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aly8.8 stiffsurge solusdt 30m 03.12.2024

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CONFIRMATION BASED 30 minutes @aly8.8
● Live

Silent Surge by @DaviddTech 🤖 [653022ff]

🛡️ STIFFSURGE SOLUSDT 30M 03.12.2024

Trading Pair
SOL
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-1.89% Updated 12 hours ago
Total Return Primary
29.01%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
43.78%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.337
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
4.64%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
370
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 7, 2021
1,658
Days
370
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 14, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-07-07 13:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.20
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.42
  • Calmar: -1.19
  • Longest DD Days: 69.00
  • Volatility: 8.77
  • Skew: 0.68
  • Kurtosis: -0.10
  • Expected Daily: 0.07
  • Expected Monthly: 1.46
  • Expected Yearly: 19.02
  • Kelly Criterion: 11.12
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.58
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.74
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-14 07:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 162
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 208
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.19
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.34
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.72
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.34
  • Tail Ratio: 1.84
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.29
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.37
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 3.96

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.01%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+3.17%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2.23%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-1.68%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-11.70%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-26.95%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-12.03%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-11.75%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
43.8%
Total Trades
370
Cumulative
-1.94%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
255.44%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.88%
-1.09%
Simple P&L
-6.27%
+54.13%
Simple P&L
+7.45%
+21.71%
Simple P&L
-5.46%
+11.04%
Simple P&L
+0.43%
+2.01%
Simple P&L
-0.84%
+10.74%
Simple P&L
2022
+3.75%
-6.13%
Simple P&L
-1.40%
-11.93%
Simple P&L
+5.71%
+0.97%
Simple P&L
-1.26%
-4.67%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-2.36%
-6.62%
Simple P&L
+4.45%
+6.37%
Simple P&L
-3.74%
-4.46%
Simple P&L
+0.33%
-12.89%
Simple P&L
-0.16%
-6.01%
Simple P&L
-3.93%
+9.33%
Simple P&L
+4.71%
-6.71%
Simple P&L
2023
-2.80%
+46.40%
Simple P&L
-0.56%
-7.33%
Simple P&L
+2.96%
-19.56%
Simple P&L
-3.88%
-4.51%
Simple P&L
+5.69%
-5.89%
Simple P&L
-3.88%
+7.04%
Simple P&L
+2.00%
+0.74%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+1.37%
Simple P&L
+1.52%
+4.88%
Simple P&L
-0.92%
+6.99%
Simple P&L
-1.53%
+48.21%
Simple P&L
-3.65%
+38.09%
Simple P&L
2024
+5.84%
+6.48%
Simple P&L
-0.22%
+8.91%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+18.18%
Simple P&L
-2.25%
+1.21%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+11.70%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
+1.55%
Simple P&L
+0.99%
+2.00%
Simple P&L
+0.86%
+14.60%
Simple P&L
-1.01%
-3.45%
Simple P&L
+3.21%
+12.73%
Simple P&L
-6.17%
+15.20%
Simple P&L
+4.03%
-20.27%
Simple P&L
2025
-1.02%
+20.35%
Simple P&L
-1.61%
-5.33%
Simple P&L
+0.02%
+21.78%
Simple P&L
+1.93%
-18.34%
Simple P&L
-3.31%
+4.70%
Simple P&L
+2.75%
-4.06%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

370

Number of Trades

-1.94%

Cumulative Returns

43.78%

Win Rate

2024-12-03

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-11.7%

30 Days

-12.03%

60 Days

-26.95%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit29885.6729.8929885.6729.890.00.0
Gross Profit93616.4993.6293616.4993.620.00.0
Gross Loss63730.8263.7363730.8263.730.00.0
Expected Payoff107.5107.50.0
Commission Paid2557.642557.640.0
Buy & Hold Return540153.27540.15
Buy & Hold % Gain540.15
Strategy Outperformance-510267.61
Max Contracts Held10591059.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)7.927.920.0
Return On Initial Capital29.8929.890.0
Account Size Required5562.3
Return On Account Size Required537.29537.290.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)22 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2758.972.76
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)6091.776.09
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)32213.7524.61
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)32.21
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)41 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1810.941.81
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown5.375.370.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)5432.335.43
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)5562.34.99
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5.56
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2173.672173.670.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.22.20.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.162.160.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades278.0278.00.0
Number Winning Trades128.0128.00.0
Number Losing Trades150.0150.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.0446.04
Avg P&l107.50.94107.50.94
Avg Winning Trade731.386.42731.386.42
Avg Losing Trade424.873.73424.873.73
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.7211.721
Largest Winning Trade2059.712059.71
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.4117.41
Largest Losing Trade1374.891374.89
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.1812.18
Avg # Bars In Trades45.045.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades56.056.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades36.036.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.303
Sortino Ratio0.81
Profit Factor1.4691.469
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit29011.1829.0129011.1829.010.00.0
Gross Profit115172.89115.17115172.89115.170.00.0
Gross Loss86161.7186.1686161.7186.160.00.0
Expected Payoff78.4178.410.0
Commission Paid3525.623525.620.0
Buy & Hold Return278516.6278.52
Buy & Hold % Gain278.52
Strategy Outperformance-249505.42
Max Contracts Held10591059.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)5.745.740.0
Return On Initial Capital29.0129.010.0
Account Size Required5562.3
Return On Account Size Required521.57521.570.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)2950.472.95
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)6091.776.09
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)35475.1726.44
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)35.48
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)48 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2124.72.12
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown5.225.220.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)5432.335.43
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)5562.34.99
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)5.56
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss2110.072110.070.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.791.790.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.61.60.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades370.0370.00.0
Number Winning Trades162.0162.00.0
Number Losing Trades208.0208.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable43.7843.78
Avg P&l78.410.6978.410.69
Avg Winning Trade710.946.08710.946.08
Avg Losing Trade414.243.51414.243.51
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.7161.716
Largest Winning Trade2059.712059.71
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.4117.41
Largest Losing Trade1374.891374.89
Largest Losing Trade Percent12.1812.18
Avg # Bars In Trades47.047.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades60.060.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades38.038.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.198
Sortino Ratio0.419
Profit Factor1.3371.337
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 29.01%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 5.79%
Sharpe Ratio 0.198
Profit Factor 1.34
Maximum Drawdown -5.56%
Volatility (Annualized) 8.77%

The strategy shows a modest cumulative return of 29.01% and an annualized return of 5.79%, which, while not exceptionally high, is a positive outcome. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.198 suggests that the risk-adjusted returns are below the desired level for crypto trading strategies. The Profit Factor of 1.34 is satisfactory, indicating that the strategy is profitable. Notably, the maximum drawdown of -5.56% is well within acceptable limits, showcasing good downside protection.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy is viable but may require adjustments for better real-world application. The low maximum drawdown is particularly attractive, suggesting that the strategy has strong defensive attributes. However, the strategy currently underperforms compared to the buy-and-hold benchmark, which suggests that its applicability might be limited to specific market conditions. To enhance its viability, it's important to identify the type of market conditions where it excels and assess the likelihood of these conditions persisting.

Risk Management

The strategy employs adequate risk management techniques, as evidenced by the low maximum drawdown and absence of margin calls. However, there are opportunities for refinement:

  • Consider implementing enhanced stop-loss mechanisms to further mitigate potential losses.
  • Explore dynamic position sizing to better manage market volatility.
  • Incorporate diversification efforts to spread risk across a broader range of trades.

Improvement Suggestions

To unlock the full potential of this strategy and improve its performance metrics, consider the following suggestions:

  • Optimize entry and exit parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio and overall returns.
  • Employ a combination of technical indicators to refine trading signals.
  • Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing to ensure robustness across various market conditions.
  • Explore reducing leverage slightly to further decrease the max drawdown and enhance stability.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates acceptable performance with adequate downside protection and a comfortable drawdown level. While the risk-adjusted returns could benefit from enhancements, the strategy's strong defensive qualities are commendable. Overall, there's room for optimization to better compete with industry benchmarks and maximize profitability.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and optimization of the strategy. Implement the suggested improvements to enhance robustness and ensure the strategy is well-equipped to thrive in diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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