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ykot90 trendhoo flowusdt 2h 21.05

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🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [9025fcee]

🛡️ TRENDHOO FLOWUSDT 2H 21.05 @ykot90

TREND FOLOWING
2 hours

by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 3 hours ago

781.75%

Net Profit

57.27%

Win Rate

344

Total Closed Trades

1.118

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

-1020.76% 🤮

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-04-25 09:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.45
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.16
  • Calmar: -0.22
  • Longest DD Days: 102.00
  • Volatility: 0.85
  • Skew: -0.34
  • Kurtosis: 0.47
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.05
  • Expected Yearly: 0.57
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.87
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.10
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.12
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-17 15:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 197
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 147
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.22
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.14
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.84
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.14
  • Tail Ratio: 0.93
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.30
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.95
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.22

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 929.76%
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) 31%
Sharpe Ratio 0.496
Profit Factor 1.146
Maximum Drawdown 53.64%
Volatility (Annualized) 85%
Percent Profitable 57.91%

The strategy has achieved a net profit of 929.76%, demonstrating profitable performance metrics. However, the slight downside includes a Sharpe ratio hovering just below the favorable benchmark of 0.5 at 0.496, suggesting limited risk-adjusted returns. Meanwhile, the maximum drawdown above the ideal threshold at 53.64% indicates room for improvement in managing downside risk.

Strategy Viability

The strategy shows potential despite facing some challenges, particularly in drawdown control. Its net profit and relatively high win rate of 57.91% suggest viability in real-world conditions when strategies to mitigate drawdowns are employed optimally. The strategy performs best when volatility is well-managed, suggesting its current usage across highly volatile markets may be driving recent performance.

Risk Management

Evaluation of risk management strategies reveals opportunities for enhancement given the current maximum drawdown. Currently, the position sizing could be improved by:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease exposure during volatile periods, directly impacting drawdown reduction.
  • Incorporating stop-loss placements that adjust dynamically based on volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

For improved strategy performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimization of leverage settings could directly contribute to lowering the high drawdown percentage.
  • Incorporating diverse indicators such as moving averages or Bollinger Bands to fine-tune trade entries and exits.
  • Run further analyses to explore volatility management techniques that could curtail sharp drawdowns while sustaining returns.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates potential given its profitable returns and acceptable risk-to-return trade-offs. However, the high drawdown requires attention, engaging further testing with a focus on leverage reduction and improved risk management frameworks. While the current risk metrics exemplify sector challenges, optimizing these will place the strategy on stronger financial grounds.

Recommendation: Continue with iterative testing to optimize leverage and incorporate additional risk management measures. This advancement will assist in mitigating large drawdowns while preserving impressive return figures.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20220.00%0.00%0.00%9.76%21.37%9.74%18.23%25.66%-0.56%12.86%10.18%22.58%
202311.37%18.32%18.08%-2.59%14.11%46.90%-5.26%8.50%0.15%-4.04%13.43%20.54%
202412.03%22.34%2.93%23.39%-11.78%16.02%-7.99%-6.32%-3.83%-14.87%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

FLOW

Base Currency

118

Number of Trades

-62.71%

Cumulative Returns

45.76%

Win Rate

2024-05-21

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-7.34%

30 Days

-52.86%

60 Days

-29.41%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit1802.511802.51630.2630.21172.311172.31
Gross Profit4269.44269.42187.272187.272082.132082.13
Gross Loss2466.892466.891557.071557.07909.82909.82
Commission Paid88.1647.1341.03
Buy & Hold Return-82.28-82.28
Max Equity Run-up1903.9295.01
Max Drawdown260.5319.71
Max Contracts Held2368.02000.02368.0
Total Closed Trades226.096.0130.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades143.058.085.0
Number Losing Trades83.038.045.0
Percent Profitable63.2760.4265.38
Avg P&l7.981.556.561.289.021.74
Avg Winning Trade29.865.9637.716.2724.55.74
Avg Losing Trade29.726.0540.986.3420.225.81
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0050.921.212
Largest Winning Trade136.18126.48136.18
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.967.4312.96
Largest Losing Trade101.0799.09101.07
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.597.587.59
Avg # Bars In Trades22.019.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.016.027.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.024.020.0
Sharpe Ratio0.942
Sortino Ratio6.213
Profit Factor1.7311.4052.288
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit781.75781.75-131.87-131.87913.62913.62
Gross Profit7393.787393.783420.953420.953972.833972.83
Gross Loss6612.036612.033552.823552.823059.213059.21
Commission Paid189.5594.195.45
Buy & Hold Return-92.42-92.42
Max Equity Run-up2107.3695.47
Max Drawdown1207.2857.81
Max Contracts Held4510.03284.04510.0
Total Closed Trades344.0149.0195.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades197.079.0118.0
Number Losing Trades147.070.077.0
Percent Profitable57.2753.0260.51
Avg P&l2.270.87-0.890.444.691.19
Avg Winning Trade37.535.8343.36.033.675.72
Avg Losing Trade44.985.7950.755.8439.735.74
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8340.8530.847
Largest Winning Trade148.33126.48148.33
Largest Winning Trade Percent12.967.4312.96
Largest Losing Trade168.23148.16168.23
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.67.587.6
Avg # Bars In Trades22.018.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades22.016.025.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.021.023.0
Sharpe Ratio0.449
Sortino Ratio1.163
Profit Factor1.1180.9631.299
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
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