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izaza trendhoo runeusdt 1h 04.06

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TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @izaza
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [413c5ce2]

🛡️ TRENDHOO RUNEUSDT 1H 04.06

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.88% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
148.94%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
71.13%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.125
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-2.9%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
627
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 21, 2023
1,033
Days
627
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-04-21 22:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.28
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.54
  • Calmar: -0.33
  • Longest DD Days: 340.00
  • Volatility: 0.18
  • Skew: -1.43
  • Kurtosis: 4.73
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.01
  • Expected Yearly: 0.12
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.22
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.03
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-18 14:23:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 18
  • Number Winning Trades 446
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 181
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.33
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.13
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.46
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.13
  • Tail Ratio: 0.72
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 5.04
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.77
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 0.54

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-5.40%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-1.25%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-4.62%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-0.53%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+0.43%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-0.25%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+55.54%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+95.81%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+57.37%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+169.35%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
71.0%
Total Trades
628
Cumulative
-5.81%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,357.55%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-3.06%
+21.14%
Simple P&L
+0.77%
+42.56%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
+39.91%
Simple P&L
+0.05%
+12.73%
Simple P&L
+3.20%
+68.78%
Simple P&L
-0.69%
+27.58%
Simple P&L
-0.94%
+49.26%
Simple P&L
-3.26%
+84.00%
Simple P&L
+1.38%
+7.66%
Simple P&L
2024
-3.50%
+35.02%
Simple P&L
-5.11%
+37.62%
Simple P&L
+9.06%
+63.05%
Simple P&L
+1.89%
+52.37%
Simple P&L
-1.44%
+72.04%
Simple P&L
+0.37%
+77.41%
Simple P&L
-0.60%
+68.95%
Simple P&L
-0.78%
+59.26%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
+31.00%
Simple P&L
+1.73%
+3.80%
Simple P&L
+3.41%
+17.40%
Simple P&L
-3.41%
+29.15%
Simple P&L
2025
+1.24%
+133.09%
Simple P&L
-7.07%
+26.67%
Simple P&L
+4.27%
-0.33%
Simple P&L
-2.85%
+19.95%
Simple P&L
+6.39%
+56.24%
Simple P&L
-5.19%
+37.48%
Simple P&L
+5.15%
+19.87%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

628

Number of Trades

-5.81%

Cumulative Returns

71.02%

Win Rate

2024-06-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

55.54%

30 Days

57.37%

60 Days

95.81%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital200
Open P&l-0.27-0.05
Net Profit297.89148.94-34.86-17.43332.75166.37
Gross Profit2679.621339.811322.57661.291357.05678.52
Gross Loss2381.731190.871357.43678.721024.3512.15
Expected Payoff0.48-0.091.35
Commission Paid81.5450.630.95
Buy & Hold Return-145.2-72.6
Buy & Hold % Gain-72.6
Strategy Outperformance443.08
Max Contracts Held1127747.01127.0
Annualized Return (cagr)33.76-5.9336.68
Return On Initial Capital148.94-17.43166.37
Account Size Required329.09
Return On Account Size Required90.52-10.59101.11
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)16 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)53.8626.93
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)133.9366.97
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)596.0374.88
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)298.02
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)66 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)66.433.2
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.9-0.111.01
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)324.12162.06
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)329.0944.53
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)164.54
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss453.62-72.55506.7
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.471.932.9
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.763.546.41
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades627.0381.0246.0
Number Winning Trades446.0275.0171.0
Number Losing Trades181.0106.075.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable71.1372.1869.51
Avg P&l0.482.17-0.091.531.353.15
Avg Winning Trade6.014.924.813.847.946.65
Avg Losing Trade13.164.6212.814.4513.664.85
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4570.3760.581
Largest Winning Trade39.3125.4839.31
Largest Winning Trade Percent22.8214.0922.82
Largest Losing Trade65.6748.0565.67
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.5913.5911.23
Avg # Bars In Trades32.020.052.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.016.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades46.029.071.0
Sharpe Ratio0.281
Sortino Ratio0.537
Profit Factor1.1250.9741.325
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital200
Open P&l-0.27-0.05
Net Profit297.89148.94-34.86-17.43332.75166.37
Gross Profit2679.621339.811322.57661.291357.05678.52
Gross Loss2381.731190.871357.43678.721024.3512.15
Expected Payoff0.48-0.091.35
Commission Paid81.5450.630.95
Buy & Hold Return-145.2-72.6
Buy & Hold % Gain-72.6
Strategy Outperformance443.08
Max Contracts Held1127747.01127.0
Annualized Return (cagr)33.76-5.9336.68
Return On Initial Capital148.94-17.43166.37
Account Size Required329.09
Return On Account Size Required90.52-10.59101.11
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)16 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)53.8626.93
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)133.9366.97
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)596.0374.88
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)298.02
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)66 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)66.433.2
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown0.9-0.111.01
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)324.12162.06
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)329.0944.53
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)164.54
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss453.62-72.55506.7
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.471.932.9
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.763.546.41
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades627.0381.0246.0
Number Winning Trades446.0275.0171.0
Number Losing Trades181.0106.075.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable71.1372.1869.51
Avg P&l0.482.17-0.091.531.353.15
Avg Winning Trade6.014.924.813.847.946.65
Avg Losing Trade13.164.6212.814.4513.664.85
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.4570.3760.581
Largest Winning Trade39.3125.4839.31
Largest Winning Trade Percent22.8214.0922.82
Largest Losing Trade65.6748.0565.67
Largest Losing Trade Percent13.5913.5911.23
Avg # Bars In Trades32.020.052.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.016.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades46.029.071.0
Sharpe Ratio0.281
Sortino Ratio0.537
Profit Factor1.1250.9741.325
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 629.67%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 60.63%
Sharpe Ratio 0.459
Profit Factor 1.169
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 44.53%
Volatility (Annualized) 46.00%

The strategy provides a substantial cumulative return of 629.67% and an annualized return of 60.63%, indicating strong profitability. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.459, while slightly below the ideal 0.5 benchmark for crypto markets, suggests potential for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 44.53% is just above the preferred threshold of 40%, indicating an area for better risk management.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy demonstrates significant returns and displays potential for real-world trading. Its outperformance against a negative benchmark return (-95.35%) by 1450.03% showcases its strength under past market conditions. However, to assess its ongoing viability, it's important to account for potential changes in market environments. The market conditions under which the strategy excels need monitoring to ensure these conditions persist.

Risk Management

The strategy manages fairly well with no recorded margin calls and employs an effective Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.17. Nonetheless, given the high maximum drawdown and moderate Sharpe Ratio, there is room for enhancement in risk management:

  • Adopting less aggressive leverage might help reduce drawdowns by trading fewer contracts or utilizing tighter position-sizing rules.
  • Improving stop-loss policies to protect against significant losses.
  • Consider diversifying the portfolio to reduce unsystematic risk exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To bolster the robustness and performance of the strategy further, consider:

  • Optimizing trading parameters to increase returns and minimize losses, such as refining entry and exit signals.
  • Incorporating more diverse indicators or layers of strategy to handle varying market regimes.
  • Conducting backtesting with new market datasets for out-of-sample validation.
  • Enhancing volatility management by integrating dynamic position-sizing models that adjust based on market conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy presents commendable profitability and risk metrics, showcasing its potential in the crypto market space. While there is notable volatility and periodic high drawdowns, the strategy effectively manages gains with favorable expectancy.

Recommendation: Proceed with improving and testing this strategy further. Optimization and diversification of risk management strategies are recommended to harness its full potential in diverse market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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