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chibuku silentsurge axsusdt 13m 11.06

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CONFIRMATION BASED 13 minutes @chibuku
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b38c930d]

🛡️ SILENTSURGE AXSUSDT 13M 11.06

Trading Pair
AXS
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
87.81%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
61.34%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
68.78%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.058
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
939
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Sep 2, 2021
1,495
Days
939
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-09-02 19:03:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.16
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.30
  • Calmar: -0.14
  • Longest DD Days: 428.00
  • Volatility: 7.98
  • Skew: 0.79
  • Kurtosis: 15.82
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.27
  • Expected Yearly: 3.23
  • Kelly Criterion: 4.01
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.71
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.14
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-11 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 14
  • Number Winning Trades 576
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 363
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.14
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.07
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.67
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.07
  • Tail Ratio: 0.95
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 6.93
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.93
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.09
  • Serenity Index: 0.15

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-3.84%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+11.14%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+19.41%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+20.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+21.91%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+12.30%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+52.63%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
61.4%
Total Trades
940
Cumulative
113.26%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
592.10%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.93%
+11.86%
Simple P&L
+46.64%
+43.97%
Simple P&L
-30.54%
-2.24%
Simple P&L
+3.05%
+5.55%
Simple P&L
2022
+28.20%
+26.17%
Simple P&L
-21.44%
+18.07%
Simple P&L
-15.87%
-2.02%
Simple P&L
-33.45%
-19.26%
Simple P&L
-3.17%
+26.28%
Simple P&L
+4.60%
+10.31%
Simple P&L
-6.65%
+6.65%
Simple P&L
-6.70%
+6.08%
Simple P&L
+6.82%
+18.17%
Simple P&L
-6.83%
-0.82%
Simple P&L
+6.95%
+24.28%
Simple P&L
-1.98%
+3.91%
Simple P&L
2023
-13.41%
+10.98%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+7.49%
+35.92%
Simple P&L
+12.47%
+24.25%
Simple P&L
-8.17%
-8.30%
Simple P&L
-1.14%
+1.16%
Simple P&L
+8.73%
+19.81%
Simple P&L
+15.19%
+20.68%
Simple P&L
-12.45%
+0.04%
Simple P&L
+16.97%
+26.85%
Simple P&L
+13.03%
+11.67%
Simple P&L
+38.84%
+32.01%
Simple P&L
2024
+33.72%
+22.44%
Simple P&L
-19.93%
+1.77%
Simple P&L
+74.55%
+35.70%
Simple P&L
+82.19%
+34.62%
Simple P&L
+34.70%
+20.64%
Simple P&L
+6.38%
+10.89%
Simple P&L
-59.55%
-13.54%
Simple P&L
-24.43%
-1.41%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+19.64%
Simple P&L
-38.28%
-2.62%
Simple P&L
-35.84%
-0.73%
Simple P&L
+23.59%
+38.33%
Simple P&L
2025
-45.32%
+3.96%
Simple P&L
-33.95%
-10.21%
Simple P&L
+36.90%
+25.74%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

940

Number of Trades

113.26%

Cumulative Returns

61.38%

Win Rate

2024-06-11

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

20%

30 Days

12.3%

60 Days

21.91%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l2567.013.67
Net Profit8780.987.81-953.27-9.539734.1697.34
Gross Profit160206.341602.0671706.43717.0688499.92885.0
Gross Loss151425.441514.2572659.69726.678765.75787.66
Commission Paid12598.275943.196655.08
Buy & Hold Return-9653.16-96.53
Max Equity Run-up36009.2586.78
Max Drawdown25313.2768.78
Max Contracts Held27039.027039.024515.0
Total Closed Trades939.0414.0525.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades576.0239.0337.0
Number Losing Trades363.0175.0188.0
Percent Profitable61.3457.7364.19
Avg P&l9.350.62-2.30.4618.540.75
Avg Winning Trade278.142.12300.032.06262.612.17
Avg Losing Trade417.151.76415.21.73418.971.8
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6670.7230.627
Largest Winning Trade5281.855281.853080.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent35.5319.1535.53
Largest Losing Trade3936.772856.853936.77
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.87.327.8
Avg # Bars In Trades40.036.043.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades43.036.047.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.036.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.161
Sortino Ratio0.303
Profit Factor1.0580.9871.124
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l2567.013.67
Net Profit8780.987.81-953.27-9.539734.1697.34
Gross Profit160206.341602.0671706.43717.0688499.92885.0
Gross Loss151425.441514.2572659.69726.678765.75787.66
Commission Paid12598.275943.196655.08
Buy & Hold Return-9653.16-96.53
Max Equity Run-up36009.2586.78
Max Drawdown25313.2768.78
Max Contracts Held27039.027039.024515.0
Total Closed Trades939.0414.0525.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades576.0239.0337.0
Number Losing Trades363.0175.0188.0
Percent Profitable61.3457.7364.19
Avg P&l9.350.62-2.30.4618.540.75
Avg Winning Trade278.142.12300.032.06262.612.17
Avg Losing Trade417.151.76415.21.73418.971.8
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6670.7230.627
Largest Winning Trade5281.855281.853080.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent35.5319.1535.53
Largest Losing Trade3936.772856.853936.77
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.87.327.8
Avg # Bars In Trades40.036.043.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades43.036.047.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.036.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.161
Sortino Ratio0.303
Profit Factor1.0580.9871.124
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 87.81%
Sharpe Ratio 0.161
Profit Factor 1.058
Maximum Drawdown 68.78%
Volatility (Annualized) 7.98%
Annualized Return (CAGR) 2.7%
Percent Profitable 61.34%

The strategy presents a net profit of 87.81% with a percent profitable rate of 61.34%, indicating a decent capacity to generate profits. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.161 suggests relatively low risk-adjusted returns considering the volatility of 7.98%. With a maximum drawdown of 68.78%, there appear to be significant periods of potential loss, which could be mitigated through leveraging adjustments.

Strategy Viability

The strategy shows potential for real-world trading but requires improvement, particularly in risk management, to be more robust. While the percent profitability is commendable, the high maximum drawdown and other risk metrics like the low Profit Factor (1.058) point to vulnerabilities in challenging market conditions. Further optimization may be needed to ensure robustness across different market environments.

Risk Management

Risk management currently seems inadequate with observable high drawdowns and moderate risk of significant losses. Here are some recommendations:

  • Reduce leverage to lower the potential for extensive drawdowns.
  • Implement stricter stop-loss rules to guard against substantial losses.
  • Diversify trades to minimize the impact of outlier losses.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance performance, I recommend focusing on optimizing parameters and refining the strategy:

  • Reassess leverage usage to balance risk-return trade-off effectively.
  • Explore additional indicators to improve market entry and exit timing.
  • Perform backtesting with varying market conditions to assess strategy robustness.
  • Further investigate volatility management techniques to stabilize performance.

Final Opinion

The strategy appears promising, with a high percent profitability and reasonable net profit. However, the current risk-adjusted returns and drawdown levels suggest that without optimization, the strategy might face difficulties in real-world application in various market scenarios.

Recommendation: Consider modifying the strategy to improve risk management and optimize other parameters for better risk-adjusted returns. Proceed with further testing to adapt the strategy for more volatile markets effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
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Stability Index
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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