🚀 Heiken-Ashi CE LSMA [v5.1] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [2ed80260]
🛡️ HEIKEN ASHI CE BTC 30MIN
@Gentle_sir
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-02 06:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.48
- Sortino Ratio: 1.31
- Calmar: -2.52
- Longest DD Days: 106.00
- Volatility: 49.94
- Skew: -0.49
- Kurtosis: -0.70
- Expected Daily: 0.50
- Expected Monthly: 10.98
- Expected Yearly: 249.24
- Kelly Criterion: 11.32
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.86
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.06
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-16 19:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 445
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 264
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.52
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
- Payoff Ratio: 0.72
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
- Tail Ratio: 0.94
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.61
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.26
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.12
- Serenity Index: 119.18
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 2311.76% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 90.03% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.482 |
Profit Factor | 1.212 |
Maximum Drawdown | 36.7% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 49.94% |
Win Rate | 62.76% |
The strategy shows a robust cumulative return of 2311.76% with a solid annualized return of 90.03%. The Sharpe ratio, while slightly below the optimal threshold at 0.482, is promising and close to the mark, indicating reasonable risk-adjusted returns. A 36.7% maximum drawdown respects the acceptable boundary, demonstrating good risk mitigation. The win rate of 62.76% is another strong point of the strategy. Additionally, the profit factor of 1.212 signifies more gains than losses, which is positive.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, the strategy exhibits strong potential for real-world trading, especially in its capability to capture substantial returns while maintaining drawdown under control. The high cumulative and annualized returns highlight the strategy's efficacy. While the Sharpe ratio is slightly under the ideal range, it remains competitive in the crypto market due to inherent higher volatility. This strategy tends to outperform when market volatility offers larger price movements, suggesting strong adaptability in such environments.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management framework appears to be adequately set up, particularly with the drawdown metrics being below critical thresholds and no margin calls recorded. However, to enhance risk management and sharpen the risk-return profile, the following measures could be considered:
- Reducing leverage usage could lower the maximum drawdown, improving stability.
- Implementing tighter stop-loss orders to protect against unforeseen adverse moves.
- Introducing dynamic position sizing based on volatility levels to manage exposure better.
Improvement Suggestions
To amplify the potential of the strategy and ensure its robustness, the following recommendations are advised:
- Refine parameters to find the sweet spot between risk and return, optimizing for higher Sharpe ratios.
- Explore additional technical indicators to finetune trade entry and exit points, complementing existing signals.
- Conduct rigorous out-of-sample testing to confirm strategy strength across different market climates.
- Strengthen the risk management scheme with advanced techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress testing for diverse scenarios.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates considerable promise with high returns and a solid risk management approach. The slightly below-par Sharpe ratio should not be an obstacle, given the overall positive metrics. Enhancing this strategy through parameter optimization and improved risk controls could unlock even greater potential.
Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and backtesting to solidify the strategy's robustness. Implement the proposed improvements to achieve a more balanced risk profile and enhanced returns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.13% | -10.89% | -4.74% | -1.19% | -4.17% | 4.74% | -3.45% | -3.14% | 0.50% |
2021 | 1.70% | 25.46% | 9.43% | 16.12% | -21.43% | 19.48% | 21.31% | -1.58% | -12.19% | 18.96% | 17.51% | 28.23% |
2022 | 22.50% | 19.28% | 10.19% | 0.17% | 13.56% | 15.66% | 17.27% | 7.45% | 2.97% | -0.36% | 2.16% | -2.68% |
2023 | 15.72% | 11.62% | 20.13% | 8.54% | -5.05% | 19.59% | 0.00% | 5.50% | 3.77% | 9.59% | 6.65% | 4.78% |
2024 | 22.16% | -1.33% | 7.29% | 2.27% | -1.03% | -4.64% | 2.51% | 8.64% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
138
Number of Trades
-25.39%
Cumulative Returns
52.9%
Win Rate
2024-03-13
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-5.86%
30 Days
-26.96%
60 Days
-25.38%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 3231849.32 | 3231.85 | 2315168.69 | 2315.17 | 916680.63 | 916.68 |
Gross Profit | 7318854.79 | 7318.85 | 5001516.4 | 5001.52 | 2317338.39 | 2317.34 |
Gross Loss | 4087005.48 | 4087.01 | 2686347.71 | 2686.35 | 1400657.77 | 1400.66 |
Commission Paid | 624683.03 | 420875.44 | 203807.59 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1028962.02 | 1028.96 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3231910.06 | 97.0 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 336816.02 | 32.05 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 181.0 | 162.0 | 181.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 571.0 | 359.0 | 212.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 372.0 | 234.0 | 138.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 199.0 | 125.0 | 74.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 65.15 | 65.18 | 65.09 | |||
Avg P&l | 5659.98 | 0.32 | 6448.94 | 0.31 | 4323.97 | 0.33 |
Avg Winning Trade | 19674.34 | 1.43 | 21374.0 | 1.42 | 16792.31 | 1.44 |
Avg Losing Trade | 20537.72 | 1.76 | 21490.78 | 1.77 | 18927.81 | 1.75 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.958 | 0.995 | 0.887 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 148856.76 | 148856.76 | 95583.47 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.88 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 191661.44 | 191661.44 | 102510.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.89 | 5.89 | 3.51 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 14.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 14.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 14.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.641 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.901 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.791 | 1.862 | 1.654 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 2311757.76 | 2311.76 | 1055527.35 | 1055.53 | 1256230.42 | 1256.23 |
Gross Profit | 13220142.38 | 13220.14 | 7346210.77 | 7346.21 | 5873931.62 | 5873.93 |
Gross Loss | 10908384.62 | 10908.38 | 6290683.42 | 6290.68 | 4617701.2 | 4617.7 |
Commission Paid | 1303759.94 | 760610.39 | 543149.55 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1283213.26 | 1283.21 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3767948.03 | 97.42 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1398353.17 | 36.7 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 181.0 | 162.0 | 181.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 709.0 | 426.0 | 283.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 445.0 | 265.0 | 180.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 264.0 | 161.0 | 103.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 62.76 | 62.21 | 63.6 | |||
Avg P&l | 3260.59 | 0.24 | 2477.76 | 0.21 | 4438.98 | 0.27 |
Avg Winning Trade | 29708.19 | 1.41 | 27721.55 | 1.39 | 32632.95 | 1.43 |
Avg Losing Trade | 41319.64 | 1.74 | 39072.57 | 1.73 | 44832.05 | 1.76 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.719 | 0.709 | 0.728 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 238634.38 | 148856.76 | 238634.38 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.29 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 242313.48 | 191661.44 | 242313.48 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.89 | 5.89 | 3.51 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 15.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 14.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 15.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.482 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.308 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.212 | 1.168 | 1.272 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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