Trigger Happy 2 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [3401baa4]
🛡️ TRIGGERHAPPY2 BTCUSDT 15M 7.05 @zalmoksis
SCALPING
15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-31 05:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.44
- Sortino Ratio: 1.76
- Calmar: -2.06
- Longest DD Days: 84.00
- Volatility: 49.60
- Skew: 1.44
- Kurtosis: 5.26
- Expected Daily: 0.53
- Expected Monthly: 11.80
- Expected Yearly: 281.14
- Kelly Criterion: 15.15
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.10
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.00
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-16 16:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 204
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 239
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.06
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.49
- Payoff Ratio: 1.75
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.49
- Tail Ratio: 1.86
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.50
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.38
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.06
- Serenity Index: 37.46
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 899.63% |
Cumulative Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) | 58.53% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.447 |
Profit Factor | 1.498 |
Maximum Drawdown | 28.48% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 49.78% |
Percent Profitable | 46.24% |
The strategy achieves a notable net profit of 899.63% with a commendable CAGR of 58.53%. Despite the Sharpe ratio being slightly below the desirable threshold in crypto, it's promising given the high market volatility. The maximum drawdown of 28.48% remains well within acceptable bounds, signifying effective risk control despite a potentially challenging environment.
Strategy Viability
The strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading, especially within its targeted market conditions. Although the Sharpe ratio is slightly below 0.5, the high profit factor and relatively controlled drawdown suggest potential for consistent performance. Recognition of the specific market scenarios where the strategy performs best would aid in its predictable execution.
Risk Management
The strategy employs adequate risk management techniques, apparent from its controlled drawdown and absence of margin calls. However, volatility remains high, indicating that improvements can be made in managing sudden market fluctuations. Suggestions for enhancement include:
- Implementing dynamic leverage adjustments to reduce drawdown risks.
- Adding robust stop-loss measures to limit overexposures.
- Enhancing position sizing strategies aligned with volatility assessments.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy's performance and resilience, the following measures are recommended:
- Optimize key parameters to enhance returns without increasing drawdown.
- Expand the suite of technical indicators to refine trade signals.
- Conduct comprehensive scenario analysis to test robustness under varying market conditions.
- Integrate advanced risk metrics such as stress testing and Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculations.
Final Opinion
In summary, this trading strategy demonstrates a compelling combination of profitability and controlled risk, making it promising for crypto markets. Although there's potential for improvement in risk-adjusted performance and volatility management, the overall strategy has a sound foundation.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy while actively working toward optimizing parameters and enhancing risk management practices. Engaging in further testing and refinement will ensure its robustness across diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.02% | 40.81% | -9.26% | -0.72% | 16.54% | 26.65% | 10.77% | 10.89% | 6.76% | 7.33% |
2021 | 6.51% | 27.85% | 8.19% | 2.13% | -9.27% | 6.37% | 9.51% | -4.91% | -1.68% | 1.02% | 1.97% | 11.43% |
2022 | 4.14% | 9.03% | 2.93% | 1.13% | -1.32% | -0.09% | 6.34% | -2.53% | 4.00% | -2.28% | -3.17% | -1.37% |
2023 | 7.66% | 2.86% | 8.93% | 3.92% | -1.09% | -1.72% | 0.38% | -3.44% | 2.73% | 4.53% | 4.33% | 8.49% |
2024 | 0.95% | 4.04% | -2.70% | 3.36% | 8.15% | -1.58% | -2.16% | -2.08% | 0.77% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
91
Number of Trades
0.99%
Cumulative Returns
40.66%
Win Rate
2024-05-07
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
1.45%
30 Days
6.02%
60 Days
-0.28%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 889192.25 | 889.19 | 578363.04 | 578.36 | 310829.21 | 310.83 |
Gross Profit | 2313398.3 | 2313.4 | 1493580.53 | 1493.58 | 819817.77 | 819.82 |
Gross Loss | 1424206.05 | 1424.21 | 915217.49 | 915.22 | 508988.56 | 508.99 |
Commission Paid | 179081.0 | 117818.13 | 61262.87 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 894091.47 | 894.09 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 889494.13 | 89.92 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 84674.4 | 28.48 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 151.0 | 151.0 | 131.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 352.0 | 195.0 | 157.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 167.0 | 89.0 | 78.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 185.0 | 106.0 | 79.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 47.44 | 45.64 | 49.68 | |||
Avg P&l | 2526.11 | 0.44 | 2965.96 | 0.35 | 1979.8 | 0.55 |
Avg Winning Trade | 13852.68 | 2.41 | 16781.8 | 2.23 | 10510.48 | 2.62 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7698.41 | 1.34 | 8634.13 | 1.23 | 6442.89 | 1.49 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.799 | 1.944 | 1.631 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 29700.0 | 29119.91 | 29700.0 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.17 | 5.17 | 5.17 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 21304.76 | 20438.38 | 21304.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.58 | 3.58 | 3.58 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 42.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 45.0 | 43.0 | 47.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 40.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.504 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.042 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.624 | 1.632 | 1.611 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 893495.59 | 893.5 | 612381.04 | 612.38 | 281114.55 | 281.11 |
Gross Profit | 2724498.17 | 2724.5 | 1752756.63 | 1752.76 | 971741.54 | 971.74 |
Gross Loss | 1831002.59 | 1831.0 | 1140375.6 | 1140.38 | 690626.99 | 690.63 |
Commission Paid | 222580.7 | 143226.98 | 79353.72 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1221965.79 | 1221.97 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 925536.65 | 90.28 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 84674.4 | 28.48 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 151.0 | 151.0 | 131.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 443.0 | 243.0 | 200.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 204.0 | 111.0 | 93.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 239.0 | 132.0 | 107.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.05 | 45.68 | 46.5 | |||
Avg P&l | 2016.92 | 0.35 | 2520.09 | 0.31 | 1405.57 | 0.4 |
Avg Winning Trade | 13355.38 | 2.33 | 15790.6 | 2.15 | 10448.83 | 2.54 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7661.1 | 1.34 | 8639.21 | 1.23 | 6454.46 | 1.47 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.743 | 1.828 | 1.619 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 29700.0 | 29119.91 | 29700.0 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.17 | 5.17 | 5.17 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 21304.76 | 20743.69 | 21304.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.58 | 3.58 | 3.58 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 41.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 43.0 | 41.0 | 46.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 38.0 | 36.0 | 41.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.441 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.762 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.488 | 1.537 | 1.407 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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