🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [a431d701]
🛡️ TRENDHOO BTC 2H
@zalmoksis
⌛2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 8 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-29 15:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.30
- Sortino Ratio: 0.76
- Calmar: -4.27
- Longest DD Days: 15.00
- Volatility: 5.82
- Skew: 0.72
- Kurtosis: 0.19
- Expected Daily: 0.13
- Expected Monthly: 2.83
- Expected Yearly: 39.73
- Kelly Criterion: 32.07
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.34
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.43
- Last Trade Date: 2024-11-21 09:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 88
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 77
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.27
- Gain/Pain (1M): 2.51
- Payoff Ratio: 2.19
- Common Sense Ratio: 2.51
- Tail Ratio: 2.30
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.31
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 18.30
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 23.02% |
Gross Profit | 39.21% |
Gross Loss | 16.19% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.267 |
Sortino Ratio | 0.65 |
Profit Factor | 2.422 |
Maximum Drawdown | 1.44% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 5.75% |
Percent Profitable | 52.2% |
The strategy exhibits a moderate performance with a net profit of 23.02% and an impressive profit factor of 2.422, indicating that for every dollar lost, there is $2.422 gained. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.267 is below the preferred threshold, suggesting room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. While the maximum drawdown is comfortably low at 1.44%, signaling excellent downside protection, the low Sharpe ratio highlights the need to strengthen the strategy’s return profile.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy shows potential for viability in real-world trading, especially with its low maximum drawdown and significant profit factor. The conditions under which the strategy performs best need further exploration to ensure continued effectiveness as market dynamics shift. The strategy's performance does not yet match up to industry benchmarks fully, particularly concerning risk-adjusted returns.
Risk Management
The strategy employs solid risk management, evidenced by the minimal maximum drawdown and zero margin calls. However, the low Sharpe ratio indicates potential inefficiency in capturing returns relative to risk. Possible enhancements include:
- Refining entry and exit signals to bolster winning trades.
- Incorporating stop-loss mechanisms to cap potential losses more effectively.
- Considering volatility adjustments to optimize position sizing and enhance return predictability.
Improvement Suggestions
To boost the strategy’s performance and risk-adjusted returns, consider these recommendations:
- Experiment with optimizing strategy parameters to better align with changing market conditions.
- Introduce diverse technical indicators to improve the precision of market entry and exit points.
- Explore machine learning models to adapt dynamically to volatile market behavior.
- Reduce leverage to further minimize potential drawdowns, thereby improving capital efficiency and safety.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy demonstrates potential through its low drawdown and robust profit factor, indicating effective risk management. Despite these strengths, there is significant room for improvement in terms of risk-adjusted returns as evidenced by the Sharpe ratio. Ensuring that the strategy performs consistently across various market conditions remains essential.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing to refine the strategy’s performance and solidify its risk management framework. Focus on enhancing risk-adjusted returns while maintaining the commendable risk management already in place.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -0.95% | 2.74% | -0.50% | -0.46% | 0.40% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 3.09% | -0.60% | 0.53% | 0.26% | -0.24% | 0.55% | -0.41% | 0.98% | -0.18% | 0.76% | -0.30% | 1.01% |
2022 | 0.40% | 0.36% | 0.23% | 0.26% | 1.97% | 0.77% | -0.37% | 0.12% | 0.90% | -0.82% | 0.31% | -0.18% |
2021 | 0.14% | 0.18% | 0.61% | -0.08% | 0.30% | 0.23% | 0.38% | 0.30% | 0.37% | 0.66% | -0.39% | -0.02% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.55% | -0.33% | 0.50% | 0.22% | -0.37% | 0.43% | 2.02% | 1.20% | 2.07% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
41
Number of Trades
3.33%
Cumulative Returns
46.34%
Win Rate
2024-02-12
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
1.14%
30 Days
1.16%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 21,532.91 USD | 21.53 | 15,653.32 USD | 15.65 | 5,879.60 USD | 5.88 |
Gross Profit | 32,965.92 | 32.97 | 22,081.46 | 22.08 | 10,884.46 | 10.88 |
Gross Loss | 11,433.01 | 11.43 | 6,428.14 | 6.43 | 5,004.86 | 5.00 |
Max Run-up | 22,318.45 | 18.25 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,718.39 | 1.41 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 544,250.48 | 544.25 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.332 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.827 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.883 | 3.435 | 2.175 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
Open PL | 606.52 | 0.50 | ||||
Commission Paid | 800.23 | 504.91 | 295.32 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 124 | 64 | 60 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 69 | 37 | 32 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 55 | 27 | 28 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.65 | 57.81 | 53.33 | |||
Avg Trade | 173.65 | 2.14 | 244.58 | 2.67 | 97.99 | 1.57 |
Avg Winning Trade | 477.77 | 6.64 | 596.80 | 7.04 | 340.14 | 6.17 |
Avg Losing Trade | 207.87 | 3.51 | 238.08 | 3.30 | 178.75 | 3.70 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.298 | 2.507 | 1.903 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1,389.98 | 10.03 | 1,389.98 | 10.03 | 895.18 | 7.40 |
Largest Losing Trade | 591.59 | 4.48 | 591.59 | 4.48 | 548.33 | 4.48 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 41 | 48 | 33 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 41 | 52 | 29 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 40 | 43 | 37 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 25,587.58 USD | 25.59 | 19,939.49 USD | 19.94 | 5,648.10 USD | 5.65 |
Gross Profit | 42,377.51 | 42.38 | 28,819.28 | 28.82 | 13,558.23 | 13.56 |
Gross Loss | 16,789.93 | 16.79 | 8,879.79 | 8.88 | 7,910.14 | 7.91 |
Max Run-up | 25,593.21 | 20.38 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,797.16 | 1.44 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,201,200.70 | 1,201.20 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.299 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.76 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.524 | 3.245 | 1.714 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 1,078.34 | 665.31 | 413.02 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 165 | 85 | 80 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 88 | 50 | 38 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 77 | 35 | 42 | |||
Percent Profitable | 53.33 | 58.82 | 47.50 | |||
Avg Trade | 155.08 | 1.86 | 234.58 | 2.74 | 70.60 | 0.93 |
Avg Winning Trade | 481.56 | 6.55 | 576.39 | 6.90 | 356.80 | 6.09 |
Avg Losing Trade | 218.05 | 3.49 | 253.71 | 3.20 | 188.34 | 3.73 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.208 | 2.272 | 1.894 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1,389.98 | 10.03 | 1,389.98 | 10.03 | 895.18 | 7.40 |
Largest Losing Trade | 610.89 | 4.48 | 610.89 | 4.48 | 596.13 | 4.48 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 39 | 48 | 29 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 42 | 53 | 29 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 35 | 40 | 30 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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