Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [7283518d]
🛡️ MICHONNEV5 UNFIUSDT 5M @maniem
TREND FOLOWING
5 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2022-06-01 01:10:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.19
- Sortino Ratio: 2.26
- Calmar: -131.95
- Longest DD Days: 11.00
- Volatility: 0.78
- Skew: -0.47
- Kurtosis: -1.40
- Expected Daily: 0.02
- Expected Monthly: 0.42
- Expected Yearly: 5.15
- Kelly Criterion: 29.62
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.06
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.06
- Last Trade Date: 2022-06-07 23:35:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 14
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 9
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -131.95
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.95
- Payoff Ratio: 1.25
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.95
- Tail Ratio: 1.37
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 53.92
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
The QuantStats report offers a range of insightful performance metrics crucial for evaluating the strategy's effectiveness:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 40.42% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 23.66% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.185 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.26 |
Profit Factor | 2.099 |
Maximum Drawdown | 19.1% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 78% |
Percent Profitable | 60.87% |
The strategy achieves a reasonable cumulative return of 40.42% and a healthy annualized return of 23.66%, with a profit factor above 2, suggesting more dollars gained per dollar lost. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.185 is below the threshold of 0.5, the strategy demonstrates a noteworthy Sortino ratio of 2.26, indicating efficient downside risk management. The strategy maintains a manageable maximum drawdown of 19.1%, comfortably below the 40% marker. The stability is reflected in the volatility figure, which calls for a cautious approach.
Strategy Viability
Considering the current market dynamics, the strategy exhibits a promising viability for real-world application. Its maximum drawdown and profit metrics suggest robust performance under evaluated conditions, indicating room for further development and testing to navigate the complexities of crypto markets. The below-average Sharpe Ratio does highlight a need for optimizing risk-adjusted returns, especially under potential market stress scenarios.
Risk Management
The metrics reflect a solid application of risk management principles with zero instances of margin calls and a restrained maximum drawdown. Risk of ruin remains at a reassuring 0%, indicating effective capital preservation strategies. Here are potential enhancements:
- Refining position sizing to dynamically respond to market volatility and adjust leverage as necessary.
- Implementing a more structured approach to stop-loss management to lock in gains better and mitigate potential losses.
- Exploring asset diversification could further stabilize returns.
Improvement Suggestions
The following strategies could enhance overall performance and resilience:
- Optimize key strategy parameters to refine entry and exit points and improve the Sharpe Ratio.
- Expand the trading model to incorporate additional technical indicators to capture more nuanced market signals.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to assess durability across varying market conditions.
- Decrease maximum drawdown risks by adjusting leverage ratios, providing room for tactical performance improvement without compromising risk management.
Final Opinion
The strategy displays commendable performance attributes, achieving solid returns with stable risk management. Despite a lower-than-desirable Sharpe Ratio, the overall framework demonstrates potential with effective loss management and trade profitability. With some optimizations and iterations, the strategy can be brought to an impressive level of efficiency.
Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and testing, emphasizing risk-adjusted performance improvements and robustness validation. Consider implementing suggested enhancement measures to maximize strategy potential under diverse market conditions optimally.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2022 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 36.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
UNFI
Base Currency
1
Number of Trades
0%
Cumulative Returns
0%
Win Rate
2023-12-19
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0%
30 Days
0%
60 Days
0%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 404.16 USD | 40.42 | 350.44 USD | 35.04 | 53.73 USD | 5.37 |
Gross Profit | 771.93 | 77.19 | 536.24 | 53.62 | 235.69 | 23.57 |
Gross Loss | 367.77 | 36.78 | 185.81 | 18.58 | 181.96 | 18.20 |
Max Run-up | 650.82 | 42.32 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 203.76 | 19.10 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,561.41 | 156.14 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.211 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.535 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.099 | 2.886 | 1.295 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 953 | 913 | 953 | |||
Open PL | 48.68 | 3.47 | ||||
Commission Paid | 20.92 | 12.67 | 8.24 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 23 | 15 | 8 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 9 | 5 | 4 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.87 | 66.67 | 50.00 | |||
Avg Trade | 17.57 | 5.29 | 23.36 | 7.67 | 6.72 | 0.85 |
Avg Winning Trade | 55.14 | 11.09 | 53.62 | 13.37 | 58.92 | 5.39 |
Avg Losing Trade | 40.86 | 3.72 | 37.16 | 3.75 | 45.49 | 3.70 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.349 | 1.443 | 1.295 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 85.33 | 56.14 | 85.33 | 56.14 | 81.33 | 6.59 |
Largest Losing Trade | 61.89 | 6.27 | 59.08 | 5.89 | 61.89 | 6.27 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 81 | 52 | 135 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 90 | 52 | 184 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 67 | 53 | 86 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 404.16 USD | 40.42 | 350.44 USD | 35.04 | 53.73 USD | 5.37 |
Gross Profit | 771.93 | 77.19 | 536.24 | 53.62 | 235.69 | 23.57 |
Gross Loss | 367.77 | 36.78 | 185.81 | 18.58 | 181.96 | 18.20 |
Max Run-up | 670.84 | 43.07 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 203.76 | 19.10 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −395.27 | −39.53 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.185 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.26 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.099 | 2.886 | 1.295 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 953 | 913 | 953 | |||
Open PL | 146.59 | 10.44 | ||||
Commission Paid | 20.92 | 12.67 | 8.24 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 23 | 15 | 8 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 9 | 5 | 4 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.87 | 66.67 | 50.00 | |||
Avg Trade | 17.57 | 5.29 | 23.36 | 7.67 | 6.72 | 0.85 |
Avg Winning Trade | 55.14 | 11.09 | 53.62 | 13.37 | 58.92 | 5.39 |
Avg Losing Trade | 40.86 | 3.72 | 37.16 | 3.75 | 45.49 | 3.70 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.349 | 1.443 | 1.295 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 85.33 | 56.14 | 85.33 | 56.14 | 81.33 | 6.59 |
Largest Losing Trade | 61.89 | 6.27 | 59.08 | 5.89 | 61.89 | 6.27 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 81 | 52 | 135 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 90 | 52 | 184 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 67 | 53 | 86 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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