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T3 NEXUS BTCUSDT.P 15MIN

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T3 Nexus @DaviddTech 🤖 [894db62f]

🛡️ T3 NEXUS BTCUSDT.P 15MIN @

TREND FOLOWING
15 minutes

by DaviddTech - February 21, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 2 hours ago

13908.06%

Net Profit

50.32%

Win Rate

926

Total Closed Trades

1.259

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

6177.89% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2019-09-16 17:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.71
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.98
  • Calmar: -4.40
  • Longest DD Days: 79.00
  • Volatility: 57.90
  • Skew: 0.20
  • Kurtosis: -1.45
  • Expected Daily: 0.61
  • Expected Monthly: 13.52
  • Expected Yearly: 357.85
  • Kelly Criterion: 10.26
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.88
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.07
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-13 15:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 466
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 460
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.40
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.26
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.24
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.26
  • Tail Ratio: 1.72
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.44
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.09
  • Serenity Index: 1,088.44

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the following performance metrics are noteworthy:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 13908.06%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 139.45%
Sharpe Ratio 0.707
Profit Factor 1.259
Maximum Drawdown -32.47%
Volatility (Annualized) 57.9%

The strategy shows strong long-term performance with a cumulative return of 13908.06% and an annualized return of 139.45%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.707 indicates good risk-adjusted returns, particularly in the crypto space where a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 is considered favorable. The maximum drawdown of -32.47% is within acceptable limits for a crypto strategy. Profit factor and risk metrics suggest consistency and reliability in the return profile.

Strategy Viability

Based on the provided metrics, the strategy appears viable under the current market conditions. The positive return metrics and acceptable drawdown suggest that the strategy performs well within historical market conditions observed in the report. With an industry-comparable Sharpe ratio and solid CAGR, there's strong potential for real-world application given the current market trends persist.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates effective risk management capabilities, as indicated by the maximum drawdown remaining under 40%. However, given the strategy's volatility, there is room for improvement in mitigating daily return fluctuations. Suggested enhancements include:

  • Utilizing less leverage to decrease max drawdown and improve capital preservation.
  • Incorporating refined position-sizing methodologies to align with market volatility.
  • Implementing additional stop-loss mechanisms to limit potential losses.

Improvement Suggestions

To optimize the strategy further, consider the following recommendations:

  • Analyze and optimize strategy parameters to strike a balance between return and drawdown.
  • Integrate additional technical indicators to improve entry and exit precision.
  • Conduct thorough out-of-sample and stress testing to evaluate robustness under different market regimes.
  • Explore diversification across different asset classes to minimize unsystematic risk.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy displays commendable performance with a strong return profile and competitive risk-adjusted metrics. Despite existing volatility, the risk management aspect is well-managed, maintaining a moderate drawdown level. It's advisable to continue refining and validating the strategy to enhance its resilience to dynamic market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with ongoing testing and optimization. Implement suggested improvements to bolster the strategy's robustness and augment the risk management framework, ensuring it remains effective across varied market scenarios.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20190.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-0.44%16.93%12.20%2.62%
20208.55%0.20%3.02%29.56%13.94%14.14%15.31%11.49%11.25%11.64%15.97%-0.49%
20210.54%6.12%0.08%-1.59%2.66%4.51%25.19%7.28%0.86%21.86%11.01%-15.43%
20220.75%2.18%12.14%-8.84%16.75%18.66%16.77%-14.04%9.65%7.47%1.09%5.02%
202320.37%11.06%5.49%7.79%3.18%8.89%3.04%23.76%5.14%19.89%19.35%33.13%
202420.46%23.22%2.97%13.60%-10.49%-6.98%0.89%12.73%8.48%21.56%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

BTC

Base Currency

200

Number of Trades

71.78%

Cumulative Returns

47%

Win Rate

2024-02-21

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-5.95%

30 Days

-26.93%

60 Days

-18.33%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit7730167.427730.175118777.75118.782611389.732611.39
Gross Profit22070324.8522070.3212658643.6112658.649411681.249411.68
Gross Loss14340157.4214340.167539865.917539.876800291.516800.29
Commission Paid1822265.2991793.57830471.64
Buy & Hold Return409191.59409.19
Max Equity Run-up8240347.4498.89
Max Drawdown824702.8226.84
Max Contracts Held689.0570.0689.0
Total Closed Trades726.0362.0364.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades372.0194.0178.0
Number Losing Trades354.0168.0186.0
Percent Profitable51.2453.5948.9
Avg P&l10647.610.3414140.270.417174.150.28
Avg Winning Trade59328.832.2165250.742.1752874.612.25
Avg Losing Trade40508.921.6144880.151.6236560.711.61
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4651.4541.446
Largest Winning Trade466391.95422651.77466391.95
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.645.643.47
Largest Losing Trade308456.64302262.91308456.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.015.012.17
Avg # Bars In Trades51.045.057.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades52.046.058.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades50.043.055.0
Sharpe Ratio0.824
Sortino Ratio2.799
Profit Factor1.5391.6791.384
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit13908062.913908.069939420.429939.423968642.473968.64
Gross Profit67509001.3267509.035284198.4335284.232224802.932224.8
Gross Loss53600938.4353600.9425344778.0125344.7828256160.4228256.16
Commission Paid5826704.782940877.062885827.72
Buy & Hold Return935534.78935.53
Max Equity Run-up20098043.3599.54
Max Drawdown6442462.3932.47
Max Contracts Held750.0698.0750.0
Total Closed Trades926.0455.0471.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades466.0240.0226.0
Number Losing Trades460.0215.0245.0
Percent Profitable50.3252.7547.98
Avg P&l15019.510.321844.880.388425.990.23
Avg Winning Trade144869.12.2147017.492.16142587.622.24
Avg Losing Trade116523.781.62117882.691.62115331.271.63
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2431.2471.236
Largest Winning Trade1248872.02901636.21248872.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.645.643.47
Largest Losing Trade677401.68650433.19677401.68
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.015.012.17
Avg # Bars In Trades52.047.057.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades52.047.057.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades52.048.056.0
Sharpe Ratio0.707
Sortino Ratio1.98
Profit Factor1.2591.3921.14
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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