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Traders should know
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bunie33 silentsurge runeusdt 15m 18.06

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CONFIRMATION BASED 15 minutes @bunie33
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [90791d8b]

🛡️ SILENTSURGE RUNEUSDT 15M 18.06

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - July 3, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +19.87% Updated 12 hours ago
Total Return Primary
2236.17%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.47%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
47.63%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.19
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-945.92%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
856
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Dec 2, 2021
1,461
Days
856
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 2, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-02 13:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.55
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.51
  • Calmar: -0.35
  • Longest DD Days: 225.00
  • Volatility: 0.75
  • Skew: 0.53
  • Kurtosis: 7.33
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.06
  • Expected Yearly: 0.72
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.80
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.10
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-02 22:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 432
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 10
  • Number Losing Trades: 424
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.35
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.21
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.19
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.21
  • Tail Ratio: 1.19
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.19
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.10
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 1.05

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+443.95%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+517.25%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+58.79%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+19.87%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+19.87%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+45.78%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+52.44%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+16.13%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
50.5%
Total Trades
857
Cumulative
2,456.96%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
852.63%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+26.63%
+71.97%
Simple P&L
2022
+28.71%
+50.79%
Simple P&L
+24.21%
+8.04%
Simple P&L
+89.24%
+82.32%
Simple P&L
+38.18%
+39.44%
Simple P&L
+113.87%
+72.20%
Simple P&L
+38.17%
+41.32%
Simple P&L
+163.89%
+46.69%
Simple P&L
+81.14%
+48.68%
Simple P&L
-43.50%
-20.42%
Simple P&L
+40.46%
+12.13%
Simple P&L
+80.33%
+35.21%
Simple P&L
+19.85%
+8.05%
Simple P&L
2023
+7.98%
-12.52%
Simple P&L
-43.53%
-4.34%
Simple P&L
+67.03%
+14.11%
Simple P&L
+68.12%
+12.41%
Simple P&L
+19.48%
+15.73%
Simple P&L
+75.07%
+30.11%
Simple P&L
+81.59%
+7.18%
Simple P&L
+167.08%
+23.74%
Simple P&L
+67.07%
+30.50%
Simple P&L
+322.61%
+66.13%
Simple P&L
+62.25%
-30.38%
Simple P&L
+36.74%
+14.97%
Simple P&L
2024
-90.14%
+3.23%
Simple P&L
+118.70%
-21.22%
Simple P&L
+391.37%
+88.04%
Simple P&L
+686.49%
+66.11%
Simple P&L
+320.62%
+46.59%
Simple P&L
+467.19%
+35.55%
Simple P&L
-294.24%
-1.59%
Simple P&L
-60.14%
+33.24%
Simple P&L
+181.08%
+23.46%
Simple P&L
-339.04%
-14.14%
Simple P&L
+569.09%
+52.28%
Simple P&L
-681.18%
-47.89%
Simple P&L
2025
-181.73%
-28.07%
Simple P&L
-325.03%
-44.18%
Simple P&L
-57.02%
-17.34%
Simple P&L
-10.27%
+2.06%
Simple P&L
+211.92%
+0.34%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

857

Number of Trades

2456.96%

Cumulative Returns

50.53%

Win Rate

2024-06-18

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

19.87%

30 Days

52.44%

60 Days

45.78%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3486.713486.711869.51869.51617.211617.21
Gross Profit6861.956861.953447.73447.73414.263414.26
Gross Loss3375.243375.241578.21578.21797.041797.04
Commission Paid190.81101.8988.92
Buy & Hold Return-63.83-63.83
Max Contracts Held549521.0549.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration8 days
Avg Equity Run-up98.0698.06
Max Equity Run-up3486.7497.21
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration9 days
Avg Equity Drawdown47.3447.34
Max Drawdown243.0213.3
Total Closed Trades537.0295.0242.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades298.0165.0133.0
Number Losing Trades239.0130.0109.0
Percent Profitable55.4955.9354.96
Avg P&l6.491.646.341.646.681.64
Avg Winning Trade23.036.7520.96.4925.677.08
Avg Losing Trade14.124.7312.144.5116.494.99
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6311.7211.557
Largest Winning Trade326.13116.61326.13
Largest Winning Trade Percent25.5416.9325.54
Largest Losing Trade167.62120.4167.62
Largest Losing Trade Percent25.4213.6325.42
Avg # Bars In Trades134.099.0176.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades139.0106.0180.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades127.089.0172.0
Sharpe Ratio1.018
Sortino Ratio6.358
Profit Factor2.0332.1851.9
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l221.899.5
Net Profit2236.172236.171690.181690.18545.99545.99
Gross Profit14023.4114023.417295.097295.096728.326728.32
Gross Loss11787.2411787.245604.915604.916182.336182.33
Commission Paid505.06272.5232.57
Buy & Hold Return-94.05-94.05
Max Contracts Held1345894.01345.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration9 days
Avg Equity Run-up114.38114.38
Max Equity Run-up3716.0197.38
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration16 days
Avg Equity Drawdown103.86103.86
Max Drawdown1794.8347.63
Total Closed Trades856.0477.0379.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades432.0241.0191.0
Number Losing Trades424.0236.0188.0
Percent Profitable50.4750.5250.4
Avg P&l2.610.973.540.981.440.97
Avg Winning Trade32.466.5730.276.335.236.91
Avg Losing Trade27.84.7323.754.4632.885.07
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1681.2751.071
Largest Winning Trade326.13128.48326.13
Largest Winning Trade Percent29.216.9329.2
Largest Losing Trade321.03120.4321.03
Largest Losing Trade Percent27.9915.6727.99
Avg # Bars In Trades124.0100.0154.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades131.0106.0162.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades117.094.0146.0
Sharpe Ratio0.552
Sortino Ratio1.51
Profit Factor1.191.3021.088
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2236.17%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 0.62%
Sharpe Ratio 0.562
Profit Factor 1.19
Maximum Drawdown -47.63%
Volatility (Annualized) 75%

The strategy produces a notable cumulative return of 2236.17%, indicating robust profit generation potential. The Sharpe ratio of 0.562 is above the threshold for crypto, suggesting decent risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown of -47.63% is above the preferred limit. It's essential to address this to enhance strategy stability.

Strategy Viability

Based on the analysis, the strategy shows promise with potential for real-world trading viability. It effectively captures gains, as evidenced by a positive cumulative return, despite challenging market conditions reflected in the -94.24% buy and hold return. While the Sharpe ratio suggests viability, reducing the drawdown to below 40% is recommended for stability across a broader range of market dynamics.

Risk Management

The strategy exhibits a balanced approach to risk management with a 0% risk of ruin and no margin calls, showcasing robust safety nets. Nevertheless, there is room for improvement in reducing the drawdown potential:

  • Consider decreasing leverage to lower maximum drawdown.
  • Enhance stop-loss mechanisms to keep drawdowns manageable and improve recovery speed.
  • Integrate dynamic position sizing to adjust for market volatility variations.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance strategy performance and sustainability, the following recommendations are advised:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to balance the trade-off between return enhancement and drawdown minimization.
  • Incorporate additional indicators to refine the quality of trade signals.
  • Conduct extensive backtesting across varying market conditions to stress-test robustness and adaptability.
  • Experiment with alternative position sizing models to see their impact on drawdown and return metrics.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong cumulative returns and reasonable risk-adjusted metrics with a Sharpe ratio of 0.562. However, the high drawdown presents a risk concern. Adequate adjustments in leverage and risk management strategies can elevate the strategy's robustness.

Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy, focusing on optimizing and testing improvements to harness more stable drawdown levels and adapt risk management effectively for better performance consistency.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
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Analyzing...
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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