.06
- Longest DD Days: 110.00
- Volatility: 52.09
- Skew: 0.44
- Kurtosis: 1.39
- Expected Daily: 0.62
- Expected Monthly: 13.81
- Expected Yearly: 372.45
- Kelly Criterion: 21.88
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.49
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.49
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-03 21:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 294
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 191
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.06
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.56
- Payoff Ratio: 1.02
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.56
- Tail Ratio: 1.43
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.07
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.14
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.09
- Serenity Index: 159.73
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $1077.27 |
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) | 140.3% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.161 |
Profit Factor | 1.435 |
Maximum Drawdown | -26.21% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 50.76% |
The strategy exhibits a noteworthy CAGR of 140.3% and maintains a Sharpe Ratio of 0.55, indicating satisfactory risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.435 suggests consistent profitability over losses. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of -26.21% is well within acceptable limits for crypto, suggesting controlled risk exposure.
Strategy Viability
This strategy shows promise for real-world trading, given its superior net profit and acceptable levels of maximum drawdown and Sharpe Ratio. It suggests resilience and potential viability, especially if deployed in favorable market conditions. However, reliance on certain market trends may require constant monitoring of market changes to ensure strategy relevance.
Risk Management
The maximum drawdown and absence of margin calls highlight adequate risk management implementation. However, the yearly volatility stands at 50.76%, indicating the potential for high market swings. To enhance risk controls:
- Consider reducing leverage to manage drawdowns more effectively.
- Integrate dynamic position sizing based on varying market conditions.
- Implement protective stop-loss mechanisms to further limit potential downside.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy and reinforce its robustness, consider the following:
- Optimize existing parameters to balance reward and drawdown further.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators for better predictive capabilities and trade execution.
- Perform rigorous out-of-sample testing to validate the strategy’s versatility across different markets.
- Integrate advanced risk management techniques such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress-testing models to gauge efficacy in stressful market conditions.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy offers a compelling combination of high returns with good risk management. While volatility remains significant, the risk-adjusted metrics suggest adequate performance. To ensure sustained success, it's essential to optimize and adapt the strategy to navigate diverse market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and testing. Implement suggested improvements to enhance strategy robustness and adapt the risk management framework to handle market volatility effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -6.45% | 21.27% | 31.94% | 17.62% | 15.69% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 18.60% | 15.13% | 21.50% | -5.89% | 3.48% | -4.60% | -4.73% | -3.94% | 0.72% | 16.31% | 16.92% | -5.31% |
2022 | -10.05% | 37.14% | 35.77% | -1.58% | 2.97% | 23.20% | -0.83% | 6.25% | -3.36% | -2.80% | 26.73% | 9.07% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.70% |
Live Trades Stats
REN
Base Currency
86
Number of Trades
33.15%
Cumulative Returns
58.14%
Win Rate
2024-05-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
16.54%
30 Days
23.51%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,065,830.56 USD | 1,065.83 | 591,331.85 USD | 591.33 | 474,498.71 USD | 474.50 |
Gross Profit | 2,619,086.27 | 2,619.09 | 1,488,815.82 | 1,488.82 | 1,130,270.45 | 1,130.27 |
Gross Loss | 1,553,255.71 | 1,553.26 | 897,483.97 | 897.48 | 655,771.74 | 655.77 |
Max Run-up | 1,115,383.11 | 92.50 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 148,481.31 | 26.21 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −89,045.63 | −89.05 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.632 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.815 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.686 | 1.659 | 1.724 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 11,070,523 | 11,035,806 | 11,070,523 | |||
Open PL | 36,642.17 | 3.14 | ||||
Commission Paid | 53,007.24 | 25,811.20 | 27,196.04 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 400 | 178 | 222 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 245 | 88 | 157 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 155 | 90 | 65 | |||
Percent Profitable | 61.25 | 49.44 | 70.72 | |||
Avg Trade | 2,664.58 | 1.38 | 3,322.09 | 1.55 | 2,137.38 | 1.24 |
Avg Winning Trade | 10,690.15 | 6.09 | 16,918.36 | 8.91 | 7,199.17 | 4.52 |
Avg Losing Trade | 10,021.00 | 6.08 | 9,972.04 | 5.64 | 10,088.80 | 6.69 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.067 | 1.697 | 0.714 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 66,080.58 | 17.30 | 66,080.58 | 17.30 | 55,946.19 | 15.70 |
Largest Losing Trade | 46,401.89 | 13.44 | 46,401.89 | 10.73 | 43,899.09 | 13.44 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 46 | 55 | 38 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 46 | 68 | 34 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 46 | 43 | 49 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,395,736.87 USD | 1,395.74 | 1,033,281.25 USD | 1,033.28 | 362,455.62 USD | 362.46 |
Gross Profit | 4,223,011.03 | 4,223.01 | 2,541,915.83 | 2,541.92 | 1,681,095.20 | 1,681.10 |
Gross Loss | 2,827,274.15 | 2,827.27 | 1,508,634.57 | 1,508.63 | 1,318,639.58 | 1,318.64 |
Max Run-up | 1,455,089.01 | 94.15 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 194,433.58 | 26.21 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −93,284.06 | −93.28 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.578 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.29 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.494 | 1.685 | 1.275 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 24,445,045 | 20,645,634 | 24,445,045 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 87,761.31 | 42,335.23 | 45,426.08 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 485 | 219 | 266 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 294 | 110 | 184 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 191 | 109 | 82 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.62 | 50.23 | 69.17 | |||
Avg Trade | 2,877.81 | 1.32 | 4,718.18 | 1.72 | 1,362.62 | 0.99 |
Avg Winning Trade | 14,363.98 | 6.14 | 23,108.33 | 8.99 | 9,136.39 | 4.43 |
Avg Losing Trade | 14,802.48 | 6.10 | 13,840.68 | 5.62 | 16,080.97 | 6.73 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.97 | 1.67 | 0.568 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 224,775.27 | 32.85 | 224,775.27 | 32.85 | 55,946.19 | 15.70 |
Largest Losing Trade | 75,488.27 | 13.44 | 64,481.53 | 10.73 | 75,488.27 | 13.44 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 47 | 59 | 38 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 45 | 65 | 32 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 51 | 52 | 50 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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