MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [e6d53c2c]
🛡️ MACDLIQUIDITY RUNEUSDT 1H 16.4
@henrik2685
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 7 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-09 14:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.63
- Sortino Ratio: 2.49
- Calmar: -10.40
- Longest DD Days: 65.00
- Volatility: 78.97
- Skew: 0.05
- Kurtosis: -1.72
- Expected Daily: 1.12
- Expected Monthly: 26.25
- Expected Yearly: 1,539.31
- Kelly Criterion: 15.47
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.12
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.20
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-10 17:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 229
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 215
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -10.40
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.43
- Payoff Ratio: 1.34
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.43
- Tail Ratio: 1.52
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.11
- Serenity Index: 914.03
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 5036.53 |
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) | 294.85% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.618 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.55 |
Profit Factor | 1.328 |
Maximum Drawdown | 32.44% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 78.31% |
Percent Profitable | 51.17% |
Gain/Pain Ratio | 1.36 |
The strategy exhibits a commendable net profit with a CAGR of 294.85%, indicating substantial growth over the evaluated period. With a Sharpe Ratio of 0.618, the risk-adjusted return of the strategy is above the threshold considered good for crypto trading. The profit factor of 1.328 suggests favorable return relative to risk, and the maximum drawdown of 32.44% remains within a manageable range for crypto assets.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy appears viable for real-world trading under the observed conditions. It provides a solid balance between return and risk, outperforming typical benchmarks in terms of Sharpe Ratio and drawdown management. While the market conditions that best support this strategy should be identified, its historical performance suggests adaptability and resilience in varied market environments.
Risk Management
The strategy displays reasonable risk management with no margin calls and a well-contained maximum drawdown. However, the annualized volatility of 78.31% indicates areas where risk management could be further refined:
- Utilizing less leverage can help decrease maximum drawdown, creating a more stable trading environment.
- Incorporating more dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on volatility adjustments could limit downside risk.
- Reviewing position sizing methodologies to adapt to varying market conditions could optimize risk exposure.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the performance and robustness of the strategy, consider the following actions:
- Refining parameter optimization processes can lead to increased returns while managing risks effectively.
- Incorporate additional indicators or data sources that might improve trade selection and timing.
- Engage in forward testing and scenario analysis to validate the strategy across different market conditions.
- Improve the risk management framework by exploring advanced techniques such as Value-at-Risk and drawdown limitations.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy presents strong potential with robust returns and efficient risk-adjusted metrics. While certain aspects like volatility can be fine-tuned, the strategy showcases good management of drawdown and a Sharpe Ratio conducive to crypto trading success. Nonetheless, continuous optimization and validation in various scenarios are paramount to ensure long-term robustness.
Recommendation: Continue with additional testing and fine-tuning of the strategy. Implement suggested optimizations and adjustments to enhance risk handling and prepare for a variety of market scenarios.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 8.06% | 0.80% | 18.28% | 7.16% | 19.36% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 1.39% | 3.19% | -1.64% | 4.80% | -5.44% | 20.43% | 6.66% | 18.37% | 28.87% | 14.74% | -15.56% | 7.50% |
2022 | -6.05% | 7.75% | 7.70% | 64.43% | 24.08% | 59.05% | 28.60% | 6.28% | -25.69% | 23.37% | 28.84% | 13.02% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 45.31% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
98
Number of Trades
93.72%
Cumulative Returns
47.96%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
40.29%
30 Days
32.22%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 3,272,183.14 USD | 3,272.18 | 1,174,375.62 USD | 1,174.38 | 2,097,807.52 USD | 2,097.81 |
Gross Profit | 11,376,330.83 | 11,376.33 | 5,516,082.72 | 5,516.08 | 5,860,248.11 | 5,860.25 |
Gross Loss | 8,104,147.69 | 8,104.15 | 4,341,707.10 | 4,341.71 | 3,762,440.59 | 3,762.44 |
Max Run-up | 3,473,214.95 | 97.59 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 929,261.62 | 32.44 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −35,024.80 | −35.02 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.634 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.668 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.404 | 1.27 | 1.558 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1,683,096 | 1,683,096 | 1,659,490 | |||
Open PL | 27,074.90 | 0.80 | ||||
Commission Paid | 350,246.76 | 186,434.27 | 163,812.49 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 346 | 181 | 165 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 182 | 97 | 85 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 164 | 84 | 80 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.60 | 53.59 | 51.52 | |||
Avg Trade | 9,457.18 | 1.14 | 6,488.26 | 1.16 | 12,713.98 | 1.11 |
Avg Winning Trade | 62,507.31 | 5.59 | 56,866.83 | 5.33 | 68,944.10 | 5.89 |
Avg Losing Trade | 49,415.53 | 3.81 | 51,686.99 | 3.65 | 47,030.51 | 3.97 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.265 | 1.1 | 1.466 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 240,900.96 | 7.97 | 199,488.96 | 7.48 | 240,900.96 | 7.97 |
Largest Losing Trade | 173,575.66 | 5.74 | 173,575.66 | 5.11 | 163,405.85 | 5.74 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 17 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 22 | 18 | 27 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 19 | 16 | 22 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 7,475,959.32 USD | 7,475.96 | 2,987,131.73 USD | 2,987.13 | 4,488,827.59 USD | 4,488.83 |
Gross Profit | 24,846,126.47 | 24,846.13 | 12,433,630.82 | 12,433.63 | 12,412,495.64 | 12,412.50 |
Gross Loss | 17,370,167.14 | 17,370.17 | 9,446,499.09 | 9,446.50 | 7,923,668.05 | 7,923.67 |
Max Run-up | 7,490,067.82 | 98.87 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,598,015.05 | 32.44 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −22,930.18 | −22.93 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.628 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.486 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.43 | 1.316 | 1.567 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1,696,885 | 1,683,096 | 1,696,885 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 716,022.74 | 388,252.56 | 327,770.18 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 444 | 234 | 210 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 229 | 122 | 107 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 215 | 112 | 103 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.58 | 52.14 | 50.95 | |||
Avg Trade | 16,837.75 | 1.10 | 12,765.52 | 1.08 | 21,375.37 | 1.11 |
Avg Winning Trade | 108,498.37 | 5.70 | 101,915.01 | 5.45 | 116,004.63 | 5.98 |
Avg Losing Trade | 80,791.48 | 3.81 | 84,343.74 | 3.68 | 76,928.82 | 3.94 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.343 | 1.208 | 1.508 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 534,241.86 | 7.97 | 527,579.86 | 7.48 | 534,241.86 | 7.97 |
Largest Losing Trade | 364,522.49 | 5.74 | 355,243.37 | 5.11 | 364,522.49 | 5.74 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 18 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 23 | 19 | 27 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 19 | 16 | 21 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
TradingView Screenshots
Slide this way to reveal live trades
USE SLIDER TO REVEAL RESULTS
Slide this way to reveal backtest
Slide this way to reveal live trades
USE SLIDER TO REVEAL RESULTS
Slide this way to reveal backtest