THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c8197309]
🛡️ TDZV5 BTCUSDT 15M 9.4 @radjadivi
TREND FOLOWING
15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-30 13:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.62
- Sortino Ratio: 1.93
- Calmar: -0.98
- Longest DD Days: 51.00
- Volatility: 51.11
- Skew: -1.24
- Kurtosis: 2.37
- Expected Daily: 0.53
- Expected Monthly: 11.85
- Expected Yearly: 283.47
- Kelly Criterion: 17.04
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.51
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.47
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-09 22:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 19
- Number Winning Trades 302
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 114
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.98
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.31
- Payoff Ratio: 0.49
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.31
- Tail Ratio: 0.72
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.26
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.61
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.13
- Serenity Index: 11.56
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Net Profit | 63519.40 |
CAGR | 48.66% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.616 |
Profit Factor | 1.307 |
Maximum Drawdown | 55.36% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 51.11% |
Percent Profitable | 72.6% |
The strategy shows a substantial net profit of 63519.40, with a strong annualized return (CAGR) of 48.66%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.616 indicates good risk-adjusted returns, especially notable in the volatile crypto market. However, the maximum drawdown of 55.36% suggests some room for improvement in managing downside risks. The profitability rate of 72.6% is commendably high, reflecting consistent returns.
Strategy Viability
Based on the metrics, the strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading. The Sharpe Ratio is above the acceptable threshold of 0.5, indicating positive risk-adjusted performance. However, the high maximum drawdown could pose risks during adverse market conditions. The strategy capitalizes well during upward trends with a high win rate, which implies good performance during bullish market phases.
Risk Management
While the strategy benefits from effective entry and exit points as indicated by the high win rate, risk management could be further enhanced due to the notable drawdowns. Recommended strategies include:
- Reducing leverage to bring down the maximum drawdown.
- Implementing tighter stop-loss limits to protect against significant losses.
- Exploring portfolio diversification to spread risk across multiple trading pairs or assets.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s robustness, consider the following enhancements:
- Optimize leverage use and parameter settings to balance returns and drawdowns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators for refined trade conditions.
- Conduct stress testing to assess performance under various market scenarios.
- Improve drawdown management by integrating advanced hedging techniques when necessary.
Final Opinion
The strategy shows a promising risk-return profile, although high drawdowns warrant attention. With a Sharpe Ratio that exceeds the threshold and a high win rate, the fundamental aspects are solid, but optimization is recommended to refine the approach to risk.
Recommendation: Proceed with refining and testing the strategy, focus on reducing drawdown risks and leverage optimization to ensure long-term sustainability and robustness in diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.30% | 24.93% | 11.19% | 4.09% | -4.62% | -0.02% | 20.45% | 46.47% | -1.80% | -3.71% |
2021 | -12.03% | 20.87% | 35.20% | 7.87% | 7.12% | 14.66% | 25.09% | 42.26% | -10.66% | 14.42% | 11.94% | -0.20% |
2022 | -0.95% | 58.93% | 38.00% | 34.20% | 2.56% | 13.11% | 48.09% | 24.90% | -1.09% | 26.98% | -14.71% | 8.66% |
2023 | 2.04% | 24.04% | 15.99% | 23.00% | 3.14% | 21.68% | 23.98% | -0.01% | 9.34% | -4.62% | -4.37% | 21.11% |
2024 | 22.22% | 27.28% | 38.02% | 12.73% | 19.58% | -26.09% | 7.60% | -11.31% | -15.60% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
62
Number of Trades
-5.04%
Cumulative Returns
62.9%
Win Rate
2024-04-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
22.51%
30 Days
55.82%
60 Days
15.57%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 776979.36 | 77697.94 | 642611.11 | 64261.11 | 134368.25 | 13436.82 |
Gross Profit | 1361965.01 | 136196.5 | 1173055.54 | 117305.55 | 188909.47 | 18890.95 |
Gross Loss | 584985.65 | 58498.56 | 530444.43 | 53044.44 | 54541.22 | 5454.12 |
Commission Paid | 155320.14 | 134887.56 | 20432.59 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 10430.95 | 1043.09 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 776981.73 | 99.87 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 71114.07 | 29.48 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 74.0 | 74.0 | 49.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 354.0 | 290.0 | 64.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 263.0 | 214.0 | 49.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 91.0 | 76.0 | 15.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 74.29 | 73.79 | 76.56 | |||
Avg P&l | 2194.86 | 0.38 | 2215.9 | 0.37 | 2099.5 | 0.44 |
Avg Winning Trade | 5178.57 | 0.95 | 5481.57 | 0.96 | 3855.3 | 0.92 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6428.41 | 1.27 | 6979.53 | 1.3 | 3636.08 | 1.11 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.806 | 0.785 | 1.06 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 39875.05 | 39875.05 | 15255.35 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.87 | 3.87 | 0.93 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 44786.58 | 44786.58 | 16251.87 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 2.77 | 2.77 | 1.82 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 20.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 17.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 30.0 | 27.0 | 46.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.784 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 4.328 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.328 | 2.211 | 3.464 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 635194.01 | 63519.4 | 343856.06 | 34385.61 | 291337.96 | 29133.8 |
Gross Profit | 2701473.14 | 270147.31 | 2355593.96 | 235559.4 | 345879.18 | 34587.92 |
Gross Loss | 2066279.12 | 206627.91 | 2011737.9 | 201173.79 | 54541.22 | 5454.12 |
Commission Paid | 351462.34 | 317454.58 | 34007.76 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 12368.07 | 1236.81 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1072501.55 | 99.91 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 590143.78 | 55.36 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 89.0 | 89.0 | 49.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 416.0 | 346.0 | 70.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 302.0 | 247.0 | 55.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 114.0 | 99.0 | 15.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 72.6 | 71.39 | 78.57 | |||
Avg P&l | 1526.91 | 0.33 | 993.8 | 0.3 | 4161.97 | 0.48 |
Avg Winning Trade | 8945.28 | 0.95 | 9536.82 | 0.96 | 6288.71 | 0.92 |
Avg Losing Trade | 18125.26 | 1.32 | 20320.58 | 1.35 | 3636.08 | 1.11 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.494 | 0.469 | 1.73 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 54570.87 | 54570.87 | 30834.6 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.87 | 3.87 | 0.93 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 113070.22 | 113070.22 | 16251.87 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 2.77 | 2.77 | 1.82 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 20.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 17.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 28.0 | 26.0 | 46.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.616 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.929 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.307 | 1.171 | 6.342 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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