🚀 The Insider Strategy by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7d2a8dce]
🛡️ THE INSIDER BTC 30MIN
@Gentle_sir
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-02 22:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.51
- Sortino Ratio: 1.34
- Calmar: -2.68
- Longest DD Days: 140.00
- Volatility: 41.54
- Skew: -0.21
- Kurtosis: -1.28
- Expected Daily: 0.43
- Expected Monthly: 9.36
- Expected Yearly: 192.71
- Kelly Criterion: 14.41
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.64
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.17
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-06 03:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 372
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 269
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.68
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.33
- Payoff Ratio: 0.96
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.33
- Tail Ratio: 1.09
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.22
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 79.03
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Reviewing the QuantStats report yields insightful metrics highlighting the strategy's potential and areas for refinement:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1234.1% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 76.77% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.534 |
Profit Factor | 1.374 |
Maximum Drawdown | 28.03% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 41.44% |
The strategy demonstrates a strong cumulative return of 1234.1% and an annualized return of 76.77%, which are impressive metrics. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.534 exceeds crypto market expectations, signifying acceptable risk-adjusted returns. With a maximum drawdown of 28.03%, the strategy maintains protective measures against significant losses, well below concerning thresholds.
Strategy Viability
The data suggests the strategy is viable for real-world application, especially in volatile crypto markets. The drawdown is manageable, allowing for sustained performance amidst market fluctuations. With a consistent success rate, the strategy's ability to generate returns and its resilience during drawdowns stands out as a key strength. A comparison with industry standards indicates this strategy is competitive and shows promise for future growth.
Risk Management
The current risk management framework showcases effective measures through its relatively restrained maximum drawdown figure. Yet, volatility at 41.44% hints at potential refinements in handling fluctuations. Consider these strategies:
- Implementing diversified asset exposure to manage systematic risk better.
- Enhancing stop-loss mechanisms to mitigate potential losses more effectively.
- Adjusting leverage to reduce drawdown risks and enhance control over position sizing.
Improvement Suggestions
To elevate both the robustness and performance of the strategy, consider these improvements:
- Optimize model parameters by testing different market conditions and variables.
- Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points.
- Conduct forward-testing across variable market regimes to test strategy adaptability.
- Revise the risk management approach by incorporating advanced techniques such as the Value-at-Risk (VaR) metric to account for extreme market movements.
Final Opinion
This strategy's strong performance metrics, combined with acceptable risk-adjusted returns, indicate a well-crafted trading approach for the crypto market. The balanced drawdown ratios and profitable trade percentage are significant positives. Though refined further, its present form offers a sound baseline for continued testing and optimizations.
Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and fine-tuning to capitalize on its strengths. Implement the suggested upgrades, particularly in risk management, to enhance resilience and output in varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 11.54% | 5.14% | 2.06% | 6.86% | -9.07% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 11.43% | 10.44% | 19.65% | 15.11% | 1.18% | 7.32% | 4.24% | 1.36% | -3.21% | 7.98% | -1.03% | -4.94% |
2022 | 5.49% | 26.06% | 23.70% | -11.86% | 21.85% | 13.87% | 18.17% | 7.53% | 16.19% | 7.09% | 8.79% | 2.03% |
2021 | 2.35% | 1.39% | 13.10% | -0.82% | -1.63% | 9.27% | 4.53% | 5.91% | 9.66% | -12.11% | 6.99% | 8.42% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.32% | -12.03% | -6.31% | 0.40% | -7.09% | 4.05% | -3.13% | -3.10% | 9.60% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
110
Number of Trades
2.77%
Cumulative Returns
52.73%
Win Rate
2024-03-13
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-7.54%
30 Days
7.65%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,190,808.21 USD | 1,190.81 | 763,355.71 USD | 763.36 | 427,452.51 USD | 427.45 |
Gross Profit | 3,165,311.82 | 3,165.31 | 1,833,701.93 | 1,833.70 | 1,331,609.89 | 1,331.61 |
Gross Loss | 1,974,503.61 | 1,974.50 | 1,070,346.22 | 1,070.35 | 904,157.38 | 904.16 |
Max Run-up | 1,206,220.96 | 93.45 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 156,524.06 | 28.03 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 988,964.52 | 988.96 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.59 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.601 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.603 | 1.713 | 1.473 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 66 | 64 | 66 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 245,982.06 | 140,021.17 | 105,960.89 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 531 | 288 | 243 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 314 | 169 | 145 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 217 | 119 | 98 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.13 | 58.68 | 59.67 | |||
Avg Trade | 2,242.58 | 0.35 | 2,650.54 | 0.31 | 1,759.06 | 0.40 |
Avg Winning Trade | 10,080.61 | 1.85 | 10,850.31 | 1.79 | 9,183.52 | 1.92 |
Avg Losing Trade | 9,099.09 | 1.82 | 8,994.51 | 1.80 | 9,226.10 | 1.84 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.108 | 1.206 | 0.995 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 48,209.57 | 4.00 | 47,717.41 | 4.00 | 48,209.57 | 3.54 |
Largest Losing Trade | 43,599.75 | 3.34 | 43,599.75 | 3.32 | 36,756.54 | 3.34 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 22 | 20 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 23 | 21 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 21 | 18 | 24 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,178,017.80 USD | 1,178.02 | 673,210.62 USD | 673.21 | 504,807.18 USD | 504.81 |
Gross Profit | 4,869,123.24 | 4,869.12 | 2,467,113.73 | 2,467.11 | 2,402,009.51 | 2,402.01 |
Gross Loss | 3,691,105.44 | 3,691.11 | 1,793,903.12 | 1,793.90 | 1,897,202.33 | 1,897.20 |
Max Run-up | 1,459,808.51 | 94.52 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 213,527.70 | 28.03 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,387,489.51 | 1,387.49 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.511 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.342 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.319 | 1.375 | 1.266 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 66 | 64 | 66 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 399,218.87 | 205,574.83 | 193,644.04 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 641 | 336 | 305 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 372 | 192 | 180 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 269 | 144 | 125 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.03 | 57.14 | 59.02 | |||
Avg Trade | 1,837.78 | 0.30 | 2,003.60 | 0.25 | 1,655.11 | 0.35 |
Avg Winning Trade | 13,089.04 | 1.83 | 12,849.55 | 1.77 | 13,344.50 | 1.89 |
Avg Losing Trade | 13,721.58 | 1.82 | 12,457.66 | 1.77 | 15,177.62 | 1.87 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.954 | 1.031 | 0.879 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 61,416.04 | 4.00 | 49,883.66 | 4.00 | 61,416.04 | 3.54 |
Largest Losing Trade | 62,599.56 | 3.34 | 56,853.44 | 3.32 | 62,599.56 | 3.34 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 22 | 21 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 22 | 21 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 22 | 21 | 24 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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