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DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
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aly8.8 stiffsurge solusdt 30m 03.12.2024

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CONFIRMATION BASED 30 minutes @aly8.8
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [653022ff]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE SOLUSDT 30M 03.12.2024

Trading Pair
SOL
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.3% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
29.97%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
44.92%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.396
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.08%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
325
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 7, 2021
1,469
Days
325
Trades
Last Trade
Jul 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-07-07 13:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.24
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.54
  • Calmar: -1.38
  • Longest DD Days: 69.00
  • Volatility: 9.07
  • Skew: 0.64
  • Kurtosis: -0.21
  • Expected Daily: 0.08
  • Expected Monthly: 1.70
  • Expected Yearly: 22.44
  • Kelly Criterion: 12.95
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.58
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.76
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-07-11 02:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 146
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 179
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.38
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.40
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.71
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.40
  • Tail Ratio: 1.88
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.33
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.44
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 4.56

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-0.11%5.58%2.19%1.11%0.22%1.07%
2022-0.61%-1.21%0.13%-0.47%0.00%-0.65%0.63%-0.45%-1.31%-0.59%0.94%-0.68%
20234.85%-0.77%-2.01%-0.45%-0.58%0.72%0.10%0.14%0.49%0.68%4.92%3.83%
20240.65%0.90%1.87%0.11%1.16%0.15%0.19%1.49%-0.36%1.27%1.54%-2.04%
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

48

Number of Trades

0.01%

Cumulative Returns

37.5%

Win Rate

2024-12-03

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-0.08%

30 Days

57.42%

60 Days

0.5%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit29885.6729.8929885.6729.890.00.0
Gross Profit93616.4993.6293616.4993.620.00.0
Gross Loss63730.8263.7363730.8263.730.00.0
Commission Paid2557.642557.640.0
Buy & Hold Return540153.27540.15
Max Equity Run-up32213.7524.61
Max Drawdown5562.34.99
Max Contracts Held1059.01059.00.0
Total Closed Trades278.0278.00.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades128.0128.00.0
Number Losing Trades150.0150.00.0
Percent Profitable46.0446.04
Avg P&l107.50.94107.50.94
Avg Winning Trade731.386.42731.386.42
Avg Losing Trade424.873.73424.873.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.7211.721
Largest Winning Trade2059.712059.71
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.4117.41
Largest Losing Trade1374.891374.89
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.1812.18
Avg # Bars In Trades45.045.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades56.056.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades36.036.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.303
Sortino Ratio0.81
Profit Factor1.4691.469
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l-116.66-0.09
Net Profit29972.9929.9729972.9929.970.00.0
Gross Profit105655.78105.66105655.78105.660.00.0
Gross Loss75682.7975.6875682.7975.680.00.0
Commission Paid3055.053055.050.0
Buy & Hold Return361352.55361.35
Max Equity Run-up34061.5525.66
Max Drawdown5562.34.99
Max Contracts Held1059.01059.00.0
Total Closed Trades325.0325.00.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades146.0146.00.0
Number Losing Trades179.0179.00.0
Percent Profitable44.9244.92
Avg P&l92.220.8192.220.81
Avg Winning Trade723.676.26723.676.26
Avg Losing Trade422.813.63422.813.63
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.7121.712
Largest Winning Trade2059.712059.71
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.4117.41
Largest Losing Trade1374.891374.89
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.1812.18
Avg # Bars In Trades47.047.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades59.059.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades37.037.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.238
Sortino Ratio0.539
Profit Factor1.3961.396
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 8.77%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 7.1%
Sharpe Ratio 0.238
Profit Factor 1.36
Maximum Drawdown 499 (or 4.99%)
Volatility (Annualized) 9.16

The strategy has a modest cumulative return of 8.77% with an annualized return of 7.1%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.238 indicates that the strategy underperforms in terms of risk-adjusted returns considering that we target above 0.5 for crypto markets. A profit factor of 1.36 is above 1, suggesting profitability, but could be higher for stronger performance. Maximum drawdown is reported as 499, which may be a typographical error given typical conventions; assuming it means 4.99%, this is quite reasonable.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows promise but needs improvements to ensure real-world viability. While it achieves profitability with a profit factor of 1.36, the low Sharpe ratio indicates insufficient returns for the risk taken. Attention should be paid to the underlying market conditions where the strategy can perform optimally and seek to adapt it to more volatile conditions or larger drawdowns.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates moderate risk management standards with low volatility (9.16). Yet, improvement areas exist:

  • Consider implementing dynamic position sizing to adapt exposure during volatile periods.
  • Additional stop-loss mechanisms could be adopted to minimize potential losses further.
  • Diversifying across various crypto assets could help mitigate outlier risks and improve overall performance stability.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy parameters to increase profitability while keeping within an acceptable drawdown range.
  • Expand the range of indicators used for entry and exit signals to capture more favorable trading opportunities.
  • Conduct rigorous backtesting, including out-of-sample tests and forward-testing, to validate the strategy under different market conditions.
  • Reduce leverage to safely decrease shock susceptibility and lower the potential for significant drawdowns.
  • Integrate Value-at-Risk (VaR) models to manage potential undue risks and evaluate the financial buffer efficiency.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy displays some potential with profitable outcomes but needs substantial enhancements to improve risk-adjusted return metrics. Without further refinement, particularly regarding risk management and parameter optimization, fully realizing its effectiveness in various market scenarios can be challenging.

Recommendation: Commit to refining and optimizing this strategy. Begin with backtesting enhancements, strategy parameter adjustment, and stronger risk management. By leveraging these refined methods, the strategy could achieve greater success and reliability in real-world cryptomarket applications.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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