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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
    • Submit A Feature/Bug
    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

nadarayaBBv5 1000pepe 5m

  • Homepage
MEAN REVERSION 5 minutes @maniem
● Live

🚀 Nadaraya Bollinger Bands [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [07a4e20a]

🛡️ NADARAYABBV5 1000PEPE 5M

Trading Pair
1000PEPE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 17, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +8.3% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
12.35%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
61.02%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.002
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-447.46%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
726
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 15, 2023
739
Days
726
Trades
Last Trade
May 20, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-06-15 20:05:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.20
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.44
  • Calmar: -0.01
  • Longest DD Days: 378.00
  • Volatility: 4.64
  • Skew: -1.09
  • Kurtosis: 3.69
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.01
  • Expected Yearly: 0.16
  • Kelly Criterion: 0.12
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.49
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.79
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-20 20:45:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 12
  • Number Winning Trades 443
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 283
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.01
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.00
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.63
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.00
  • Tail Ratio: 0.83
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.29
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.20
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 0.00

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20230.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%27.56%23.04%2.05%33.78%20.62%60.88%44.49%
202425.22%-3.17%-6.72%70.25%-95.16%-15.53%-39.33%102.02%-39.28%74.29%-30.61%••••Login to see results
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

534

Number of Trades

-21.37%

Cumulative Returns

58.8%

Win Rate

2023-12-19

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-11.45%

30 Days

64.86%

60 Days

-91.96%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit4598.07459.812413.8241.382184.27218.43
Gross Profit12307.951230.794821.36482.147486.58748.66
Gross Loss7709.88770.992407.56240.765302.31530.23
Commission Paid1584.0531.431052.57
Buy & Hold Return518.0951.81
Max Equity Run-up5357.9684.31
Max Drawdown1229.446.1
Max Contracts Held32571947.028352724.032571947.0
Total Closed Trades192.086.0106.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades129.057.072.0
Number Losing Trades63.029.034.0
Percent Profitable67.1966.2867.92
Avg P&l23.950.1728.070.1520.610.18
Avg Winning Trade95.410.8884.590.94103.980.84
Avg Losing Trade122.381.2983.021.4155.951.19
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.781.0190.667
Largest Winning Trade506.6506.6437.63
Largest Winning Trade Percent2.452.12.45
Largest Losing Trade501.2501.2455.97
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.134.133.8
Avg # Bars In Trades17.018.017.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades16.014.018.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.027.015.0
Sharpe Ratio1.293
Sortino Ratio13.459
Profit Factor1.5962.0031.412
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit123.512.35611.3361.13-487.83-48.78
Gross Profit77227.587722.7621857.662185.7755369.925536.99
Gross Loss77104.087710.4121246.332124.6355857.755585.78
Commission Paid10180.073028.757151.32
Buy & Hold Return10605.61060.56
Max Equity Run-up9545.2690.54
Max Drawdown9592.4890.99
Max Contracts Held54923719.054923719.053530700.0
Total Closed Trades726.0336.0390.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades443.0204.0239.0
Number Losing Trades283.0132.0151.0
Percent Profitable61.0260.7161.28
Avg P&l0.170.051.820.03-1.250.07
Avg Winning Trade174.331.02107.151.0231.671.04
Avg Losing Trade272.451.47160.961.47369.921.47
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.640.6660.626
Largest Winning Trade1018.96506.61018.96
Largest Winning Trade Percent2.452.122.45
Largest Losing Trade1755.48815.511755.48
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.225.224.41
Avg # Bars In Trades15.015.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades14.012.016.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.019.015.0
Sharpe Ratio0.202
Sortino Ratio0.439
Profit Factor1.0021.0290.991
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Sharpe Ratio 0.206
Maximum Drawdown 90.99%
Profit Factor 1.002
CAGR 0.11%
Percent Profitable 61.25%
Volatility (Annualized) 4.64%

The strategy's performance metrics show potential areas for improvement. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.206 is below the desired threshold of 0.5, indicating that the risk-adjusted returns could be optimized. The maximum drawdown of 90.99% is quite high, suggesting a need for improved drawdown management. The profit factor of 1.002 indicates that gains are slightly higher than losses. The strategy maintains a decent level of profitability with a 61.25% win rate.

Strategy Viability

The data suggests that the strategy, in its present form, might face challenges in real-world trading. The high drawdown and low risk-adjusted returns indicate underlying weaknesses, such as insufficient risk management under adverse market conditions. However, with appropriate modifications, the strategy may be feasibly adapted to capitalize on favorable crypto market conditions if they persist.

Risk Management

The current risk management approach needs reinforcement, given the high drawdown figure. Suggested improvements to the risk management framework include:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease maximum drawdown susceptibility.
  • Introducing robust stop-loss mechanisms to protect against large losses.
  • Implementing a volatility-aware position sizing model to reduce exposure during turbulent market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s robustness and performance, consider these recommendations:

  • Optimize trading parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio and realign the average win/loss ratio.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
  • Implement out-of-sample testing to verify the strategy's performance across varied market conditions.
  • Expand the dataset for strategy validation, ensuring more comprehensive backtesting results.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy displays some foundational elements that could be refined for improved performance. Its current state necessitates enhancements, particularly in risk management, to yield better risk-adjusted returns and reduce drawdown levels.

Recommendation: Undertake further testing and enhancements to optimize the strategy. Focus on modifying the risk management framework to handle market volatility more effectively, and employ suggested improvements to boost the strategy's robustness and performance.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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