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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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bunie33 silentsurge runeusdt 15m 18.06

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CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @bunie33
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [90791d8b]

🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 15M 18.06

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +30.33% Updated 9 hours ago
Total Return Primary
2236.17%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.47%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
47.63%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.19
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-820.43%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
856
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 2, 2021
1,482
Days
856
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 23, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-02 13:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.56
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.53
  • Calmar: -0.36
  • Longest DD Days: 225.00
  • Volatility: 0.76
  • Skew: 0.79
  • Kurtosis: 8.96
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.06
  • Expected Yearly: 0.76
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.80
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.10
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-23 09:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 432
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 424
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.36
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.21
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.19
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.21
  • Tail Ratio: 1.19
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.38
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.21
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 1.07

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+540.29%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+136.24%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+31.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+31.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+59.51%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+31.17%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+17.27%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
50.5%
Total Trades
857
Cumulative
2,582.45%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
863.93%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+23.78%
+71.97%
Simple P&L
2022
+28.71%
+50.79%
Simple P&L
+24.21%
+8.04%
Simple P&L
+78.74%
+82.32%
Simple P&L
+38.18%
+39.44%
Simple P&L
+113.87%
+72.20%
Simple P&L
+38.17%
+41.32%
Simple P&L
+163.89%
+46.69%
Simple P&L
+81.14%
+48.68%
Simple P&L
-43.50%
-20.42%
Simple P&L
+40.46%
+12.13%
Simple P&L
+80.33%
+35.21%
Simple P&L
+19.85%
+8.05%
Simple P&L
2023
+7.98%
-12.52%
Simple P&L
-43.53%
-4.34%
Simple P&L
+67.03%
+14.11%
Simple P&L
+68.12%
+12.41%
Simple P&L
+19.48%
+15.73%
Simple P&L
+67.24%
+30.11%
Simple P&L
+81.59%
+7.18%
Simple P&L
+167.08%
+23.74%
Simple P&L
+67.07%
+30.50%
Simple P&L
+322.61%
+66.13%
Simple P&L
+62.25%
-30.38%
Simple P&L
+36.74%
+14.97%
Simple P&L
2024
-68.45%
+3.23%
Simple P&L
+118.70%
-21.22%
Simple P&L
+391.37%
+88.04%
Simple P&L
+686.49%
+66.11%
Simple P&L
+215.68%
+46.59%
Simple P&L
+467.19%
+35.55%
Simple P&L
-294.24%
-1.59%
Simple P&L
-60.14%
+33.24%
Simple P&L
+181.08%
+23.46%
Simple P&L
-226.28%
-14.14%
Simple P&L
+569.09%
+52.28%
Simple P&L
-681.18%
-47.89%
Simple P&L
2025
-181.73%
-28.07%
Simple P&L
-325.03%
-44.18%
Simple P&L
-57.02%
-17.34%
Simple P&L
+41.82%
+2.06%
Simple P&L
+213.90%
+0.34%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

857

Number of Trades

2582.45%

Cumulative Returns

50.53%

Win Rate

2024-06-18

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

31.17%

30 Days

31.17%

60 Days

59.51%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3486.713486.711869.51869.51617.211617.21
Gross Profit6861.956861.953447.73447.73414.263414.26
Gross Loss3375.243375.241578.21578.21797.041797.04
Commission Paid190.81101.8988.92
Buy & Hold Return-63.83-63.83
Max Contracts Held549521.0549.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration8 days
Avg Equity Run-up98.0698.06
Max Equity Run-up3486.7497.21
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration9 days
Avg Equity Drawdown47.3447.34
Max Drawdown243.0213.3
Total Closed Trades537.0295.0242.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades298.0165.0133.0
Number Losing Trades239.0130.0109.0
Percent Profitable55.4955.9354.96
Avg P&l6.491.646.341.646.681.64
Avg Winning Trade23.036.7520.96.4925.677.08
Avg Losing Trade14.124.7312.144.5116.494.99
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6311.7211.557
Largest Winning Trade326.13116.61326.13
Largest Winning Trade Percent25.5416.9325.54
Largest Losing Trade167.62120.4167.62
Largest Losing Trade Percent25.4213.6325.42
Avg # Bars In Trades134.099.0176.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades139.0106.0180.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades127.089.0172.0
Sharpe Ratio1.018
Sortino Ratio6.358
Profit Factor2.0332.1851.9
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l347.3214.87
Net Profit2236.172236.171690.181690.18545.99545.99
Gross Profit14023.4114023.417295.097295.096728.326728.32
Gross Loss11787.2411787.245604.915604.916182.336182.33
Commission Paid505.06272.5232.57
Buy & Hold Return-94.89-94.89
Max Contracts Held1345894.01345.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration9 days
Avg Equity Run-up114.38114.38
Max Equity Run-up3716.0197.38
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration16 days
Avg Equity Drawdown103.86103.86
Max Drawdown1794.8347.63
Total Closed Trades856.0477.0379.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades432.0241.0191.0
Number Losing Trades424.0236.0188.0
Percent Profitable50.4750.5250.4
Avg P&l2.610.973.540.981.440.97
Avg Winning Trade32.466.5730.276.335.236.91
Avg Losing Trade27.84.7323.754.4632.885.07
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1681.2751.071
Largest Winning Trade326.13128.48326.13
Largest Winning Trade Percent29.216.9329.2
Largest Losing Trade321.03120.4321.03
Largest Losing Trade Percent27.9915.6727.99
Avg # Bars In Trades124.0100.0154.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades131.0106.0162.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades117.094.0146.0
Sharpe Ratio0.559
Sortino Ratio1.532
Profit Factor1.191.3021.088
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance metrics offer valuable insights:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2236.17%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 0.62%
Sharpe Ratio 0.558
Profit Factor 1.19
Maximum Drawdown 47.63%
Volatility (Annualized) 76%

The strategy showcases a remarkable net profit of 2236.17% since its inception. The Sharpe ratio of 0.558 indicates good risk-adjusted returns, especially in the context of crypto trading where volatility is higher. The profit factor of 1.19 suggests that the strategy is profitable, albeit slightly. The maximum drawdown of 47.63%, while above the ideal threshold, signals a need for improved risk control measures.

Strategy Viability

Despite the high drawdown, the strategy has demonstrated viability for real-world trading by achieving positive returns in a challenging market environment, outperforming a buy and hold strategy. The market conditions seem favorable for this strategy when volatility is managed effectively. Comparing it to industry benchmarks, the strategy holds promise but could benefit from optimizations to bring the drawdown within the acceptable threshold.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management approach includes a reasonable profit factor, suggesting there is already a focus on controlling losses. However, the maximum drawdown indicates a need to tighten risk controls further. Recommendations for improved risk management include:

  • Reduce leverage to decrease exposure, which could help lower the maximum drawdown.
  • Implement tighter stop-loss mechanisms to protect against large swings.
  • Consider diversifying trading strategies or assets to mitigate risk.

Improvement Suggestions

Enhancing the strategy’s performance and robustness can be achieved through the following:

  • Optimize strategy parameters related to entry and exit criteria to improve the risk/reward balance.
  • Test additional technical indicators that may offer better signals under different market conditions.
  • Conduct rolling optimizations and neural network algorithms for dynamic strategy adjustments.
  • Further validate the strategy with out-of-sample testing and stress testing to ensure robustness across various scenarios.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy has demonstrated significant profitability with a high cumulative return and a sufficient Sharpe ratio. While the maximum drawdown is a concern, optimizations in leverage and risk management can help improve this metric. The strategy's ability to maneuver through tough market conditions indicates it has potential, provided further refinements are made.

Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy by implementing the suggested optimizations. Continued testing and adjustments, particularly around leverage and volatility management, will be key to enhancing robustness and sustainability in different market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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