Golden Range [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [57b55135]
🛡️ GOLDENRANGE LDOUSDT 15M 17.12.2024
@bomike15
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2022-12-07 07:45:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.30
- Sortino Ratio: 0.74
- Calmar: -1.22
- Longest DD Days: 65.00
- Volatility: 144.99
- Skew: 0.28
- Kurtosis: -0.94
- Expected Daily: 1.38
- Expected Monthly: 33.41
- Expected Yearly: 3,079.35
- Kelly Criterion: 17.93
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -10.34
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -13.02
- Last Trade Date: 2025-02-24 22:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 60
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 63
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.22
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.57
- Payoff Ratio: 1.59
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.57
- Tail Ratio: 1.56
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.11
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.26
- Serenity Index: 2.07
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | 215.77% |
Annualized Return (CAGR) | 67.82% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.303 |
Profit Factor | 1.392 |
Maximum Drawdown | -57.61% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 144.99% |
Win Rate | 48.78% |
The strategy shows a solid cumulative net profit of 215.77% and a remarkable CAGR of 67.82%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.303 indicates a need for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, especially for crypto. The average drawdown figure of -57.61% suggests potential vulnerabilities during downturns. While the win rate is close to 50%, the overall risk management could be more robust in balancing risk versus reward.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy has shown potential, particularly with an impressive cumulative net profit and high annualized return. However, the Sharpe Ratio is below the satisfactory threshold of 0.5, which brings the risk-adjusted performance into question. Additionally, a maximum drawdown of 57.61% is relatively high and may pose risks under volatile market conditions. It would be beneficial to test the strategy over different market conditions to ensure consistency of performance.
Risk Management
The current strategy could benefit from a more rigorous risk management approach. The high volatility (144.99%) indicates a need to mitigate daily price swings. Recommended approaches include:
- Reducing leverage to lower the maximum drawdown below the safe limit of 40%.
- Implementing tighter stop-loss orders to manage downside risk effectively.
- Utilizing trailing stops to protect accumulated profits.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the strategy’s parameters to achieve a higher Sharpe Ratio and reduce maximum drawdowns.
- Add more sophisticated indicators that account for market trend changes and volatility to improve entry and exit points.
- Perform comprehensive out-of-sample testing to scrutinize strategy performance in varied market states.
- Expand the asset selection to include a portfolio of cryptocurrencies, which could diversify and potentially reduce risk.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases impressive profitability and solid annualized returns but struggles with high drawdown and sub-optimal risk management. The potential exists for it to be successful with some optimizations and a renewed focus on risk control, particularly reducing leverage.
Recommendation: Modify and improve the strategy's risk management framework while conducting further testing and optimization. These changes can help ensure more robust performance and adaptability to various market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.04% |
2023 | 9.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -21.93% | 0.00% | 12.52% | 0.00% | -15.13% | -3.81% | 0.00% |
2024 | 0.00% | -25.98% | 34.32% | 0.00% | 45.72% | 31.19% | -10.44% | 0.00% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
LDO
Base Currency
4
Number of Trades
10.78%
Cumulative Returns
50%
Win Rate
2024-12-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0%
30 Days
21.56%
60 Days
10.78%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 190886.7 | 190.89 | 62761.75 | 62.76 | 128124.95 | 128.12 |
Gross Profit | 684402.53 | 684.4 | 317039.82 | 317.04 | 367362.71 | 367.36 |
Gross Loss | 493515.84 | 493.52 | 254278.08 | 254.28 | 239237.76 | 239.24 |
Commission Paid | 32698.46 | 20664.09 | 12034.37 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 108751.18 | 108.75 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 366879.87 | 88.37 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 107566.7 | 57.61 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 903864.0 | 595954.0 | 903864.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 119.0 | 76.0 | 43.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 58.0 | 36.0 | 22.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 61.0 | 40.0 | 21.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 48.74 | 47.37 | 51.16 | |||
Avg P&l | 1604.09 | 0.43 | 825.81 | 0.28 | 2979.65 | 0.7 |
Avg Winning Trade | 11800.04 | 3.21 | 8806.66 | 2.66 | 16698.3 | 4.11 |
Avg Losing Trade | 8090.42 | 2.21 | 6356.95 | 1.85 | 11392.27 | 2.88 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.459 | 1.385 | 1.466 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 49337.14 | 19686.69 | 49337.14 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.01 | 7.15 | 8.01 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 54278.44 | 15229.65 | 54278.44 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.03 | 4.02 | 5.03 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 24.0 | 28.0 | 18.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 29.0 | 36.0 | 19.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.306 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.746 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.387 | 1.247 | 1.536 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 215769.55 | 215.77 | 87644.6 | 87.64 | 128124.95 | 128.12 |
Gross Profit | 766291.44 | 766.29 | 398928.73 | 398.93 | 367362.71 | 367.36 |
Gross Loss | 550521.89 | 550.52 | 311284.14 | 311.28 | 239237.76 | 239.24 |
Commission Paid | 35728.72 | 23694.35 | 12034.37 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -198.68 | -0.2 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 366879.87 | 88.37 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 122105.02 | 57.61 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 903864.0 | 660865.0 | 903864.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 123.0 | 80.0 | 43.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 60.0 | 38.0 | 22.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 63.0 | 42.0 | 21.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 48.78 | 47.5 | 51.16 | |||
Avg P&l | 1754.22 | 0.45 | 1095.56 | 0.31 | 2979.65 | 0.7 |
Avg Winning Trade | 12771.52 | 3.26 | 10498.12 | 2.76 | 16698.3 | 4.11 |
Avg Losing Trade | 8738.44 | 2.23 | 7411.53 | 1.9 | 11392.27 | 2.88 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.462 | 1.416 | 1.466 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 49337.14 | 48267.38 | 49337.14 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.01 | 7.15 | 8.01 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 54278.44 | 30413.71 | 54278.44 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.03 | 4.02 | 5.03 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 25.0 | 28.0 | 18.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 29.0 | 35.0 | 19.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 20.0 | 22.0 | 18.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.303 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.742 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.392 | 1.282 | 1.536 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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