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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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    • Documentation
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bigj_31180 stiffsurge avaxusdt 45m 22.07.2025

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @bigj_31180
● Live

Stiff Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4f9dc99b]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE AVAXUSDT 45M 22.07.2025

Trading Pair
AVAX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-16.12% Updated 2 hours ago
Total Return Primary
977899.27%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.15%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
71.67%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.17
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-809964.12%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1033
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Oct 3, 2021
1,424
Days
1033
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 26, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-10-03 00:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.59
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.32
  • Calmar: -8.37
  • Longest DD Days: 219.00
  • Volatility: 102.79
  • Skew: 0.40
  • Kurtosis: -0.14
  • Expected Daily: 0.88
  • Expected Monthly: 20.08
  • Expected Yearly: 798.51
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.36
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -9.20
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -11.03
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-26 20:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 518
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 515
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -8.37
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.20
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.19
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.20
  • Tail Ratio: 1.44
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.55
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.17
  • Serenity Index: 8,491.23

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%27.62%12.56%-9.06%
202248.34%17.66%-17.11%38.52%0.06%14.61%12.71%51.99%-32.25%101.71%-30.21%33.15%
202310.39%69.07%-15.72%-1.37%-14.02%-2.26%-4.52%53.68%-52.75%120.92%-17.14%37.15%
202478.82%76.92%-8.64%9.96%66.39%82.11%36.17%109.74%42.81%27.99%48.82%-16.80%
202572.28%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

41

Number of Trades

-9.74%

Cumulative Returns

43.9%

Win Rate

2025-07-22

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-11.47%

30 Days

55.06%

60 Days

117.28%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-5e-080.0
Net Profit178786338.951787863.3965681641.88656816.42113104697.061131046.97
Gross Profit563297477.985632974.78303738310.163037383.1259559167.822595591.68
Gross Loss384511139.043845111.39238056668.282380566.68146454470.751464544.71
Commission Paid22549423.9513641222.898908201.06
Buy & Hold Return-6856.88-68.57
Max Equity Run-up215124257.7100.0
Max Drawdown43516155.8871.67
Max Contracts Held28758063.028758063.024371989.0
Total Closed Trades1009.0494.0515.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades510.0243.0267.0
Number Losing Trades499.0251.0248.0
Percent Profitable50.5549.1951.84
Avg P&l177191.610.49132958.790.41219620.770.57
Avg Winning Trade1104504.863.691249951.893.69972131.713.7
Avg Losing Trade770563.42.78948432.942.77590542.222.8
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4331.3181.646
Largest Winning Trade18717403.1918717403.1918676695.93
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.695.385.69
Largest Losing Trade17442491.6317442491.6314429424.08
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.843.843.77
Avg # Bars In Trades24.022.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.023.027.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.021.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.622
Sortino Ratio2.642
Profit Factor1.4651.2761.772
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit97789927.38977899.2741074695.79410746.9656715231.59567152.32
Gross Profit671455366.426714553.66392133078.863921330.79279322287.562793222.88
Gross Loss573665439.045736654.39351058383.073510583.83222607055.972226070.56
Commission Paid30270208.5619095387.8211174820.74
Buy & Hold Return-6592.39-65.92
Max Equity Run-up232417761.09100.0
Max Drawdown133727817.3971.67
Max Contracts Held42407882.042407882.030061638.0
Total Closed Trades1033.0509.0524.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades518.0249.0269.0
Number Losing Trades515.0260.0255.0
Percent Profitable50.1548.9251.34
Avg P&l94665.950.4680696.850.39108235.170.54
Avg Winning Trade1296245.883.691574831.643.681038372.823.71
Avg Losing Trade1113913.472.791350224.552.76872968.852.81
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1641.1661.189
Largest Winning Trade20544193.4120544193.4118676695.93
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.695.385.69
Largest Losing Trade26179646.4626179646.4620377522.61
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.843.843.77
Avg # Bars In Trades24.022.026.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.023.027.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.021.024.0
Sharpe Ratio0.59
Sortino Ratio2.316
Profit Factor1.171.1171.255
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Sharpe Ratio 0.593
Profit Factor 1.184
Maximum Drawdown 71.67%
Volatility (Annualized) 102.73%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 495.5%
Percent Profitable 50.19%

The strategy demonstrates a commendable Sharpe Ratio of 0.593, indicating good risk-adjusted returns in the crypto market scenario. The profit factor of 1.184 suggests moderate profitability. However, the high maximum drawdown of 71.67% raises concerns. The annualized volatility is quite high, which signifies significant fluctuations in the trading outcomes. Nevertheless, the annualized return of 495.5% indicates strong growth potential.

Strategy Viability

The strategy appears promising but may require adjustments to be viable for real-world trading, primarily due to the high drawdown. Nonetheless, it does perform well in generating returns, which is a positive aspect. The moderately high Sharpe Ratio in conjunction with the historical performance suggests that with careful optimization, the strategy can potentially be aligned closer to market conditions that are expected to persist.

Risk Management

While the strategy shows characteristics of managing risk, the maximum drawdown indicates a need for refinement in this area. Some risk management insights include:

  • Adjusting leverage downwards to help control drawdowns and reduce exposure to extreme market movements.
  • Implementing tighter stop-loss limits to minimize potential losses on trades.
  • Employing dynamic position sizing according to market volatility to enhance capital preservation.

Improvement Suggestions

To further boost performance and ensure robustness, consider implementing the following enhancements:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to maintain returns while reducing drawdowns.
  • Utilize a broader array of technical indicators to refine trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing to check the durability of the strategy in various market contexts.
  • Evaluate incorporating a sophisticated risk management structure to curtail volatility and improve stability.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy displays substantial growth potential with significant returns. However, it requires adjustments to mitigate the high drawdowns and volatility observed. By refining risk management techniques and optimizing strategy components, it can evolve into a more robust trading strategy.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and make amendments as recommended. Focus on reducing drawdowns and configuring the strategy for better alignment with the prevailing market conditions, which should enhance its overall performance and reliability.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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