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chibuku precisiontrendmatrix waveusdt 45m 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @chibuku
● Live

🚀 Precision Trend Matrix by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5fcfdb7e]

🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMATRIX WAVEUSDT 45M 23.4

Trading Pair
WAVES
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 weeks ago
Total Return Primary
122.19%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
75.81%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
18.18%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.258
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1211
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 7, 2022
1,368
Days
1211
Trades
Last Trade
Sep 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-01-07 23:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.27
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.61
  • Calmar: -0.93
  • Longest DD Days: 209.00
  • Volatility: 2.62
  • Skew: -1.56
  • Kurtosis: 15.63
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.20
  • Expected Yearly: 2.44
  • Kelly Criterion: 15.55
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.27
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.51
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-09-11 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 27
  • Number Winning Trades 918
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 293
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.93
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.26
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.40
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.26
  • Tail Ratio: 0.65
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 10.47
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.08
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 4.32

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-1.60%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+8.29%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-5.05%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+2.80%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-1.44%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+95.85%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+52.45%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+182.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
75.6%
Total Trades
1212
Cumulative
120.58%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,917.02%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.25%
+29.74%
Simple P&L
+6.61%
+56.05%
Simple P&L
+3.82%
+16.46%
Simple P&L
+0.83%
+34.26%
Simple P&L
-1.79%
+18.96%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
+43.96%
Simple P&L
+7.55%
+63.81%
Simple P&L
-2.35%
+27.44%
Simple P&L
+5.38%
+53.75%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
+10.64%
Simple P&L
+4.51%
+63.27%
Simple P&L
+4.79%
+25.29%
Simple P&L
2023
+30.32%
+210.14%
Simple P&L
-7.12%
-6.05%
Simple P&L
-10.99%
+32.53%
Simple P&L
+5.63%
+36.36%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+15.21%
Simple P&L
+8.76%
+78.83%
Simple P&L
+1.80%
+26.84%
Simple P&L
-6.77%
-11.45%
Simple P&L
+4.07%
+22.75%
Simple P&L
+4.02%
+30.69%
Simple P&L
+8.27%
+56.09%
Simple P&L
+6.49%
+84.39%
Simple P&L
2024
-9.45%
+7.97%
Simple P&L
+11.36%
+56.37%
Simple P&L
+9.86%
+67.02%
Simple P&L
+30.85%
+127.77%
Simple P&L
-3.09%
+5.39%
Simple P&L
-16.21%
-3.63%
Simple P&L
+7.40%
+43.01%
Simple P&L
+8.91%
+116.62%
Simple P&L
-2.60%
+3.96%
Simple P&L
-17.62%
-0.66%
Simple P&L
+17.30%
+82.83%
Simple P&L
-10.80%
+29.15%
Simple P&L
2025
+16.31%
+67.30%
Simple P&L
-14.10%
+22.81%
Simple P&L
+1.00%
+83.94%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1212

Number of Trades

120.58%

Cumulative Returns

75.58%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-1.44%

30 Days

52.45%

60 Days

95.85%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-153.36-0.69
Net Profit12218.91122.198296.9982.973921.9339.22
Gross Profit59506.25595.0651911.38519.117594.8775.95
Gross Loss47287.34472.8743614.39436.143672.9436.73
Commission Paid2835.522520.24315.28
Buy & Hold Return-9188.39-91.88
Max Equity Run-up14624.3160.57
Max Drawdown4238.5918.18
Max Contracts Held10850.010850.010558.0
Total Closed Trades1211.01075.0136.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades918.0804.0114.0
Number Losing Trades293.0271.022.0
Percent Profitable75.8174.7983.82
Avg P&l10.091.587.721.5328.842.0
Avg Winning Trade64.822.9564.572.9666.622.91
Avg Losing Trade161.392.7160.942.7166.952.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4020.4010.399
Largest Winning Trade1190.091190.09365.53
Largest Winning Trade Percent49.949.917.23
Largest Losing Trade1160.791160.791013.76
Largest Losing Trade Percent20.9920.9914.99
Avg # Bars In Trades25.025.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.024.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades28.028.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.265
Sortino Ratio0.605
Profit Factor1.2581.192.068
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-153.36-0.69
Net Profit12218.91122.198296.9982.973921.9339.22
Gross Profit59506.25595.0651911.38519.117594.8775.95
Gross Loss47287.34472.8743614.39436.143672.9436.73
Commission Paid2835.522520.24315.28
Buy & Hold Return-9188.39-91.88
Max Equity Run-up14624.3160.57
Max Drawdown4238.5918.18
Max Contracts Held10850.010850.010558.0
Total Closed Trades1211.01075.0136.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades918.0804.0114.0
Number Losing Trades293.0271.022.0
Percent Profitable75.8174.7983.82
Avg P&l10.091.587.721.5328.842.0
Avg Winning Trade64.822.9564.572.9666.622.91
Avg Losing Trade161.392.7160.942.7166.952.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4020.4010.399
Largest Winning Trade1190.091190.09365.53
Largest Winning Trade Percent49.949.917.23
Largest Losing Trade1160.791160.791013.76
Largest Losing Trade Percent20.9920.9914.99
Avg # Bars In Trades25.025.027.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.024.026.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades28.028.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.265
Sortino Ratio0.605
Profit Factor1.2581.192.068
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that deserve consideration:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 122.19%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 3.14%
Sharpe Ratio 0.265
Profit Factor 1.258
Maximum Drawdown -18.18%
Volatility (Annualized) 2.62%

The strategy shows a modest cumulative return of 122.19% since its inception, with a satisfactory maximum drawdown of 18.18%, which is below the 40% threshold considered acceptable for crypto strategies. However, its Sharpe Ratio of 0.265 indicates less impressive risk-adjusted returns, and there is significant room for improvement here.

Strategy Viability

Considering the data provided, the strategy demonstrates viability in specific conditions, achieving a decent profit factor of 1.258 and a high percentage of winning trades (75.81%). However, its annualized return (CAGR) of 3.14% and low Sharpe Ratio suggest it may not be optimal during certain market environments. More robust market conditions could enhance performance.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management approach effectively keeps the maximum drawdown within an acceptable range and utilizes effective position sizing, as evidenced by no margin calls. Nonetheless, the risk management can be refined further:

  • Introduce enhancements in position sizing to better adapt to varying volatility levels.
  • Utilize more stringent stop-loss mechanisms to limit losses during downturns.
  • Employ diversification tactics to reduce concentrated risk exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s robustness and overall performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize existing parameters to achieve higher Sharpe Ratios while managing the drawdown effectively through leverage adjustments.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators or machine learning techniques to improve entry and exit timing.
  • Perform extensive backtesting under various market conditions to explore the strategy's adaptability and endurance.
  • Innovate the risk management framework by integrating metrics such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress testing scenarios.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy displays merit through steady cumulative returns and good profitability ratios, supported by a reasonable maximum drawdown level. However, the lower Sharpe Ratio signifies a need for optimization and refinement to improve risk-adjusted performance.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and strategic optimization, focusing on enhancements to boost risk-adjusted metrics and accommodate higher volatility in trading environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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