THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [eb1e7832]
🛡️ DEADZONE BTCUSDT 15MIN
@argus1231
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-23 01:45:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.53
- Sortino Ratio: 1.50
- Calmar: -7.33
- Longest DD Days: 30.00
- Volatility: 153.79
- Skew: 0.15
- Kurtosis: -1.20
- Expected Daily: 2.22
- Expected Monthly: 58.68
- Expected Yearly: 25,392.66
- Kelly Criterion: 8.86
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -10.37
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -13.73
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-05 02:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 180
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 182
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -7.33
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
- Payoff Ratio: 1.25
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
- Tail Ratio: 1.21
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.11
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.16
- Serenity Index: 2,893.49
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $84,816.14 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.562 |
Profit Factor | 1.38 |
Maximum Drawdown | 44.97% |
Volatility | 154.2% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 350.32% |
Win Rate | 50.42% |
The strategy shows a strong annualized return rate of 350.32%, with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.562, exceeding the good threshold for crypto markets, indicating effective risk-adjusted returns. While the high maximum drawdown of 44.97% slightly overshoots the ideal threshold, it suggests potential areas for risk management enhancement. Profitability is steady, reflected in a win rate of 50.42% and a Profit Factor of 1.38.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading with some refinement. It commands a compelling risk-adjusted return, evident from the Sharpe Ratio, and holds the potential to perform well if existing volatility conditions persist. Further analysis into market conditions can help ascertain optimal trading environments, enhancing its application.
Risk Management
While the strategy's performance is impressive, its risk management can be refined to curb potential large drawdowns:
- Reducing leverage can quickly help lower the maximum drawdown below the preferred 40% mark.
- Implementing tighter stop-loss mechanisms would constrain losses more effectively.
- Dynamic position sizing could help in adjusting exposure based on changing market volatility, aiding both risk reduction and profit maximization.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to balance between maximizing returns and minimizing drawdowns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine trade decisions, hence increasing accuracy.
- Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to validate robustness across various market conditions.
- Consider applying more sophisticated risk management strategies, such as stress testing and diversification of traded assets, to reduce unsystematic risk.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates promising results with a good Sharpe Ratio and substantial return potential. Despite facing higher-than-desirable drawdowns, the strategy's core performance metrics suggest viability. Therefore, addressing leverage and diversification will enhance resilience against volatility.
Recommendation: Proceed with targeted testing and optimization, especially thinking through extensive risk management adjustments and market condition evaluations to bolster its real-world application efficiency.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -13.42% | 40.66% | 12.76% | -18.83% | 20.14% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 38.57% | 62.80% | 20.15% | 66.67% | 28.81% | 16.12% | 15.85% | 24.55% | 25.00% | 19.80% | -33.55% | 25.43% |
2022 | 15.55% | 48.51% | 47.02% | -35.49% | 7.22% | 12.27% | 69.29% | 1.84% | -15.55% | 28.31% | -17.37% | 13.81% |
2021 | -6.75% | -14.33% | 12.95% | 46.14% | -2.96% | 3.26% | -6.36% | 17.58% | -3.41% | -16.46% | 36.71% | 18.76% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 64.14% | 31.54% | -0.87% | 19.25% | -23.06% | 17.73% | 19.52% | 11.59% | 50.23% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
65
Number of Trades
70.54%
Cumulative Returns
41.54%
Win Rate
2024-01-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0.1%
30 Days
34.18%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 44,943,174.25 USD | 44,943.17 | 44,943,174.25 USD | 44,943.17 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 142,288,513.47 | 142,288.51 | 142,288,513.47 | 142,288.51 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 97,345,339.22 | 97,345.34 | 97,345,339.22 | 97,345.34 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 65,790,632.28 | 99.85 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 22,582,622.76 | 44.97 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 503,376.15 | 503.38 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.597 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.928 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.462 | 1.462 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 27,246 | 27,246 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 19,600,450.23 | 19,600,450.23 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 297 | 297 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 153 | 153 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 144 | 144 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.52 | 51.52 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 151,323.82 | 0.36 | 151,323.82 | 0.36 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 929,990.28 | 1.63 | 929,990.28 | 1.63 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 676,009.30 | 0.98 | 676,009.30 | 0.98 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.376 | 1.376 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 9,630,433.36 | 4.38 | 9,630,433.36 | 4.38 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 4,419,866.50 | 3.50 | 4,419,866.50 | 3.50 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 68,130,581.89 USD | 68,130.58 | 68,130,581.89 USD | 68,130.58 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 322,335,249.13 | 322,335.25 | 322,335,249.13 | 322,335.25 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 254,204,667.25 | 254,204.67 | 254,204,667.25 | 254,204.67 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 94,491,775.07 | 99.90 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 33,592,901.83 | 44.97 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,268,778.02 | 1,268.78 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.534 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.499 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.268 | 1.268 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 27,246 | 27,246 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 42,654,865.75 | 42,654,865.75 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 362 | 362 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 180 | 180 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 182 | 182 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 49.72 | 49.72 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 188,206.03 | 0.31 | 188,206.03 | 0.31 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 1,790,751.38 | 1.63 | 1,790,751.38 | 1.63 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 1,396,728.94 | 0.99 | 1,396,728.94 | 0.99 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.282 | 1.282 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 13,500,370.25 | 4.38 | 13,500,370.25 | 4.38 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 9,761,356.39 | 3.50 | 9,761,356.39 | 3.50 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 22 | 22 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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