Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [653022ff]
🛡️ STIFFSURGE SOLUSDT 30M 03.12.2024
@aly8.8
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-07 13:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.29
- Sortino Ratio: 0.71
- Calmar: -1.61
- Longest DD Days: 69.00
- Volatility: 9.25
- Skew: 0.61
- Kurtosis: -0.31
- Expected Daily: 0.09
- Expected Monthly: 1.98
- Expected Yearly: 26.46
- Kelly Criterion: 14.98
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.59
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.76
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 01:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 138
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 163
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.61
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.48
- Payoff Ratio: 1.74
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.48
- Tail Ratio: 1.91
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.28
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.39
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.02
- Serenity Index: 5.68
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance aspects merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 30.61% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 7.54% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.278 |
Profit Factor | 1.44 |
Maximum Drawdown | -4.99% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 9.22% |
The strategy showcases a modest cumulative return of 30.61% and an annualized return of 7.54%. However, the Sharpe ratio at 0.278 indicates lower than optimal risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 1.44 suggests a reasonably effective but room for improvement ratio of profits to losses. Most encouragingly, the maximum drawdown of -4.99% is well within acceptable levels, highlighting robust downside protection.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy is moderately viable for real-world trading under current conditions. While the maximum drawdown is impressively low, the lower Sharpe and Calmar ratios point towards a need for improved risk-adjusted performance. It's essential to identify the specific market conditions under which this strategy performs optimally to assess its viability over time. Comparatively, the strategy lags against industry benchmarks as it stands, presenting an opportunity for refinement.
Risk Management
The strategy employs effective risk management techniques as evident by the very low maximum drawdown and absence of margin calls. However, further enhancements can still be pursued. Potential areas for development include:
- Introducing dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure in response to fluctuating market volatility.
- Incorporating more nuanced stop-loss mechanisms to further limit potential losses and protect gains.
- Diversifying trading assets to mitigate unsystematic risk and enhance portfolio resilience.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy's performance and robustness, consider implementing the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to improve both returns and risk-adjusted metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio.
- Incorporate a range of technical indicators to refine trade entry and exit decisions.
- Conduct extensive out-of-sample and forward testing to validate the strategy’s robustness against varying market conditions.
- Consider reducing leverage slightly to decrease potential drawdowns while still maintaining strong return potential.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy displays a combination of strong downside protection and modest returns. Despite the lower Sharpe ratio, the low maximum drawdown and effective risk management benchmark it as a foundation for development and enhancement. By addressing identified weaknesses and optimizing current parameters, there's substantial room to boost its viability in different market scenarios.
Recommendation: Proceed with cautious optimism towards ongoing refinement. Implement suggested improvements, particularly focusing on optimizing risk-adjusted performance, to enhance the strategy’s robustness and adaptability across diverse trading conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.11% | 5.58% | 2.19% | 1.11% | 0.22% | 1.07% |
2022 | -0.61% | -1.21% | 0.13% | -0.47% | 0.00% | -0.65% | 0.63% | -0.45% | -1.31% | -0.59% | 0.94% | -0.68% |
2023 | 4.85% | -0.77% | -2.01% | -0.45% | -0.58% | 0.72% | 0.10% | 0.14% | 0.49% | 0.68% | 4.92% | 3.83% |
2024 | 0.65% | 0.90% | 1.87% | 0.11% | 1.16% | 0.15% | 0.19% | 1.49% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
SOL
Base Currency
24
Number of Trades
1.95%
Cumulative Returns
41.67%
Win Rate
2024-12-03
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
2.47%
30 Days
3.12%
60 Days
3.79%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 29885.67 | 29.89 | 29885.67 | 29.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 93616.49 | 93.62 | 93616.49 | 93.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 63730.82 | 63.73 | 63730.82 | 63.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 2557.64 | 2557.64 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 540153.27 | 540.15 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 32213.75 | 24.61 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 5562.3 | 4.99 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1059.0 | 1059.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 278.0 | 278.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 128.0 | 128.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 150.0 | 150.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.04 | 46.04 | ||||
Avg P&l | 107.5 | 0.94 | 107.5 | 0.94 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 731.38 | 6.42 | 731.38 | 6.42 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 424.87 | 3.73 | 424.87 | 3.73 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.721 | 1.721 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 2059.71 | 2059.71 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 17.41 | 17.41 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 1374.89 | 1374.89 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 12.18 | 12.18 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 56.0 | 56.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 36.0 | 36.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.303 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.81 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.469 | 1.469 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -254.42 | -0.19 | ||||
Net Profit | 32667.9 | 32.67 | 32667.9 | 32.67 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 101614.12 | 101.61 | 101614.12 | 101.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 68946.22 | 68.95 | 68946.22 | 68.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 2803.34 | 2803.34 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 308724.03 | 308.72 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 34061.55 | 25.66 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 5562.3 | 4.99 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1059.0 | 1059.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 301.0 | 301.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 138.0 | 138.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 163.0 | 163.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 45.85 | 45.85 | ||||
Avg P&l | 108.53 | 0.94 | 108.53 | 0.94 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 736.33 | 6.39 | 736.33 | 6.39 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 422.98 | 3.68 | 422.98 | 3.68 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.741 | 1.741 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 2059.71 | 2059.71 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 17.41 | 17.41 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 1374.89 | 1374.89 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 12.18 | 12.18 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 46.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 59.0 | 59.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 35.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.29 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.707 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.474 | 1.474 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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