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BOTIFY AVAX 1H

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BOTIFY AVAX 1H

@


1 hour

by will1310 - April 24, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 1 hour ago

476.76%

Net Profit

80.33%

Win Rate

300

Total Closed Trades

2.224

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

172.32% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-11-16 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.31
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.87
  • Calmar: -0.86
  • Longest DD Days: 111.00
  • Volatility: 1.07
  • Skew: 5.78
  • Kurtosis: 54.44
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.17
  • Expected Yearly: 2.01
  • Kelly Criterion: 43.66
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.03
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.10
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-12 06:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 20
  • Number Winning Trades 241
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 59
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.86
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 2.19
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.54
  • Common Sense Ratio: 2.19
  • Tail Ratio: 1.43
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 19.98
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.79
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 1.87

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
CAGR 0.53%
Sharpe Ratio 0.305
Sortino Ratio 0.866
Profit Factor 2.224
Maximum Drawdown 36.87%
Volatility 1.07%
Percent Profitable 80.33%

The strategy demonstrates substantial potential with an outstanding 80.33% win rate and a profit factor of 2.224, indicating solid profit generation with a substantial margin over losses. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.305 is below the threshold for what is considered good in crypto trading, suggesting concerns in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 36.87% lies within acceptable limits but indicates room for improvement, particularly concerning volatility management.

Strategy Viability

Bearing in mind the data provided, the strategy shows potential for real-world trading owing to its high win rate and profit generation abilities. However, the lower risk-adjusted returns and higher volatility suggest that while the strategy is effective during certain market conditions, more stability is required for challenging periods. The strategy should be tested across varying crypto market cycles to establish its adaptability and potential for sustained viability.

Risk Management

The current risk management framework results in an impressive maximum drawdown of 36.87%, just below the 40% threshold, indicating reasonable risk controls. Nevertheless, optimization opportunities include:

  • Reducing leverage to better manage drawdowns and volatility exposure.
  • Implementing more adaptive stop-loss and take-profit strategies to balance risk and reward dynamically.
  • Increasing diversification of asset selection to mitigate individual asset risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and resilience, consider exploring the following options:

  • Optimize key parameters and adapt leveraged positions for better drawdown management.
  • Incorporate additional indicators, such as volatility measures or trend-following signals, to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct stress tests and forward-testing across multiple time frames to confirm robustness under different market conditions.
  • Use lower leverage ratios to decrease exposure to sharp market movements, thus reducing maximum drawdowns.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy has strong attributes, such as a high win rate and favorable profit factor, indicative of its capability to generate returns. Despite this, the below-optimal Sharpe ratio and significant volatility highlight areas needing attention. Improved risk management and strategy optimization are advisable to address these elements and safeguard prolonged success.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications and enhanced testing to solidify the strategy’s robustness and risk management. Focus on improving the Sharpe ratio and adapting leverage to create a more resilient and efficient trading strategy.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?
☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-2.94%-11.98%
2021-3.57%0.75%0.12%0.70%0.00%0.12%-6.42%-3.38%0.09%1.86%-6.16%-3.21%
20220.01%0.36%1.23%-9.69%0.19%-0.33%6.78%0.35%13.03%20.30%6.16%6.42%
202315.63%2.13%1.77%6.24%5.02%32.20%0.68%0.00%-18.95%11.66%8.24%51.42%
20243.55%34.77%-2.44%0.55%13.39%-6.11%3.14%30.85%-0.62%-14.79%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

AVAX

Base Currency

70

Number of Trades

43.34%

Cumulative Returns

78.57%

Win Rate

2024-04-09

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

23.64%

30 Days

36.9%

60 Days

20.13%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit1522.19304.441522.19304.440.00.0
Gross Profit2310.14462.032310.14462.030.00.0
Gross Loss787.95157.59787.95157.590.00.0
Commission Paid89.7489.740.0
Buy & Hold Return5879.751175.95
Max Equity Run-up1960.4285.91
Max Drawdown291.3936.87
Max Contracts Held444.0444.00.0
Total Closed Trades230.0230.00.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades186.0186.00.0
Number Losing Trades44.044.00.0
Percent Profitable80.8780.87
Avg P&l6.621.566.621.56
Avg Winning Trade12.422.5912.422.59
Avg Losing Trade17.912.8117.912.81
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6940.694
Largest Winning Trade477.43477.43
Largest Winning Trade Percent36.7636.76
Largest Losing Trade85.9885.98
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.227.22
Avg # Bars In Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades15.015.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.314
Sortino Ratio0.962
Profit Factor2.9322.9320.0
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit2383.81476.762383.81476.760.00.0
Gross Profit4330.9866.184330.9866.180.00.0
Gross Loss1947.08389.421947.08389.420.00.0
Commission Paid167.93167.930.0
Buy & Hold Return2523.21504.64
Max Equity Run-up2661.8289.23
Max Drawdown678.7236.87
Max Contracts Held444.0444.00.0
Total Closed Trades300.0300.00.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades241.0241.00.0
Number Losing Trades59.059.00.0
Percent Profitable80.3380.33
Avg P&l7.951.557.951.55
Avg Winning Trade17.972.6217.972.62
Avg Losing Trade33.02.8133.02.81
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5450.545
Largest Winning Trade737.05737.05
Largest Winning Trade Percent36.7636.76
Largest Losing Trade230.77230.77
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.227.22
Avg # Bars In Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.014.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.014.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.305
Sortino Ratio0.866
Profit Factor2.2242.2240.0
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
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