🚀 Heiken-Ashi CE LSMA [v5.1] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [74563ba2]
🛡️ HEIKEN-ASHI CE LSMAV5 BTCUSDT 15M
@SaM
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-02 20:45:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.23
- Sortino Ratio: 0.40
- Calmar: -1.19
- Longest DD Days: 226.00
- Volatility: 1.64
- Skew: 0.11
- Kurtosis: 0.19
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.24
- Expected Yearly: 2.93
- Kelly Criterion: 8.43
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.07
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.15
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-15 23:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 191
- Max Consecutive Losses: 13
- Number Losing Trades: 332
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.19
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.30
- Payoff Ratio: 2.24
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.30
- Tail Ratio: 2.07
- Outlier Win Ratio: 1.89
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.83
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 4.43
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
After thoroughly reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics indicate areas of strength and potential improvement for the trading strategy:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Net Profit | 59.84% |
Gross Profit | 270.46% |
Gross Loss | 210.63% |
Max Drawdown | 10.32% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.224 |
Sortino Ratio | 0.393 |
Profit Factor | 1.284 |
Number of Winning Trades | 190 |
Number of Losing Trades | 331 |
Percent Profitable | 36.47% |
The strategy reports a net profit of 59.84%, which is a positive return. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.224 is below the threshold of 0.5 considered good for crypto strategies, indicating that the risk-adjusted returns could be improved. The maximum drawdown of 10.32% is well within acceptable limits, suggesting good downside protection.
Strategy Viability
While the strategy shows a positive net profit, the low Sharpe ratio suggests that the returns may not be sufficiently compensating for the risk taken. The strategy's performance, with a relatively low percent profitable of 36.47%, implies a potential dependency on fewer, larger wins to offset more frequent smaller losses. This strategy may require careful consideration of market conditions to ensure consistent profitability, but the max drawdown indicates a cautious risk approach.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management seems effective in terms of maintaining a maximum drawdown of 10.32%, indicating it can withstand losses without substantial ruin. However, given the volatility characteristic of crypto markets, enhancing risk management could further stabilize returns. Actionable areas include:
- Reviewing leverage usage to potentially decrease overall risk exposure while maintaining return potential.
- Incorporating trailing stops to lock in profits during favorable conditions.
- Improving trade execution to minimize slippage in both winning and losing trades.
Improvement Suggestions
To augment the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Enhancing the strategy's parameter optimization to increase the Sharpe ratio and overall returns.
- Incorporating additional technical indicators or machine learning models to improve the strategy's edge and predictive power.
- Backtesting over different market cycles to better understand the strategy’s strengths and weaknesses.
- Reduce leverage to further decrease max drawdown and enhance the strategy's stability.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy shows commendable risk management with a limited drawdown, although the risk-adjusted return (Sharpe Ratio) is below industry standards. This indicates potential for increased volatility and speculative tendencies that need further smoothing. Implementing recommended enhancements to both the trading and risk management components could improve the strategy's robustness and appeal, making it more suitable for deploying real-world capital.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and robust testing of the strategy. Enhance risk management operations to better handle market volatility, and aim for higher risk-adjusted returns through strategic improvements.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | 7.25% | 2.35% | 1.66% | 2.15% | 6.48% | -2.14% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 3.76% | -1.57% | -0.88% | 2.57% | 1.34% | 7.18% | -0.60% | 1.96% | 3.02% | 1.32% | 4.48% | 4.30% |
2022 | 0.39% | -1.98% | -4.00% | 2.19% | 3.26% | 0.91% | 0.42% | 0.06% | -2.66% | 1.68% | -1.72% | 2.98% |
2021 | -7.30% | 7.48% | -4.27% | 0.47% | -0.12% | -3.96% | 4.03% | 0.47% | -3.83% | 5.52% | -1.61% | 3.01% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.81% | -0.14% | 0.33% | -1.45% | 0.08% | -2.59% | 2.80% | 3.89% | -2.12% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
124
Number of Trades
18.58%
Cumulative Returns
41.13%
Win Rate
2023-12-19
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
1.69%
30 Days
3.05%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 3,385.54 USD | 33.86 | 3,385.54 USD | 33.86 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 20,066.54 | 200.67 | 20,066.54 | 200.67 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 16,681.00 | 166.81 | 16,681.00 | 166.81 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 3,882.42 | 29.00 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,089.51 | 10.32 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 53,057.34 | 530.57 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.17 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.274 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.203 | 1.203 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 3,201.46 | 3,201.46 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 399 | 399 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 140 | 140 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 259 | 259 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 35.09 | 35.09 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 8.49 | 0.09 | 8.49 | 0.09 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 143.33 | 1.43 | 143.33 | 1.43 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 64.41 | 0.64 | 64.41 | 0.64 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.225 | 2.225 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 263.52 | 2.67 | 263.52 | 2.67 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 543.37 | 5.32 | 543.37 | 5.32 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 13 | 13 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 18 | 18 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 10 | 10 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 6,076.42 USD | 60.76 | 6,076.42 USD | 60.76 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 27,193.16 | 271.93 | 27,193.16 | 271.93 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 21,116.73 | 211.17 | 21,116.73 | 211.17 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 7,059.47 | 42.62 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,089.51 | 10.32 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 137,995.40 | 1,379.95 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.228 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.399 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.288 | 1.288 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 4,196.58 | 4,196.58 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 523 | 523 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 191 | 191 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 332 | 332 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 36.52 | 36.52 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 11.62 | 0.12 | 11.62 | 0.12 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 142.37 | 1.42 | 142.37 | 1.42 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 63.60 | 0.63 | 63.60 | 0.63 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.238 | 2.238 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 263.52 | 2.67 | 263.52 | 2.67 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 543.37 | 5.32 | 543.37 | 5.32 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 13 | 13 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 17 | 17 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 10 | 10 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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