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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
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    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

el patron+trendilo BTC 1h

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EXTERNAL INDICATORS 1 hour @Igorek
● Live

BotifyX 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8bdb5058]

🛡️ EL PATRON+TRENDILO BTC 1H

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 30, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-5.51% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
370.6%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
68.18%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
25.47%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.261
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
83.78%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
704
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
May 10, 2020
2,001
Days
704
Trades
Last Trade
Oct 29, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-05-10 04:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.86
  • Calmar: -0.81
  • Longest DD Days: 78.00
  • Volatility: 1.01
  • Skew: -1.49
  • Kurtosis: 4.09
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.11
  • Expected Yearly: 1.32
  • Kelly Criterion: 13.35
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.13
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.19
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-10-29 15:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 18
  • Number Winning Trades 480
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 224
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.81
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.24
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.58
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.24
  • Tail Ratio: 0.78
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.67
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.03
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 3.01

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-4.78%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-20.09%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-27.92%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-36.50%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-68.16%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
-5.51%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-2.54%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+4.85%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-6.35%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+7.05%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
68.2%
Total Trades
704
Cumulative
370.60%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
691.94%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-7.11%
-2.80%
Simple P&L
-7.65%
+6.79%
Simple P&L
+4.96%
+7.71%
Simple P&L
+4.21%
+9.73%
Simple P&L
+11.24%
+19.72%
Simple P&L
+7.45%
+15.72%
Simple P&L
+13.99%
+17.29%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
+13.49%
Simple P&L
2021
-10.24%
+0.03%
Simple P&L
-4.98%
+2.50%
Simple P&L
+14.57%
+21.35%
Simple P&L
+4.75%
+17.11%
Simple P&L
-3.90%
+9.25%
Simple P&L
+3.08%
+18.50%
Simple P&L
+4.68%
+8.75%
Simple P&L
-5.44%
+0.16%
Simple P&L
+18.56%
+26.41%
Simple P&L
+6.11%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
+3.80%
+29.38%
Simple P&L
+35.79%
+40.27%
Simple P&L
2022
-11.87%
+5.63%
Simple P&L
-7.45%
-4.94%
Simple P&L
+9.96%
+9.17%
Simple P&L
+16.86%
+20.41%
Simple P&L
+23.41%
+23.47%
Simple P&L
-3.17%
+5.35%
Simple P&L
-13.30%
-0.62%
Simple P&L
+19.59%
+6.48%
Simple P&L
+14.57%
+5.65%
Simple P&L
+33.18%
+25.81%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+9.87%
Simple P&L
-6.73%
-2.55%
Simple P&L
2023
+27.96%
+19.08%
Simple P&L
-22.44%
+8.85%
Simple P&L
-3.20%
+10.73%
Simple P&L
-6.39%
+11.39%
Simple P&L
-14.40%
+1.23%
Simple P&L
-3.15%
+16.87%
Simple P&L
+4.79%
+8.30%
Simple P&L
+11.69%
+7.18%
Simple P&L
+3.31%
-1.05%
Simple P&L
+19.45%
+10.23%
Simple P&L
+67.31%
+27.05%
Simple P&L
+20.31%
+20.43%
Simple P&L
2024
-12.65%
-1.91%
Simple P&L
-10.89%
+8.17%
Simple P&L
+17.27%
+26.01%
Simple P&L
+1.51%
+7.69%
Simple P&L
+35.95%
+13.07%
Simple P&L
-30.16%
+4.26%
Simple P&L
+27.56%
+11.09%
Simple P&L
+38.58%
+8.87%
Simple P&L
-30.89%
+1.41%
Simple P&L
-17.00%
-0.57%
Simple P&L
+26.80%
+16.34%
Simple P&L
+2.94%
+12.95%
Simple P&L
2025
+59.44%
+13.74%
Simple P&L
+3.76%
+7.85%
Simple P&L
+8.87%
+14.23%
Simple P&L
+48.80%
+24.90%
Simple P&L
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

704

Number of Trades

370.6%

Cumulative Returns

68.18%

Win Rate

2024-01-30

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-2.54%

30 Days

-6.35%

60 Days

4.85%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit2690.16269.021332.22133.221357.94135.79
Gross Profit10281.791028.184345.99434.65935.8593.58
Gross Loss7591.62759.163013.77301.384577.85457.79
Commission Paid1035.15424.49610.66
Buy & Hold Return3928.74392.87
Max Equity Run-up3191.1978.75
Max Drawdown542.2825.47
Max Contracts Held0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades505.0252.0253.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades347.0176.0171.0
Number Losing Trades158.076.082.0
Percent Profitable68.7169.8467.59
Avg P&l5.331.015.291.15.370.91
Avg Winning Trade29.632.6424.692.6634.712.62
Avg Losing Trade48.052.5739.652.5155.832.64
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6170.6230.622
Largest Winning Trade106.08106.08103.94
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.13.13.1
Largest Losing Trade207.99207.99178.03
Largest Losing Trade Percent11.886.3711.88
Avg # Bars In Trades29.030.029.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades29.030.028.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades30.031.029.0
Sharpe Ratio0.435
Sortino Ratio1.109
Profit Factor1.3541.4421.297
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit3706.0370.61796.64179.661909.36190.94
Gross Profit17923.081792.318458.55845.869464.53946.45
Gross Loss14217.081421.716661.91666.197555.17755.52
Commission Paid1850.25869.01981.24
Buy & Hold Return11655.721165.57
Max Equity Run-up4767.9984.7
Max Drawdown934.2925.47
Max Contracts Held0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades704.0357.0347.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades480.0245.0235.0
Number Losing Trades224.0112.0112.0
Percent Profitable68.1868.6367.72
Avg P&l5.260.985.031.035.50.94
Avg Winning Trade37.342.6534.522.6640.272.63
Avg Losing Trade63.472.5859.482.5367.462.63
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5880.580.597
Largest Winning Trade148.03148.03141.27
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.13.13.1
Largest Losing Trade330.97330.97308.15
Largest Losing Trade Percent11.886.3711.88
Avg # Bars In Trades32.033.030.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades31.033.029.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades32.033.032.0
Sharpe Ratio0.369
Sortino Ratio0.856
Profit Factor1.2611.271.253
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Value
Net Profit 429.46%
Buy & Hold Return 1127.34%
Max Drawdown 25.47%
Sharpe Ratio 0.398
Profit Factor 1.316
Volatility (Annualized) 98%
CAGR 0.78%
Percent Profitable 68.53%

The strategy shows a commendable net profit of 429.46% with a healthy win rate of 68.53%, indicating solid performance over the analyzed period. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.398 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. Despite the high volatility, the maximum drawdown is contained within acceptable levels at 25.47%, showcasing good downside protection.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests the strategy is viable for real-world trading, particularly in volatile markets, where it manages to maintain a controlled drawdown. The positive profit factor of 1.316 further reinforces its potential effectiveness. Comparing against a buy-and-hold strategy, our current approach underperforms; however, the lower drawdown hints at a smarter risk management approach.

Risk Management

Effective risk management is evident in the contained drawdown, though improvements can enhance performance further. Consider these suggestions:

  • Refining the leverage applied in trades could decrease drawdown further, improving overall strategy robustness.
  • Dynamic position sizing based on volatility indices could offer better risk adjustment during trades.
  • Integrating additional stop-loss measures to cap losing trades quicker can further mitigate losses.

Improvement Suggestions

For enhanced strategy performance, the following steps should be considered:

  • Optimize trading parameters to increase Sharpe ratio and profit factor.
  • Further test the strategy under varying market conditions to validate robustness and adaptability.
  • Incorporating more advanced indicators might fine-tune entry and exit signals.

Final Opinion

The strategy presents strong potential with respectable profits and manageable drawdowns, but it somewhat lacks in maximizing risk-adjusted returns. Improvements in parameter optimization and risk management might close the gap to industry standards.

Recommendation: Continue with strategy optimization and additional testing across diverse market scenarios to ensure its resilience and performance. Applying targeted improvements in risk management could help in yielding a more robust trading strategy.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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To copy other members charts, is simple:

  • A new window in TradingView will of opened.
  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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