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chibuku precisiontrendmatrix waveusdt 45m 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @chibuku
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Matrix by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5fcfdb7e]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMATRIX WAVEUSDT 45M 23.4

Trading Pair
WAVES
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +45.4% Updated 8 hours ago
Total Return Primary
115.59%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
75.98%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
18.48%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.237
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
5.39%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1270
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 7, 2022
1,405
Days
1270
Trades
Last Trade
Nov 13, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-01-07 23:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.25
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.56
  • Calmar: -0.80
  • Longest DD Days: 211.00
  • Volatility: 0.28
  • Skew: -1.70
  • Kurtosis: 15.81
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.02
  • Expected Yearly: 0.23
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.60
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.03
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.06
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-11-13 07:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 27
  • Number Winning Trades 965
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 305
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.80
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.24
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.39
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.24
  • Tail Ratio: 0.64
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 10.63
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.17
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 3.29

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.83%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+9.95%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+0.89%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.92%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+1.06%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+45.40%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+49.63%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+92.37%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+55.04%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+186.89%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
75.6%
Total Trades
1270
Cumulative
115.59%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,954.87%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.15%
+29.27%
Simple P&L
+6.44%
+55.43%
Simple P&L
+5.08%
+15.99%
Simple P&L
+1.29%
+33.72%
Simple P&L
-1.96%
+18.34%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+43.35%
Simple P&L
+7.41%
+63.44%
Simple P&L
-3.69%
+26.60%
Simple P&L
+5.27%
+53.47%
Simple P&L
-0.33%
+9.89%
Simple P&L
+4.36%
+62.80%
Simple P&L
+4.60%
+24.73%
Simple P&L
2023
+29.75%
+209.38%
Simple P&L
-7.10%
-6.39%
Simple P&L
-12.59%
+31.96%
Simple P&L
+5.40%
+35.68%
Simple P&L
+0.93%
+14.83%
Simple P&L
+8.51%
+78.38%
Simple P&L
+1.62%
+26.30%
Simple P&L
-6.12%
-11.88%
Simple P&L
+3.94%
+22.47%
Simple P&L
+4.12%
+29.94%
Simple P&L
+7.90%
+55.34%
Simple P&L
+6.06%
+83.29%
Simple P&L
2024
-9.40%
+7.41%
Simple P&L
+10.83%
+55.42%
Simple P&L
+9.46%
+66.55%
Simple P&L
+31.62%
+127.45%
Simple P&L
-3.15%
+4.99%
Simple P&L
-15.86%
-4.01%
Simple P&L
+7.22%
+42.16%
Simple P&L
+8.44%
+116.12%
Simple P&L
-2.66%
+3.46%
Simple P&L
-17.10%
-0.72%
Simple P&L
+17.36%
+81.99%
Simple P&L
-10.60%
+28.79%
Simple P&L
2025
+15.64%
+67.01%
Simple P&L
-13.88%
+22.13%
Simple P&L
+0.72%
+83.17%
Simple P&L
+15.07%
+53.39%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1270

Number of Trades

115.59%

Cumulative Returns

75.59%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

49.63%

30 Days

55.04%

60 Days

92.37%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l58.682.79
Net Profit1102110.2777.577.75324.532.45
Gross Profit3125.25312.532633.79263.38491.4649.15
Gross Loss2023.25202.331856.29185.63166.9716.7
Commission Paid197.32176.1221.2
Buy & Hold Return-808.31-80.83
Max Contracts Held491491.0445.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration15 days
Avg Equity Run-up84.928.49
Max Equity Run-up1211.8756.03
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration23 days
Avg Equity Drawdown75.287.53
Max Drawdown237.9214.59
Total Closed Trades782.0698.084.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades569.0500.069.0
Number Losing Trades213.0198.015.0
Percent Profitable72.7671.6382.14
Avg P&l1.411.571.111.453.862.55
Avg Winning Trade5.492.955.272.877.123.53
Avg Losing Trade9.52.19.382.1111.132.0
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5780.5620.64
Largest Winning Trade61.6261.6235.97
Largest Winning Trade Percent28.4928.4917.21
Largest Losing Trade101.17101.1736.86
Largest Losing Trade Percent21.021.05.99
Avg # Bars In Trades23.022.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.022.027.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.023.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.402
Sortino Ratio1.274
Profit Factor1.5451.4192.943
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital1000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1155.91115.59780.2878.03375.6437.56
Gross Profit6033.81603.385298.07529.81735.7473.57
Gross Loss4877.9487.794517.8451.78360.136.01
Commission Paid362.64324.1838.46
Buy & Hold Return-947.26-94.73
Max Contracts Held14121412.01023.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration23 days
Avg Equity Run-up106.5510.65
Max Equity Run-up1371.7859.06
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration34 days
Avg Equity Drawdown117.0511.7
Max Drawdown417.4818.48
Total Closed Trades1270.01134.0136.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades965.0851.0114.0
Number Losing Trades305.0283.022.0
Percent Profitable75.9875.0483.82
Avg P&l0.911.540.691.492.761.98
Avg Winning Trade6.252.896.232.896.452.89
Avg Losing Trade15.992.7415.962.7416.372.75
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.3910.390.394
Largest Winning Trade115.3115.335.97
Largest Winning Trade Percent49.8749.8717.21
Largest Losing Trade111.75111.7598.31
Largest Losing Trade Percent21.021.015.01
Avg # Bars In Trades26.025.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades24.024.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.029.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.251
Sortino Ratio0.563
Profit Factor1.2371.1732.043
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 115.04%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 30%
Sharpe Ratio 0.25
Sortino Ratio 0.561
Profit Factor 1.24
Maximum Drawdown -18.48%
Volatility (Annualized) 28%
Percent Profitable 75.97%

The strategy exhibits reasonable returns with a cumulative gain of 115.04%. While the annualized return of 30% is promising, the Sharpe ratio of 0.25 suggests there might be room to enhance risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of -18.48% is within acceptable limits for crypto trading, indicating good downside protection relative to the benchmarks. Impressive win rate of 75.97% demonstrates the strategy's consistency.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy has the potential for real-world trading, especially in environments prone to volatility such as cryptocurrencies. The strategy showcases resilience with a solid win rate under current conditions. However, the Sharpe ratio needs improvement to ensure more favorable risk-adjusted performance. It's crucial to identify the market conditions where performance can be optimized further and evaluate the sustainability of these conditions.

Risk Management

The effective risk management aspects are apparent through the absence of margin calls and moderate drawdown figures. Nevertheless, there is an opportunity to improve on:

  • Enhancing the Sharpe ratio through strategic alterations to improve risk-adjusted performance.
  • Leveraging less aggressive positioning could potentially minimize the risk exposure.
  • Implementing additional volatility management techniques to ensure steady performance regardless of market turbulence.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the overall performance of the strategy, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize position sizing and leverage use to stabilize both return and volatility figures.
  • Employ more sophisticated indicators to improve timing for trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct further testing across different market conditions to assess robustness.
  • Explore alternative approaches or combinations of strategies to enhance the Sharpe ratio beyond 0.5.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates a good profit record with consistent gains and an acceptable level of drawdown. However, the risk-adjusted performance could benefit from additional optimization. It remains a promising candidate for crypto trading with adjustments to further improve its profitability and robustness.

Recommendation: Proceed with incremental optimizations and further testing to strengthen the strategy's risk management and profitability. Address the areas highlighted for improvement to fully maximize the potential that this strategy offers.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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