🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8169e05e]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA+ZEROLAG BTCUSDT 1H @
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 29 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-07 01:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.77
- Sortino Ratio: 2.46
- Calmar: -4.67
- Longest DD Days: 46.00
- Volatility: 69.66
- Skew: -0.85
- Kurtosis: -0.17
- Expected Daily: 2.06
- Expected Monthly: 53.38
- Expected Yearly: 16,857.19
- Kelly Criterion: 16.20
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.54
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.37
- Last Trade Date: 2025-02-24 22:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 30
- Number Winning Trades 214
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 69
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.67
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.27
- Payoff Ratio: 0.42
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.27
- Tail Ratio: 1.08
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.56
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.13
- Serenity Index: 1,581.66
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 24810.57% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 209.07% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.772 |
Profit Factor | 1.303 |
Maximum Drawdown | -45.7% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 69.66% |
The strategy achieves substantial returns with a cumulative gain of 24810.57% and an annualized return of 209.07%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.772 indicates good risk-adjusted performance, surpassing the threshold of 0.5, which is considered good for crypto. However, the maximum drawdown at -45.7% slightly exceeds the ideal benchmark of below 40%, suggesting room for refinement in risk management.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy shows potential for real-world trading, particularly given its strong returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics such as the Sharpe ratio. The strategy benefits from a high percent profitable rate of 75.62%, which suggests a consistently high win rate. However, the strategy's success is partly contingent on favorable market conditions that sustain a high level of volatility, which may not always be present.
Risk Management
Although the strategy performs well on several fronts, the maximum drawdown is a notable area for improvement. Some suggestions include:
- Reducing leverage or diversifying the asset mix to help lower the max drawdown below the 40% threshold.
- Employing more strict stop-loss measures to mitigate losses during downturns.
- Considering dynamic position sizing based on current market volatility to limit exposure.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to enhance risk-return metrics, particularly the drawdown.
- Introduce additional indicators to refine trade entry and exit decisions, potentially improving the payoff ratio.
- Perform out-of-sample backtesting and forward-testing across various market conditions to ensure the strategy's resilience and adaptability.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy displays strong potential with notable returns and a positive Sharpe ratio. Yet, the maximum drawdown indicates an area for improvement in risk management that could strengthen the strategy's overall performance.
Recommendation: Proceed with continued optimization and testing. Focus on reducing max drawdown by adjusting leverage, refining risk controls, and implementing diversified positions to achieve more balanced risk-adjusted returns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.80% | 8.96% | -1.62% | 13.83% | 7.27% | 12.49% | 14.53% | -7.45% | 21.70% |
2021 | 39.38% | 39.70% | 7.08% | 19.96% | 20.85% | 15.99% | 5.14% | 13.89% | -8.50% | 21.92% | 26.14% | 6.34% |
2022 | 0.00% | 26.25% | 17.24% | 6.85% | 0.00% | 9.57% | 9.92% | 22.49% | 29.96% | 17.03% | 13.68% | 13.42% |
2023 | 20.68% | 18.37% | 24.23% | 10.57% | 1.43% | 12.62% | -0.70% | 7.57% | -0.46% | 19.24% | 7.97% | -9.82% |
2024 | 15.61% | 14.00% | -5.29% | -0.33% | -4.43% | 5.83% | 17.42% | -5.06% | -2.64% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
83
Number of Trades
-9.64%
Cumulative Returns
54.22%
Win Rate
2024-02-06
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0%
30 Days
10.28%
60 Days
-9.37%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 29072596.49 | 29072.6 | 19413461.29 | 19413.46 | 9659135.19 | 9659.14 |
Gross Profit | 45754227.23 | 45754.23 | 24786904.54 | 24786.9 | 20967322.69 | 20967.32 |
Gross Loss | 16681630.74 | 16681.63 | 5373443.25 | 5373.44 | 11308187.49 | 11308.19 |
Commission Paid | 3315807.4 | 1543402.56 | 1772404.84 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 501753.55 | 501.75 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 32964170.5 | 99.7 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 3597983.43 | 15.83 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 2279.0 | 2116.0 | 2279.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 201.0 | 98.0 | 103.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 169.0 | 92.0 | 77.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 32.0 | 6.0 | 26.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 84.08 | 93.88 | 74.76 | |||
Avg P&l | 144639.78 | 1.16 | 198096.54 | 1.39 | 93778.01 | 0.95 |
Avg Winning Trade | 270735.07 | 1.74 | 269422.88 | 1.61 | 272302.89 | 1.89 |
Avg Losing Trade | 521300.96 | 1.88 | 895573.87 | 2.08 | 434930.29 | 1.84 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.519 | 0.301 | 0.626 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 1486709.25 | 1486709.25 | 1413359.19 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.17 | 2.92 | 6.17 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 2023197.2 | 1234778.35 | 2023197.2 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.19 | 3.14 | 3.19 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 12.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.07 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 6.266 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.743 | 4.613 | 1.854 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 24810571.6 | 24810.57 | 20548674.13 | 20548.67 | 4261897.47 | 4261.9 |
Gross Profit | 106651907.26 | 106651.91 | 51349627.11 | 51349.63 | 55302280.15 | 55302.28 |
Gross Loss | 81841335.66 | 81841.34 | 30800952.98 | 30800.95 | 51040382.68 | 51040.38 |
Commission Paid | 8654080.45 | 3675191.48 | 4978888.97 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1089414.94 | 1089.41 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 44544533.02 | 99.78 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 19605624.76 | 45.7 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 2279.0 | 2116.0 | 2279.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 283.0 | 131.0 | 152.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 214.0 | 112.0 | 102.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 69.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 75.62 | 85.5 | 67.11 | |||
Avg P&l | 87669.86 | 0.82 | 156860.11 | 1.06 | 28038.8 | 0.61 |
Avg Winning Trade | 498373.4 | 1.73 | 458478.81 | 1.62 | 542179.22 | 1.84 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1186106.31 | 2.0 | 1621102.79 | 2.26 | 1020807.65 | 1.9 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.42 | 0.283 | 0.531 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2949035.36 | 1891916.71 | 2949035.36 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.17 | 2.92 | 6.17 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 3193964.46 | 2822352.16 | 3193964.46 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.44 | 3.22 | 3.44 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 13.0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 13.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 16.0 | 28.0 | 11.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.772 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.463 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.303 | 1.667 | 1.084 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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