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DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
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    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

hongfei_xx tdzV5 aptusdt 15m 21.05

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 15 minutes @hongfei
● Live

THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [3c9b8d02]

🛡️ _XX TDZV5 APTUSDT 15M 21.05

Trading Pair
APT
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +4.91% Updated 2 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1456.26%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
51.59%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.203
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
993.25%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
378
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 20, 2022
968
Days
378
Trades
Last Trade
Jul 11, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-11-20 19:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.61
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.21
  • Calmar: -0.51
  • Longest DD Days: 62.00
  • Volatility: 12.18
  • Skew: 1.67
  • Kurtosis: 19.02
  • Expected Daily: 0.04
  • Expected Monthly: 0.82
  • Expected Yearly: 10.28
  • Kelly Criterion: 9.30
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.84
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.73
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-07-11 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 195
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 183
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.51
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.14
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
  • Tail Ratio: 1.03
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 7.59
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.86
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.03
  • Serenity Index: 0.60

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20220.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.88%15.57%
20237.37%10.70%-6.80%33.07%1.87%16.71%14.39%3.93%32.92%6.48%-0.24%21.04%
20247.54%14.25%10.74%13.73%-0.39%34.98%35.97%37.80%11.46%20.55%14.56%18.90%
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

197

Number of Trades

215.63%

Cumulative Returns

47.72%

Win Rate

2024-05-21

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

9.8%

30 Days

84.26%

60 Days

23.13%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l93.021.65
Net Profit4630.14463.012660.89266.091969.25196.92
Gross Profit10277.281027.735919.91591.994357.37435.74
Gross Loss5647.14564.713259.02325.92388.13238.81
Commission Paid663.54350.38313.16
Buy & Hold Return1076.31107.63
Max Equity Run-up4756.9383.08
Max Drawdown1077.6260.41
Max Contracts Held5001.05001.02547.0
Total Closed Trades183.091.092.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades102.048.054.0
Number Losing Trades81.043.038.0
Percent Profitable55.7452.7558.7
Avg P&l25.30.3729.240.4921.40.26
Avg Winning Trade100.762.15123.332.6380.691.73
Avg Losing Trade69.721.8775.791.9162.851.83
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4451.6271.284
Largest Winning Trade773.68773.68402.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.593.592.45
Largest Losing Trade353.98353.98184.36
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.592.592.56
Avg # Bars In Trades25.025.025.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.025.025.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades25.024.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.86
Sortino Ratio2.309
Profit Factor1.821.8161.825
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit14562.561456.262965.2296.5211597.361159.74
Gross Profit86221.348622.1337153.983715.449067.364906.74
Gross Loss71658.787165.8834188.783418.8837470.03747.0
Commission Paid6380.762851.443529.32
Buy & Hold Return100.0910.01
Max Equity Run-up22174.5595.81
Max Drawdown14722.1664.21
Max Contracts Held72884.042127.072884.0
Total Closed Trades378.0193.0185.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades195.091.0104.0
Number Losing Trades183.0102.081.0
Percent Profitable51.5947.1556.22
Avg P&l38.530.2315.360.2862.690.19
Avg Winning Trade442.162.24408.292.68471.81.86
Avg Losing Trade391.581.9335.181.85462.591.96
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1291.2181.02
Largest Winning Trade6808.95013.286808.9
Largest Winning Trade Percent11.823.5911.82
Largest Losing Trade5072.672318.385072.67
Largest Losing Trade Percent2.62.592.6
Avg # Bars In Trades23.025.020.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.027.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.023.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.612
Sortino Ratio1.213
Profit Factor1.2031.0871.31
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1456.26%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 5.28%
Sharpe Ratio 0.612
Profit Factor 1.203
Maximum Drawdown -64.21%
Volatility (Annualized) 12.18%

The strategy demonstrates a strong cumulative return of 1456.26% and a commendable Sharpe ratio of 0.612, indicating good risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown of 64.21% is quite high and suggests potential risk exposure that might need addressing. The profit factor of 1.203 suggests that the strategy is profitable overall, earning $1.20 for every $1 lost.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy shows a promising risk versus return profile, particularly in terms of cumulative gains and risk-adjusted measures. It slightly surpasses the desired Sharpe ratio of 0.5, emphasizing its potential for real-world trading. Despite the high maximum drawdown, the absence of margin calls and a steady annualized return indicates resilience. Identifying and operating in market conditions favoring the strategy could yield positive longer-term results.

Risk Management

The strategy exhibits certain risk management aspects well, with no margin calls and a controlled volatility of 12.18%. However, the high maximum drawdown indicates room for improvement. Suggestions for optimizing risk management include:

  • Reducing leverage to lower potential drawdowns and enhance capital protection.
  • Implementing more stringent stop-loss protocols to curb significant downturns.
  • Incorporating diversification across various assets to alleviate unsystematic risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To refine the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following enhancements:

  • Reassess and potentially optimize leverage usage to curtail drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators for better timing of trades.
  • Conduct thorough testing and validation under diverse market scenarios to ensure robustness and adaptability.
  • Enhance risk management strategies with techniques such as stress testing and scenario analysis to prepare for market anomalies.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, while the strategy shows significant strengths in cumulative gains and a commendable Sharpe ratio, attention is needed to address the substantial maximum drawdown. The strategy’s success in real-world trading can be further assured through strategic refinements and targeted risk management improvements.

Recommendation: Proceed with further development and optimization, specifically targeting drawdown reduction through refined leverage and risk management tactics. Such enhancements will help realize the full potential of this promising strategy.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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