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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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BOTIFYX BTC 1h

  • Homepage

BotifyX 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4b29fa4e]

🛡️ BOTIFYX BTC 1H @ex7777777

EXTERNAL INDICATORS
1 hour

by DaviddTech - February 21, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 14 minutes ago

55.09%

Net Profit

64.59%

Win Rate

689

Total Closed Trades

1.431

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

-2.73% 😔

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2019-09-24 10:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.36
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.75
  • Calmar: -1.27
  • Longest DD Days: 148.00
  • Volatility: 6.48
  • Skew: -0.33
  • Kurtosis: 1.73
  • Expected Daily: 0.06
  • Expected Monthly: 1.36
  • Expected Yearly: 17.56
  • Kelly Criterion: 19.63
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.55
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.84
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-18 14:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 12
  • Number Winning Trades 445
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 244
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.27
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.44
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.78
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.44
  • Tail Ratio: 1.16
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.44
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.89
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 10.79

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance metrics provide insight into the strategy’s effectiveness:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 55.31%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 8.14%
Sharpe Ratio 0.365
Profit Factor 1.43
Maximum Drawdown 6.62%
Volatility (Annualized) 6.49%

The strategy has an impressive maximum drawdown of 6.62%, which is well within acceptable limits, indicating strong downside protection. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.365 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, though it approaches the acceptable threshold for crypto trading.

Strategy Viability

Based on the current conditions, the strategy appears to be moderately viable for real-world trading. While it maintains a solid drawdown profile, the returns might not be sufficiently compelling when compared to a simple buy-and-hold strategy, which yielded a return of 965.04%. Yet, considering its relatively conservative approach to risk, the strategy could be suitable for traders seeking stability over aggressive returns.

Risk Management

The strategy's low maximum drawdown (6.62%) is a testament to effective risk management practices, and the absence of margin calls highlights disciplined trading. Nonetheless, the following enhancements could further solidify risk management without sacrificing returns:

  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to better respond to market volatility.
  • Enhancing stop-loss protocols to minimize potential losses efficiently.
  • Consider using less leverage to further decrease drawdown without impacting potential gains significantly.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the strategy's performance and resilience, consider these improvement areas:

  • Optimizing strategy parameters to achieve a higher Sharpe Ratio.
  • Introducing additional market indicators to improve entry and exit points.
  • Conducting more robust out-of-sample and forward testing to confirm strategy robustness across varying market environments.
  • Adjusting the risk management framework by integrating advanced techniques such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario analysis.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy provides a solid foundation with strong downside protection and disciplined risk management, evident from its low drawdown levels. However, improving risk-adjusted returns will be crucial for elevating its competitive edge in the crypto market.

Recommendation: Proceed with refining the strategy by addressing the areas of improvement, especially focusing on achieving a better Sharpe Ratio and optimizing risk management techniques to accommodate higher returns alongside maintaining impressive drawdown statistics.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20190.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.00%-0.98%3.34%1.56%
20200.84%0.73%2.12%3.51%0.18%-1.23%0.82%0.72%1.10%0.90%2.40%1.56%
2021-2.67%1.71%-0.61%0.87%5.46%1.87%1.12%0.34%1.68%-0.26%-0.48%-0.56%
20222.61%1.15%1.26%-1.14%0.53%1.56%1.12%-0.65%0.01%0.13%0.98%0.39%
20230.76%0.97%2.56%0.29%0.41%1.18%-0.53%1.01%-0.39%2.76%-1.26%0.97%
20241.42%1.58%-1.77%-0.67%-0.66%0.56%-0.68%-1.73%-0.20%-0.06%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

BTC

Base Currency

154

Number of Trades

-1.69%

Cumulative Returns

58.44%

Win Rate

2024-02-21

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0.47%

30 Days

3.12%

60 Days

1.4%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit57824.6557.8226392.6726.3931431.9831.43
Gross Profit154434.7154.4369124.2869.1285310.4185.31
Gross Loss96610.0596.6142731.6142.7353878.4353.88
Commission Paid48.5823.7524.82
Buy & Hold Return430620.96430.62
Max Equity Run-up58166.4636.86
Max Drawdown6585.195.45
Max Contracts Held4.03.04.0
Total Closed Trades535.0264.0271.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades355.0180.0175.0
Number Losing Trades180.084.096.0
Percent Profitable66.3668.1864.58
Avg P&l108.080.5499.970.5115.990.57
Avg Winning Trade435.032.17384.021.91487.492.44
Avg Losing Trade536.722.69508.712.53561.232.83
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8110.7550.869
Largest Winning Trade2497.091149.22497.09
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.885.7811.88
Largest Losing Trade2014.541519.312014.54
Largest Losing Trade Percent10.957.4610.95
Avg # Bars In Trades16.015.017.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades15.014.015.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades19.017.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.514
Sortino Ratio1.188
Profit Factor1.5991.6181.583
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit55093.8555.0926147.7426.1528946.128.95
Gross Profit183050.46183.0582535.1382.54100515.33100.52
Gross Loss127956.61127.9656387.3856.3971569.2371.57
Commission Paid52.0225.3826.64
Buy & Hold Return975947.92975.95
Max Equity Run-up60819.4537.9
Max Drawdown10613.046.62
Max Contracts Held4.03.04.0
Total Closed Trades689.0340.0349.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades445.0224.0221.0
Number Losing Trades244.0116.0128.0
Percent Profitable64.5965.8863.32
Avg P&l79.960.476.910.3882.940.41
Avg Winning Trade411.352.05368.461.83454.822.28
Avg Losing Trade524.412.63486.12.42559.132.82
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.7840.7580.813
Largest Winning Trade2497.091149.22497.09
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.885.7811.88
Largest Losing Trade2014.541519.312014.54
Largest Losing Trade Percent10.957.4610.95
Avg # Bars In Trades16.016.016.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.015.014.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.020.0
Sharpe Ratio0.363
Sortino Ratio0.752
Profit Factor1.4311.4641.404
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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