T3 Nexus @DaviddTech 🤖 [894db62f]
🛡️ T3 NEXUS BTCUSDT.P 15MIN @
TREND FOLOWING
15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2019-09-16 17:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.71
- Sortino Ratio: 1.98
- Calmar: -4.40
- Longest DD Days: 79.00
- Volatility: 57.90
- Skew: 0.20
- Kurtosis: -1.45
- Expected Daily: 0.61
- Expected Monthly: 13.52
- Expected Yearly: 357.85
- Kelly Criterion: 10.26
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.88
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.07
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-13 15:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 466
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 460
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.40
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.26
- Payoff Ratio: 1.24
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.26
- Tail Ratio: 1.72
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.44
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.09
- Serenity Index: 1,088.44
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following performance metrics are noteworthy:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 13908.06% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 139.45% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.707 |
Profit Factor | 1.259 |
Maximum Drawdown | -32.47% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 57.9% |
The strategy shows strong long-term performance with a cumulative return of 13908.06% and an annualized return of 139.45%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.707 indicates good risk-adjusted returns, particularly in the crypto space where a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 is considered favorable. The maximum drawdown of -32.47% is within acceptable limits for a crypto strategy. Profit factor and risk metrics suggest consistency and reliability in the return profile.
Strategy Viability
Based on the provided metrics, the strategy appears viable under the current market conditions. The positive return metrics and acceptable drawdown suggest that the strategy performs well within historical market conditions observed in the report. With an industry-comparable Sharpe ratio and solid CAGR, there's strong potential for real-world application given the current market trends persist.
Risk Management
The strategy demonstrates effective risk management capabilities, as indicated by the maximum drawdown remaining under 40%. However, given the strategy's volatility, there is room for improvement in mitigating daily return fluctuations. Suggested enhancements include:
- Utilizing less leverage to decrease max drawdown and improve capital preservation.
- Incorporating refined position-sizing methodologies to align with market volatility.
- Implementing additional stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To optimize the strategy further, consider the following recommendations:
- Analyze and optimize strategy parameters to strike a balance between return and drawdown.
- Integrate additional technical indicators to improve entry and exit precision.
- Conduct thorough out-of-sample and stress testing to evaluate robustness under different market regimes.
- Explore diversification across different asset classes to minimize unsystematic risk.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy displays commendable performance with a strong return profile and competitive risk-adjusted metrics. Despite existing volatility, the risk management aspect is well-managed, maintaining a moderate drawdown level. It's advisable to continue refining and validating the strategy to enhance its resilience to dynamic market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with ongoing testing and optimization. Implement suggested improvements to bolster the strategy's robustness and augment the risk management framework, ensuring it remains effective across varied market scenarios.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.44% | 16.93% | 12.20% | 2.62% |
2020 | 8.55% | 0.20% | 3.02% | 29.56% | 13.94% | 14.14% | 15.31% | 11.49% | 11.25% | 11.64% | 15.97% | -0.49% |
2021 | 0.54% | 6.12% | 0.08% | -1.59% | 2.66% | 4.51% | 25.19% | 7.28% | 0.86% | 21.86% | 11.01% | -15.43% |
2022 | 0.75% | 2.18% | 12.14% | -8.84% | 16.75% | 18.66% | 16.77% | -14.04% | 9.65% | 7.47% | 1.09% | 5.02% |
2023 | 20.37% | 11.06% | 5.49% | 7.79% | 3.18% | 8.89% | 3.04% | 23.76% | 5.14% | 19.89% | 19.35% | 33.13% |
2024 | 20.46% | 23.22% | 2.97% | 13.60% | -10.49% | -6.98% | 0.89% | 12.73% | 8.48% | 21.56% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
200
Number of Trades
71.78%
Cumulative Returns
47%
Win Rate
2024-02-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-5.95%
30 Days
-26.93%
60 Days
-18.33%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 7730167.42 | 7730.17 | 5118777.7 | 5118.78 | 2611389.73 | 2611.39 |
Gross Profit | 22070324.85 | 22070.32 | 12658643.61 | 12658.64 | 9411681.24 | 9411.68 |
Gross Loss | 14340157.42 | 14340.16 | 7539865.91 | 7539.87 | 6800291.51 | 6800.29 |
Commission Paid | 1822265.2 | 991793.57 | 830471.64 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 409191.59 | 409.19 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 8240347.44 | 98.89 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 824702.82 | 26.84 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 689.0 | 570.0 | 689.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 726.0 | 362.0 | 364.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 372.0 | 194.0 | 178.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 354.0 | 168.0 | 186.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.24 | 53.59 | 48.9 | |||
Avg P&l | 10647.61 | 0.34 | 14140.27 | 0.41 | 7174.15 | 0.28 |
Avg Winning Trade | 59328.83 | 2.21 | 65250.74 | 2.17 | 52874.61 | 2.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 40508.92 | 1.61 | 44880.15 | 1.62 | 36560.71 | 1.61 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.465 | 1.454 | 1.446 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 466391.95 | 422651.77 | 466391.95 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.64 | 5.64 | 3.47 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 308456.64 | 302262.91 | 308456.64 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.01 | 5.01 | 2.17 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 51.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 52.0 | 46.0 | 58.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 50.0 | 43.0 | 55.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.824 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.799 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.539 | 1.679 | 1.384 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 13908062.9 | 13908.06 | 9939420.42 | 9939.42 | 3968642.47 | 3968.64 |
Gross Profit | 67509001.32 | 67509.0 | 35284198.43 | 35284.2 | 32224802.9 | 32224.8 |
Gross Loss | 53600938.43 | 53600.94 | 25344778.01 | 25344.78 | 28256160.42 | 28256.16 |
Commission Paid | 5826704.78 | 2940877.06 | 2885827.72 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 935534.78 | 935.53 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 20098043.35 | 99.54 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 6442462.39 | 32.47 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 750.0 | 698.0 | 750.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 926.0 | 455.0 | 471.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 466.0 | 240.0 | 226.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 460.0 | 215.0 | 245.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 50.32 | 52.75 | 47.98 | |||
Avg P&l | 15019.51 | 0.3 | 21844.88 | 0.38 | 8425.99 | 0.23 |
Avg Winning Trade | 144869.1 | 2.2 | 147017.49 | 2.16 | 142587.62 | 2.24 |
Avg Losing Trade | 116523.78 | 1.62 | 117882.69 | 1.62 | 115331.27 | 1.63 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.243 | 1.247 | 1.236 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1248872.02 | 901636.2 | 1248872.02 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.64 | 5.64 | 3.47 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 677401.68 | 650433.19 | 677401.68 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.01 | 5.01 | 2.17 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 52.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 52.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 52.0 | 48.0 | 56.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.707 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.98 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.259 | 1.392 | 1.14 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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